Traditionally as reliable as unsuccessfully being able to properly digest Chipotle, he’s back.
Week four is in the books. There was anxiety all around as both the Chiefs-Patriots game and Titans-Steelers game encountered huge issues with the Coronavirus and also a near miss with a false positive hours before the Saints-Lions game. But we got through it, we got football once again though not without jumping through fiery hoops first. The blurb that was floating around about teams possibly moving into hotels and establishing a hard bubble and shortening the regular season to twelve games is something I think we’re going to see some version of if this continues. This soft bubble approach has been a total shit show and we’re only four weeks in, this season continues to be the most chaotic and unpredictable I’ve ever seen.
There is some good news buried in here, I’m already starting to see the normies and casuals starting to forget to replace injured players or check for last minute inactives. The further we descend into chaos the more we’re going to see that, now I understand the argument that we all want to win legit matchups every week but personally I couldn’t care less if my opponent forgets to do the “little things” and I get a win out of it. I can’t control what my opponent does every week I can only make sure I don’t forget to do the “little things” that are actually pretty large in the grand scheme of things. Especially in money leagues if you’re going to screw up I will most certainly take it with a smile and a nod of thanks.
I’ve talked about human nature before in this article, we tend to be more interested in things we are good at or doing well at, year after year I’ve seen guys pack it in when they think they don’t have a shot at playoffs, that will never be me and it should never be you. Last season two of my titles came in leagues where I just barely snuck into playoffs then those teams caught fire and rolled through the post season destroying everything and a 6-7 or 7-6 team that was hovering around .500 all season ended up winning it all just because I kept making moves and never gave up on the season. We should all keep that attitude, especially this season, there is no such thing as a team with “no shot” right now. I know this season has been frustrating with the injuries, I know coronavirus is going to give us a lot of “no win” decisions but your opponents have the same problems you do so let’s take it all in stride and endure. We’ll get through the season and if we do everything in our power to make sure our teams are ready every week more often than not the fantasy gods smile upon that.
Week four saw some interesting things on defense and we’ll obviously get into everything IDP relevant on each team because that’s what we do here. Of note Cameron Jordan (DE) was back to splitting cheeks like firewood just like I said he would be and Tremaine Edmunds (LB) put up an outstanding linebacker one game also like I said he would, I have seen these movies before and I know how they end. Bradley Chubb (EDGE) put up that monster week I was predicting as well. There were some notable duds this week with guys like Antoine Winfield Jr (S) and DeMario Davis (LB) but still serviceable, we take the good with the bad here we have to be realistic about things like this, these guys are going to give us monster weeks more often than not so we just bend over and take it this week then plug them right back in next week and try again. Myles Garrett (DE) is now the sacks leader (Za’Darius Smith (EDGE) tied with five as well) and passed Aldon Smith (DE). Garrett we knew would be here, Smith still feels like an imposter. We’ll get into all that and more, time to dive into week four.
Bradley Chubb (EDGE) will be making sure Darnold is seeing ghosts in his sleep for weeks to come
Broncos @ Jets
Flash in the pan: NA, all the right names at the top of the box score this week.
Possible waivers: Josey Jewell (LB) will obviously be a hot target this week but I already mentioned that move weeks ago, I hope you made it then and were able to enjoy his monster week. No new producers this week.
Misc notes: Shelby Harris (DE) and Mike Purcell (DT) are playable in deeper leagues, especially in Yahoo where Harris has a dual designation that could be helpful for bye weeks and covid related shenanigans later in the season, they played 71% and 62% of snaps respectively and both had decent box scores and have been fairly productive the last few weeks. The farther we get into this season the more we may end up needing to play guys like this due to injury, coronavirus and whatever else happens as western civilization collapses around us. Obviously Josey Jewell (LB) had a ridiculous monster game and will be a popular waiver wire linebacker in shallow leagues which ironically are probably the only leagues I wouldn’t consider him weekly, AJ Johnson (LB) is still the better producer here from what I’ve seen, this was very obviously an outlier week and there will be some point chasing here, don’t fall into that trap, he’s perfectly fine in medium to deeper leagues as a linebacker three or four but subbing out a known producer for him just because he went nuts this week isn’t going to work out for you. Surprisingly all of the Broncos known and streamable corners had solid weeks in a god awful matchup which was nice for anyone who was forced to start any of them, you win some you lose some I’d make the same exact call on avoiding this matchup for streaming corners if they played again next week, shit happens. Not much else to see here, in general besides Simmons, Johnson and Chubb these aren’t the droids you’re looking for.
New York Jets
Produced as expected: Neville Hewitt (LB) Jets Corners Bradley McDougald (S) Marcus Maye (S) Quinnen Williams (DT) *In most leagues, if you don’t score TFL and PD then he didn’t do well and you should try and change that, those are important IDP stats*
Flash in the pan: Avery Williamson (LB) was yanked for looking like crap after playing only 44% of snaps this week, it’s not yet known if he will get the start again this coming week, the smart move is avoid him and Alec Ogletree (LB) and try to own or acquire both since when one of these guys does lock down the other inside linebacker role it will most definitely be productive weekly.
