Five Year Rookie Success Rate Tracker

Oddsmaker By The Numbers:

Rookie IDP overall who have managed to reach the top 64 in combined tackles according to NFL.com end of the year statistics in their rookie season. This is an all position and all player available ranking. Tiers may vary, but I choose to use these tiers for a floor with “standard” size leagues of 10 – 14 teams and with 6 – 8 IDPs per starting lineup.

Tier 1 = Ranked 1 – 16  

Tier 2 = Ranked 17 – 32

Tier 3 = Ranked 33 – 48

Tier 4 = Ranked 49 – 64

The Last Five Seasons:

2013 IDPs drafted: 51 DL – 25 LB – 52 DB (128)

Tier 1: WLB Kiko Alonso ranked 3rd

Tier 2: WLB Alec Ogletree ranked 25th

Tier 3: S Jonathan Cyprien ranked 40th

Tier 4: N/A

Total: 4 out of 128 (3.12%)

2014 IDPs drafted: 42 DL – 34 LB – 53 DB (129)

Tier 1: ILB C.J. Mosley ranked 7th

Tier 2: W/MLB Preston Brown ranked 23rd

Tier 2: ILB Chris Borland ranked 27th

Tier 3: WLB Telvin Smith ranked 33rd

Tier 4: S Ha-Ha Clinton-Dix ranked 51st

Total: 5 out of 129 (3.8%)

2015 IDPs drafted: 43 DL – 36 LB – 46 DB (125)

Tier 1: N/A

Tier 2: MLB Stephone Anthony ranked 20th (tied)

Tier 2: S Landon Collins ranked 20th (tied)

Tier 3: MLB Kwon Alexander ranked 44th

Tier 3: MLB Eric Kendricks ranked 45th

Tier 4: N/A

Total: 4 out of 125 (3.2%)

2016 IDPs drafted: 42 DL – 34 LB – 51 DB (127)

Tier 1: N/A

Tier 2: MLB Deion Jones ranked 25th

Tier 2: S Keanu Neal ranked 26th

Tier 3: N/A

Tier 4: CB Daryl Worley ranked 51st

Tier 4: S Vonn Bell ranked 53rd

Total: 4 out of 127 (3.1%)

2017 IDPs drafted:  42 DL – 32 LB – 56 DB (130)

Tier 1: N/A

Tier 2: MLB Jarrard Davis ranked 28th

Tier 2: I/OLB Zach Cunningham ranked 38th

Tier 3: N/A

Tier 4: S Jamal Adams ranked 61st

Total: 3 out of 130 (3.9%)

Grand Totals For Last Five Seasons.

Total IDP Drafted: 639

Total Rookies Reaching Tier 1 – 4: 20

Grand Percentage Rate Of:

Don’t depend on hyped rookies in assisting you to win in his first season, no matter what the hype!

Personal Note: This is why I don’t like ranking rookies in my upper tiers when ranking IDPs. This is also why we should never depend on a rookie for our starting lineups. There are too many factors that can play out from what can be rookies being injury prone to their acclimation to the pro-level of the NFL.

You may find that I support or hype a rookie from time to time. Please don’t ever take that as more than me promoting at a “rookie level.” They are great “sleepers” or “fliers” and as long as we approach it this way we will not be disappointed but elated when they do succeed. This is why I personally target second thru fourth-year players, I’ll pay the price after they show us something.

And there is nothing better or safer to me personally than a veteran who has displayed his talents for at least a couple seasons. Being Consistent matters, period.

*** Disclaimer: This info was calculated by observation by addition, allow a margin of error. I am only human.

Thank you again for reading and please feel free to find me on Twitter @HBogart27 for everything IDP and here hanging with the IDP Guys.


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It is all about the IDP and to bring those interested the tools and content to win now. If you ever need a "follow-up" on anything I've written or would like to ask a general question feel free to contact me on Twitter @HBogart27. I'll also reply by email at gmtvandyke@gmail.com if in the title the words "IDP Tipster" are included. As always thank you for supporting my IDP fetish by reading my articles. Additional: News Desk Correspondent for FantasyPros @nfl_alerts Experience: give or take 20 yrs Proudest Accomplishment As IDP Guy: Developing "one of a kind and original" in-season "Easy Charts" for IDP start/sit advice by using multiple resources and trade secrets to win now. Go Buckeyes!