Possible waivers: Alec Ogletree (LB) replaced Avery Williamson (LB) and played the final 56% of snaps in this game, he only recorded one solo tackle and one tackle for loss but obviously if he’s able to lock down 100% of snaps and the weekly start at this other inside linebacker role it would make him extremely valuable, especially in deeper leagues, going forward. If you own Williamson you should add Ogletree to ensure you own that entire role, adding just Ogletree without already owning Williamson is a roll of the dice but also not a terrible idea in deeper leagues, just sit them both this week while we get a better handle on this thing. Same deal if someone panic drops Williamson and adds Ogletree by spending more FAB then you, grab Willamson once he clears waivers and wait and see if he does end up retaining this role, this is all for guys in deep leagues by the way, in a shallow league you don’t need to be screwing around with all of this. James Burgess (LB) owned one of these two inside linebacker roles last season and helped a lot of people plug injury holes and win fantasy titles so there’s a recent historical precedence here for a “warm body” to give us solid production, nothing is different this season except the Jets offense feels even worse than last year so the defense is probably playing more snaps compared to last season.
Misc notes: The big news here is that Avery Williamson (LB) got yanked about halfway into this game and replaced by Alec Ogletree (LB), we covered that above. Marcus Maye (S) had a bit of a down game but still acceptable for someone most people got for the cost of a mouse click. Both Maye and McDougald played 100% of snaps again this week so no worries in that department. I think they both saw lower production overall due to Denvers offensive attack this week which was primarily on the ground, there should be more action for both safeties against a better passing attack. Bless Austin (CB) was injured early in this one with a calf strain and left after only played 16% of snaps which is why the cornerback corps looks a little different with playing time and production this week, he should return to 100% of snaps and a nice streaming option in good matchups once he’s healthy and back in the lineup. Pierre Desir (CB) had a monster day but it was obviously an outlier performance, don’t go chasing points here we stream based on matchup and put ourselves in the best situation we don’t just grab a guy who had a huge day and expect him to do it again, it doesn’t work like that. Neville Hewitt (LB) once again played 100% of snaps and had a really nice box score, he’s definitely the inside linebacker to own here no matter what ends up happening with the Ogletree and Williamson shenanigans. Quinnen Willams (DT) had a really nice day if your league scores tackle for loss and pass defenses, if they don’t you’re going to be looking at this article a lot this season and wondering why I’ve got guys listed under “performed as expected” when they clearly didn’t in your league. Everything else here looks good.
People almost gave up on this guy, unbelievable.
Jaguars @ Bengals
Flash in the pan: Andrew Wingard (S) had a monster game and played 100% of snaps but we’ve seen massive fluctuation in both playing time and production for him so far this season, I just don’t trust the guy, he’s just as likely to screw us next week as do this again, I need to see at least a couple more weeks of majority snaps before believing they aren’t going to pull the rug out from under us like they did last week.
Possible waivers: Dakota Allen (LB) instantly becomes a nice waiver wire linebacker option if Myles Jack (LB) is sidelined for any significant period of time, he came in for him and played the remaining 43% of snaps after the injury and recorded six combined tackles and a tackle for loss with way fewer snaps than we’ll see if he takes over for Jack if he’s injured and out next week, great short term option for as long as Jack is out, not viable at all if Jack comes back next week.
Misc notes: Davon Hamilton (DT) only played 47% of snaps and is listed as the nose tackle this week which isn’t traditionally IDP relevant, the lack of playing time and lack of ideal role here negate the five combined tackles and two QB hits on the day, I’ll pass for now but I continue to keep an eye on this Jacksonville defensive line looking for another IDP producer besides Allen and occasionally Chaisson. Speaking of K’Lavon Chaisson (EDGE) he played 53% of snaps this week which is slightly more than last week but only recorded one tackle assist on the day, he remains a dynasty futures piece only at the moment. The big story was the injury to Myles Jack (LB) who exited the game after playing about half of it, the injury is being described as an ankle injury and at the time of writing there was no further information, we’ll keep an eye on it. The Jags cornerback corps took more hits this week as CJ Henderson (CB) and DJ Hayden (CB) were both injured, Henderson hurt his shoulder and Hayden has a hamstring injury, I’ll likely be avoiding streaming from this teams corners until there’s more certainty on the health of these two because after them it gets very murky with who plays and how much besides Tre Herndon (CB) who played his normal amount of snaps and has been one of our corner streamers all season. Those are the situations to monitor in Jacksonville, everything else looks good, Josh Allen (DE) is officially been splitting cheeks for two weeks in a row now after being left for dead by some early in the season. Patience is a virtue.
Flash in the pan: LeShaun Sims (CB) was only playing because Mackensie Alexander (CB) was injured and inactive this week, the second he’s back Sims will be once again irrelevant, he’s only usable as a corner streamer if Alexander is out once again this week and even then he may not play because it looks like he got torched by pretty much anyone he lined up against, this is a high risk/reward streaming option that should only be considered in super deep leagues and only if Alexander is out again next week. Jordan Evans (LB) only played 18% of snaps and got all his points off of one outlier sack, not enough playing time obviously and extreme outlier production, pass. Same deal with Andrew Brown (DT) who also only played 18% of snaps, both these guys are just blips on the radar don’t fall for the trap.
Possible waivers: No new producers this week, however Carl Lawson (DE) has maintained and even increased his play time throughout the season, he was at 65% of snaps this week and has been a solid waiver wire defensive end if you need help there in deeper leagues.
Misc notes: Mackensie Alexander (CB) was not active for the Bengals cornerback corps this week due to a hamstring injury, LeShaun Sims (CB) got the start in his place and was targeted frequently, he could make a high risk/reward streamer going forward if the injury to Alexander lingers, we’ll keep an eye on it. Josh Bynes (LB) and Germaine Pratt (LB) are both so extremely mediocre that their playing time is no longer ideal and likely will not get back to that point this season, eventually they’ll both probably get the plug pulled for the rookie linebackers like Akeem Davis Gaither (LB) and Logan Wilson (LB). Bynes and Pratt only played 69% and 63% of snaps respectively and their production is starting to suffer from the lack of playing time as well, just four combined tackles each this week. They seemed like decent options prior to the season for “warm body production by default” on a team that was supposed to have a bad rookie quarterback making tons of mistakes and committing turnovers thereby allowing this defense to play more snaps overall when compared to others, that has not happened so far. Joe Burrow (QB) looks like the real deal and their offense owned time of possession 34 minutes to 26 this week, the offense is not only “not bad” it’s actually pretty good. I’m not worried about guys like Jesse Bates (S) and Vonn Bell (S), they’re playing every snap and will get theirs most weeks, but for these two warm body linebackers the writing is on the wall, time to start looking for other options if you’re starting either of these guys weekly. Carlos Dunlap (DE) and Sam Hubbard (DE) and to a lesser extent Carl Lawson (DE) who still recorded half a sack this week, had sub par games but still played their normal snap percentages and will be fine, nature of the position and all that. Shawn Williams (S) played a grand total of 25% of snaps this week but was on the field for a whopping 74% of special teams snaps! If only there were people who were warning everyone to stay away from this guy all offseason after the Vonn Bell (S) signing, yeah we did, for weeks. I hope no one got caught in that trap, his only road back to IDP relevance involves the injury grim reaper and we all don’t want to see that. Everything else looks normal, these aren’t the droids you’re looking for.
Myles Garrett (DE), defensive end number one.
Browns @ Cowboys
Flash in the pan: Malcolm Smith (LB), Sione Takitaki (LB) and Mack Wilson (LB) all qualify, none of them played north of 48% of snaps this week, BJ Goodson (LB) was the only “safe” linebacker to start from Cleveland this week. As predicted here last week this entire situation is a mess and Goodson remains the only decent option at the moment, and he only played 78% of snaps so he’s really only a linebacker three preferably four in deeper leagues. Steer clear if you can. MJ Stewart (CB) only played 37% of snaps this week and was the cornerback four overall in playing time and will be lower than that when Greedy Williams (CB) returns from injury, definition of flash in the pan, pass.
Possible waivers: No new producers this week.
Misc notes: Sheldon Richardson (DT) and Larry Ogunjobi (DT) both had down weeks, Richardson was fine with 65% of snaps played though while Ogunjobi saw a drastic reduction in playing time down to just 35% of snaps this week, part of that is definitely game script, this was not an “in the trenches” game and overall the Browns needed more corners and pass rush than usual and the other part was an injury, he’ll be fine when he’s back healthy again and should be back to full snaps. Ronnie Harrison (S) is still not IDP relevant playing only 13% of snaps this week and not doing much with them, at this point the Browns are winning at the defense is playing fine-ish, unless the injury grim reaper makes a stop in Cleveland I don’t see him getting the playing time needed to produce any time soon. Andrew Sendejo (S) also had a bit of a down week but actually played more than Karl Joseph (S), 100% of snaps to 89% on the day, he should be fine he still got you four combined tackles on the day so not a total disaster, he remains a decent safety three or four in deeper leagues. The real story here is the linebackers situation which I mentioned above, even BJ Goodson (LB) doesn’t feel “safe” to be honest, all of these guys are just warm bodies and can lose their job at any point, keep that in mind if you’re relying on any of them weekly, you need to keep looking for other options for if and when that day comes. Myles Garrett (DE) continues to part opposing quarterbacks butt cheeks like Moses parted the Red Sea.
Flash in the pan: NA all the right names at the top of the box score or possible waiver wire addition that makes sense.
Possible waivers: Donovan Wilson (S) got a ton of safety snaps this week as Darian Thompson (S) was benched after getting torched on the passing touchdown between LSU teammates Beckham and Landry, it’s yet to be seen if this move sticks but in deeper leagues this is a slam dunk grab, sit and see, waiver wire move at safety. If he plays again this next week and looks OK you’ve got a brand new waiver wire strong safety that played 93% of snaps this week and recorded ten combined tackles plus a sack and a tackle for loss and led all Cowboys defenders in the box score. If this were injury related it would be money in the bag but because he replaced Thompson for performance it’s always possible they return to the starter after a week of practice etc, grab Wilson, sit him this week and observe, worst case Thompson starts again and this was just a blip on the radar and you can airlock Wilson at that point, best case he replaces Thompson again and hangs on to the position for the rest of the season and you just got a full time waiver wire safety for free.
Misc notes: Aldon Smith (DE) still played the most for Dallas defensive ends with 72% of snaps played while both Griffen and Lawrence clocked in at 51% this week, that didn’t translate to production though as Smith recorded just two solo tackles and a QB hit on the day, he remains a nice waiver wire defensive end that everyone pretty much got for free but he’s not going to be the overall sacks leader this season and honestly I’ll be surprised if he plays all sixteen games, the man has a long and distinguished history of bad life choices and I’m not sure Dallas is the place to put all that behind him. Still if you got him for free keep playing him, it’s house money at the moment, both Griffen and Lawrence produced better this week so that was nice to see, neither had a sack but the smattering of tackles and the tackle for loss from DeMarcus allowed them both to have acceptable games. The Darian Thompson (S) demotion is obviously pretty big, we’ll see what happens with that next week I spoke about it above. Joe Thomas (LB) continues to play like the non made of glass version of Leighton Vander Esch (LB) and has quietly been the best waiver wire linebacker this season. He played 100% of snaps once again and has been lights out since week two where he took over for the injured Vander Esch, continue to start him with confidence until LVE returns later this season. Trevon Diggs (CB) looks like the only solid streamer at corner currently with the chaos and injuries continuing to make it difficult to lock down who else is playing the majority of snaps each week, Darryl Worley (CB) had a nice week and played every snap but also got torched quite a bit on the real football side of things and doesn’t have the draft capital that Diggs does helping to guarantee that he’ll continue to play a lot every week. Same Cowboys, different year.
Mr. Jordan was back in a big way this week
Saints @ Lions
New Orleans Saints
Flash in the pan: Any Saints corners not named Janoris Jenkins (CB) or Marshon Lattimore (CB) will be instantly irrelevant the second they return from injury, keep that in mind if you plan on picking up or streaming any of the guys that did decent this week in the Saints cornerbacks corps. CJ Gardner Johnson (S) played 97% of snaps this week and is a “thing” recently but I’m still not convinced, these third safeties never have the consistency and I doubt it’s going to change right here right now, feel free to play him though I just don’t think it’s going to go well over the course of the season.
Possible waivers: Alex Anzalone (LB) once again played a ton of snaps, 97% this week, and had a decent box score for the first time this season as well, four solo tackles and a tackle for loss, he’s still only an option in much deeper leagues since DeMario Davis (LB) is the best IDP linebacker here and that’s not changing any time soon but for Anzalone the playing time is there and simply by playing that much there should be occasional production as well.
Misc notes: Cameron Jordan (DE) was back doing what he does best this week, never in doubt. He’s going to have bad weeks, all defensive ends will, but would I rather bet on the veteran who’s been consistent and productive (as much as any defensive end can be) for years now or on some waiver wire shmuck that put up a ton of points last week and will probably never do it again? You already know that answer, Jordan’s end of season stats are going to look solid as usual. Sheldon Rankins (DT) once again played 57% of snaps which is plenty but did nothing with them while David Onyemata (DT) only played 49% and had another excellent game, it makes no sense at all but this seems to be the defensive tackle to own here these days. Trey Hendrickson (DE) continues to be a nice option while Marcus Davenport (DE) is injured and out, he’ll likely see a reduction in playing time once Davenport is back though so keep that in mind. We’ll keep an eye on the Saints cornerback situation, the last minute inactive announcements for Jenkins and Lattimore were surprising to many including me so I doubt either injury is serious, hopefully they’ll both be back soon either one makes a nice streamer in ideal matchups.
Flash in the pan: Christian Jones (LB) and Reggie Ragland (LB), also John Penisni (DT) all qualify, they played 53%, 63% and 31% of snaps respectively this week. The Lions linebackers situation is pure dog crap with the notable exception of Jamie Collins (LB) who is doing just fine as a linebacker two or three, besides that we’re just seeing them throw shit at the walls and see what sticks, Jahlani Tavai (LB) had significant snaps a couple weeks ago but only played 13% this week, Ragland almost didn’t play at all a couple weeks ago and had 63% played this week, they don’t know what they’re doing besides Collins, don’t fall into that trap and get the rug pulled out from under you. John Penisini (DT) has the most unfortunate last name I’ve seen in quite some time, I feel for the guy, he’s also a defensive tackle no ones ever heard of that barely played this week, pass.
Possible waivers: Romeo Okwara (DE) was up to 74% of snaps played this week, only 2% less than Trey Flowers (DE) who is their defensive end one clearly, so that’s good to see, he also had a really nice game and makes a decent waiver wire defensive end in deeper leagues.
Misc notes: Tracy Walker (S) was at 100% of snaps again this week, that’s good but could also just be the calm before the storm, they’ve screwed with his playing time already a couple times this season and then there was the whole playing with the second team thing in training camp, Matt Patricia took an epic amount of shit for not playing Walker more after the first couple weeks but I doubt that’s the reason he caved and is letting this happen, bottom line is in deeper leagues you have to play him for the upside but in shallow leagues I’d just find another option where you don’t have to worry about your starting safety getting his playing time drastically slashed out of nowhere on random weeks. Trey Flowers (DE) didn’t have a sack this week but still played 76% of snaps and had an acceptable game with three solo tackles, a tackle for loss and a QB hit, not bad at all for a sans-sack day. Jarrad Davis (LB) and Jahlani Tavai (LB) played 27% and 13% of snaps respectively this week, neither are IDP relevant at the moment. Oh how the mighty have fallen. Will Harris (S) played around 30% of snaps for the second week in a row if I recall correctly, he’s also taken a massive dive in playing time and is not IDP relevant either at the moment. Jeff Okudah (CB) had a fine game in the box score but saw his snaps drop to just 54% played this week which is not great for his streaming corner prospects going forward. We’ll keep an eye on it, right now it’s just an anomaly, if it happens again next week it’s a concern. The Saints owned time of possession in this one by a massive 37 to 23 minute margin and ran pretty effectively so this might have more to do with playing fewer corners in an attempt to stop the run but in real football terms Okudah is shit so far, his PFF grade is 29 whereas my favorite IDP corner James Bradberry clocks in at 84 I believe, so it’s not exactly a shock if they are cutting Okudah’s playing time because he stinks so far. Regardless we’ll keep an eye on it. I think that’s all to see here this week, what a shit show. These ex Patriots coaches always stink when they get their own gigs, they do their best to impersonate “The Patriot Way” and it always just ends up being a giant mess, this defense in general is all over the place and a massive headache to try and figure out each week, besides just a few guys I’m all set with this whole situation.
Bobby Wagner (LB) was looking like his old self this week
Seahawks @ Dolphins
Flash in the pan: Cody Barton (LB) only played 34% of snaps and just barely had a decent box score anyways, still this might have looked like something in those deep dynasty or 32 team leagues so I figured I would mention he’s not playing very much so it’s not a great option yet. Anthony Rush (DT) and Bryan Mone (DT) played 25% and 27% of snaps respectively and split a sack this week, that’s their claim to fame, neither is worth a waiver pick obviously.
Possible waivers: Ryan Neal (S) is the Jamal Adams (S) replacement and even better he may be listed as a corner in some leagues, he’s a decent waiver wire safety for as long as Adams is out and an even better hidden safety in your corner slot if that’s your situation, I don’t think Adams will be out for long though so this is short term most likely. Ugo Amadi (S) saw 68% of snaps this week as a third safety and had a decent box score, I wouldn’t play him unless the injury bug is still biting next week and guys like Adams and Dunbar are out again but if that’s the case this isn’t a terrible week to week option in stupid deep leagues.
Misc notes: KJ Wright (LB) played a significant amount, 96% of snaps, again this week and had another monster box score for the second week in a row. I love this but I can’t help but think it has more to do with the Injuries to guys like Jamal Adams (S) and Quinton Dunbar (CB), not to say he wouldn’t be playing if those guys were healthy, he would and was. However his playing time was reduced significantly early in the season when it looked like the Seahawks were playing with more guys in the secondary as their base defense. If and when those guys are healthy again who’s to say they don’t go back to that kind of base defense and KJ Wright (LB) is back to playing a sub par amount of snaps every week? For now with all the injuries I think it’s safe to play Wright with confidence, we’ll see what happens when this defense is whole again. Tre Flowers (CB) once again saw 100% of snaps this week and had a very nice box score and was a solid streaming cornerback, however he was the third corner by a good margin when Quinton Dunbar (CB) was healthy and playing, keep that in mind when he returns from injury. Benson Mayowa (DE) once again played the most of any Seahawks defensive end this week, 65% of snaps, and had an acceptable box score with three solo tackles, a tackle for loss and a QB hit on the day, for a defensive end who doesn’t get a sack that’s A OK, that’s something like nine or ten points in the MFL or Sleeper leagues I’m in that allow you to score things like QB hits. He obviously remains a nice option for a waiver wire defensive end in deeper leagues. Jarran Reed (DT) played plenty for a defensive tackle, 65% of snaps this week, but only had two solo tackles on the day, he’ll be fine there are bigger days to come.
Flash in the pan: Elandon Roberts (LB) only played 51% of snaps, more outlier performance that will needlessly suck people in and trust this guy, in the end it will be a disaster unless his playing time increases. Bobby McCain (S) only played 63% of snaps and hasn’t done much this season, he’s maybe playable in the deepest of deep leagues but I wouldn’t.
Possible waivers: No new producers, I sure hope you grabbed Emmanuel Ogbah (DE) or Shaq Lawson (DE) the last few weeks when I talked them up in here, they both had excellent weeks and played plenty once again.
Misc notes: Jerome Baker (LB) only played 70% of snaps this week and only recorded two combined tackles on the day, which one was your favorite? When everyone was salivating over this guy week one I do believe there was at least one voice of reason out there telling everyone that he had seen this movie before and it sucked. Oh yeah that was me. People thought I was nuts for saying I’d rather have Micah Kiser (LB) or Joe Thomas (LB), who’s crazy now? Have a good long look at this, decreased playing time for the third week in a row and zero production for Baker, massive fluctuations in playing time and production for this entire defense again just like every other week this season. In short a shit show. When I say I don’t like messing around with these Patriots inspired defenses like this one and in Detroit this is what I’m talking about, besides maybe a handful of guys between those three teams I mentioned, Jamie Collins (LB), Trey Flowers (DE) sometimes, Tracy Walker (S) sometimes, Stephon Gilmore (CB) sometimes, Chase Winovich (DE) and possibly one or two guys here in Miami the rest of those guys on those defenses, like twenty five or so starters between those three teams, are absolutely useless. Sure there may be a matchup here or there where we stream some corners from these teams and sure someone may end up grabbing enough consistent playing time and production down the road to make that very short list but in general these Patriots-esque defenses are hot dog shit for IDP. Jerome Baker (LB) could put up forty tackles next week and I wouldn’t waste the half second mouse click if he were free off waivers somewhere. This is why, remember it well. This is just week four, what if he had done this to you week fourteen, sixteen? What if those two combined tackles when you expected ten cost you the title? And yes even rock stars like Bobby Wagner (LB) have down weeks, but how often are Wagner’s coaches slashing his playing time by like 30% of snaps on a whim because they think they’re the Patriots?
Everyone south of Jerome Baker (LB) snap-wise this week remain essentially just a trap for guys that add players off waivers without knowing how much they play or what to expect from them. Roberts, Gruger-Hill and Van Ginkel all don’t play enough for any kind of consistency and even Jerome Baker (LB), who has been playing plenty, isn’t immune from a drastic reduction in playing time and therefore production (this week) as the Dolphins attempt in vain to impersonate the Patriots and do a crappy job doing so. In general I’m only interested in Ogbah, Lawson and Wilkins if they’re all designated ideally in your league, that would be DE, DE and DT respectively. I also might be convinced to stream a corner or two from here but even that’s a mess besides Xavien Howard (CB) and Byron Jones (CB) when he gets back from injury, besides that I’m all set with this nonsense. We have enough to worry about with guys that are locked into roles and playing time having bad weeks without having to worry about their entire teams defensive philosophy changing week to week and that being a negative factor as well.
It was nice to see Lavonte David (LB) at the top of the box score this week
Chargers @ Buccaneers
Los Angeles Chargers
Flash in the pan: Denzel Perryman (LB) only played 29% of snaps, not nearly enough for any kind of consistency, this was an outlier performance.
Possible waivers: Uchenna Nwosu (DE) if he ever gets his designation changed would make a great defensive end waiver wire pickup while Melvin Ingram (DE) is injured and out, if that doesn’t happen and he remains a linebacker it’s a no go however. I already mentioned Kyzir White (LB), he continues to play 100% of snaps and light up the box score week after week so I hope you were able to grab him when I first mentioned it weeks ago.
Misc notes: Joey Bosa (DE) didn’t get a sack this week but still played 82% of snaps and remains a defensive end one obviously, he’ll be fine. Micheal Davis (CB) appears to be the Chris Harris (CB) replacement for now at least, he played 100% of snaps and had a very nice day in the box score, if you need a replacement corner in those deep dark leagues he could be an option for now, we’ll see what his production and playing time look like going forward. Jerry Tillery (DT) played plenty again this week, 71% of snaps, and had a better box score with three combined tackles and a QB hit on the day, his dynasty prospects seem to be improving by the week. Kenneth Murray (LB) played a whopping 97% of snaps this week and had a monster box score as well, he’s delivering on that first round linebacker draft capital so far. Not a lot to see here honestly, it would be nice if the fantasy sites would change Uchenna Nwosu (DE) designation while he fills in for Melvin Ingram (DE) but the pessimist in me thinks they won’t get to it until Ingram is back from injury and it doesn’t matter. The two IDP relevant safeties here remain very spotty overall and should only be considered in very deep leagues, everything else is business as usual, Bosa will be back to clapping cheeks soon enough.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Flash in the pan: NA, all the right names at the top of the box score this week.
Possible waivers: No new producers this week.
Misc notes: I could immediately tell without even looking at the team stats here that the Bucs dominated time of possession just by the number of overall IDP producers on their defense versus on the Chargers defense and the tackle totals etc. They did so, 35 minutes to 25, which means the Bucs defense spent less time on the field than usual therefore their overall production was down this week, so when I keep that in mind I’m less likely to freak out when guys like Antoine Winfield Jr (S) and Devin White (LB) have lower tier games this week, they should both be far better against a real offense that isn’t run by a rookie. All of the known and IDP relevant producers who had a down week on this defense, Jason Pierre Paul (DE), Devin White (LB), Antoine Winfield Jr (S) and to a lesser extent Vita Vea (DT) all played their normal percentage of snaps and should bounce back no problem against a better offense, this is why in general I like having IDP producers from teams with bad offenses that get dominated in time of possession overall, those team’s defenses are on the field more often in general and we all know the best ability is availability. You can’t score IDP points when your butt is on the bench and your offense is on the field driving the ball for five or eight minutes methodically and killing the clock while dominating time of possession, in shallower leagues this is something you may need to factor in, I knew that it wasn’t likely all these IDP relevant guys were going to produce as usual this week in a sub par matchup for them so if I’m in a shallow league maybe I look for a one week Antoine Winfield Jr (S) replacement while I sit him and roll with a guy like Jeremy Chinn (S) who had a much better matchup and produced far better this week as well. Just something to think about, not the end of the world regardless, this defense will be fine and there are bigger days to come for all the guys who had a down week for us against Los Angeles.
Ravens @ Football Team
Flash in the pan: LJ Fort (LB) only played 49% of snaps and has been producing playing these few snaps each week so far pretty much every week this season, so knock yourself out if you want but I’m sure as shit not going to walk into this trap. Chris Board (LB) only played 14% of snaps and is even less likely to have any kind of consistency, definitely pass. Jaylon Ferguson (LB) only played 34% of snaps and got the majority of points from a sack, pass on this as well.
Possible waivers: No new producers this week.
Misc notes: DeShon Elliot (S) and Marcus Peters (CB) both had down weeks but played 89% and 93% of snaps respectively and will both be fine, this wasn’t exactly the greatest show on turf here as an opposing offense and while time of possession was essentially even the Redskins in general didn’t put up a lot of offense or sustain drives all that effectively, both of those factors are needed to generate IDP points for an opposing defense. Peters is a locked and loaded streaming corner, or even a set and forget corner in deeper leagues, when facing better offenses and in ideal or even solid matchups, he’ll be fine. Elliot was a free waiver wire safety who has been excellent all season and still go you three combined tackles and a pass defense on an “off day” so we’re nowhere near abandon ship with him either, you take the good with the bad and keep it moving. Matt Judon (EDGE) finally got his season started with a two sack plus a smattering of other stats game this week which was nice, he only played 59% of snaps though and in general has seen less playing time this season likely due to the additions of Campbell and Wolfe, last season Judon basically was the entire pass rush, this season he has help. Not much else of note here this week, the producers we expected to produce did so with the exception of really only DeShon Elliot (S) and Marcus Peters (CB) who I already touched on and Derek Wolfe (DE) who was injured and out.
Washington Football Team
Produced as expected: Jon Bostic (LB) Landon Collins (S) Kevin Pierre Louis (LB) Daron Payne (DT)
Flash in the pan: Tim Settle (DT) only played 39% of snaps and isn’t someone I knew existed until just this second, pass.
Possible waivers: Kendall Fuller (CB) played every snap this week and had a monster week at cornerback, he was acquired by Washington in the offseason and is finally seeing significant snaps and was able to parlay that into two interceptions and a smattering of other stats, he’s a absolutely ideal streaming corner in the right matchup we just need to make sure this will be his role going forward and the playing time remains ideal, I would steer clear this week unless you have no other streaming options, maybe check his week six matchup and if it looks good add him for then if you have a deep bench, I just don’t want us to get the rug pulled out from under us with this, if I remember correctly he was out the first couple weeks so we’re just now seeing what his role and playing time might look like.
Misc notes: Landon Collins (S) played his normal amount of snaps and was finally looking like his old self this week, hopefully this is the start of a hot streak for him it’s been utterly ridiculous that Troy Apke (S) has been out producing him this season as an IDP safety. Thomas Davis (LB) and Kevin Pierre Louis (LB) played 14% and 84% of snaps respectively this week, despite my prediction last week and even Yahoo’s recommendations and projections it appears he hasn’t gotten the green light to take over for Kevin Pierre Louis (LB) like many including me expected may happen. I’d still hold him in deeper leagues I wouldn’t be surprised if he ends up IDP relevant before this is all said and done, for now though your KPL shares look safe. Troy Apke (S) played 100% of snaps again this week but had a down week with only two combined tackles and a pass defense on the day, he’s been a free waiver wire safety that’s had solid numbers three of four games this year so we can live with this. Besides the Baltimore offense is anything but conventional so we can give him a pass this week, he should be fine. The Washington pass rush in general had trouble getting to the quarterback this week, they were down both Chase Young (DE) and Matt Ioannidis (DT) who are two well known cheek splitters and turn this pass rush into just mediocre when they are absent. Young should be back soon, Ioannidis is done for the season. It’s hard enough trying to sack Lamar Jackson (QB) with everyone healthy it’s even harder down your best pass rusher and another key part of that pass rush as well. This is the long way of saying I’m not shocked they only had one sack this week, as soon as Young is healthy obviously plug him back in and expect this pass rush to get scarier than it was this week. Also when I see guys like Ryan Kerrigan (EDGE) and Montez Sweat (DE) play less than usual this week it makes sense when you look at the offensive production from Baltimore, they only attempted 23 passes on the day and ran 32 times for 144 yards so there were fewer drop backs than what the Washington defensive line might normally see, they should all return to normal-ish playing time against a more prevalent passing offense. Everything else here looks good, get well soon Chase Young (DE).
We got a taste of 2019 Jordan Hicks (LB) this week
Cardinals @ Panthers
Flash in the pan: Charles Washington (S) only played 42% of snaps and just barely had a noteworthy day, definitely not worth a waiver wire add even in deeper leagues.
Possible waivers: Curtis Riley (S) played 79% of snaps while Deionte Thompson (S) was in for 77% this week, those two look like the Budda Baker (S) and Chris Banjo (S) replacements currently, neither played 100% of snaps so they both are less than ideal waiver wire safeties but in deeper leagues taking a shot at either might be something you’re interested in.
Misc notes: Isaiah Simmons (S) still only played 13% of snaps even after the massacre at safety last week and all the bullshit talk about him playing safety all week, what a load of crap. He’s a sit for the foreseeable future, if losing Bjudda Baker (S) and Chris Banjo (S) both wasn’t enough to get him some playing time then the only thing that will would be an injury to either Jordan Hicks (LB) or De’Vondre Campbell (LB) and even then who knows, he’s just a dynasty futures piece at this point. Jordan Phillips (DE/DT) played 60% of snaps and had an acceptable stat line for a non sack week, it was a bad week but he didn’t completely screw you, especially in those deeper leagues where he’s even being started week to week, he’ll be fine. Chandler Jones (EDGE) played 100% of snaps and still hasn’t gotten a sack but had a smattering of other stats so he turned in a somewhat acceptable week all things considered, a lot of people are jumping ship since he hasn’t had a sack in these first four games this season, I’m not. The guy had nineteen sacks last season and has been a monster for years prior, he’s not all of a sudden terrible, he’s going to bounce back with a major week here soon and if you drop him now you’ll end up missing that, you should only be playing him in certain situations anyways, if he’s starting in a regular linebacker slot in a non big play league that’s wrong, if you have him in sleeper and plug him in on the defensive line that’s perfect and if you use an IDP flex spot or dedicate maybe one of three or four regular linebacker slots to him and the rest of your guys are solid tackle floor producers that’s good as well, especially if the league is big play scoring. He’s due, and he will deliver soon, mark my words and mark them well! Also it was nice to see Patrick Peterson (CB) back in business this week with the huge week for streaming corner, surprisingly the Panthers have the eighth ranked passing offense (could’ve fooled me) so he was an ideal or solid start in my streaming corners article and man did he deliver, beautiful. Everything else here looks like business as usual.
Flash in the pan: Yetur Gross Matos (DE) only played 37% of snaps and got a lucky sack, he’s still far too dangerous to play weekly and will never be consistent (for a defensive end) playing that few snaps each week, pass for now, still just a hold in dynasty.
Possible waivers: Brian Burns (DE) was up to 89% of snaps played this week, he didn’t do much with them but that’s a huge amount of playing time for defensive end, if that’s his designation in your league and you need defensive end help this could be a good option, I don’t remember him playing even close to this much any other game this season so this could be an outlier but regardless he makes a fine bye week or short term injury replacement guy in shallow leagues and a weekly starter in deeper leagues where he’s probably already taken but you never know.
Misc notes: Tahir Whitehead (LB) was down to 53% of snaps played this week and is sitting at about a 28 for a PFF grade, this is a thinly veiled way of saying he sucks and this isn’t a shock, he’s benefitted from production by default for years but is always just a breath away from being yanked and replaced due to being so very bad. The playing time is trending in the wrong direction and he’s not playing well, there could be a changing of the guard at the other IDP relevant inside linebacker slot here very soon. Donte Jackson (CB) was back and productive this week but still only played 72% of snaps so I’m guessing he’s still not 100% healthy yet, if he’s not at close to full playing time this week with the Falcons in town we’ll know there’s something up. Tre Boston (S) played 100% of snaps but only recorded four combined tackles this week which is about what we should expect from him in general, he’s a safety three or four in much deeper leagues and will have some outlier games where he blows up but in general this is about what we’ll get from him. Derrick Brown (DT) was back to just being a fat guy taking up space and trying to clog up running lanes this week just like we thought, last week was an outlier he’s not going to be another Chris Jones (DT) or DeForest Buckner (DT). Everything else here looked pretty good, if Shaq Thompson (LB) screwed you this week it’s because your league doesn’t score tackles for loss like they should, ask them to fix that if that’s the case, he got me twelve points in my home league and that was acceptable for the role I have carved out for him.
Ngakoue has caught fire these last few weeks
Vikings @ Texans
Flash in the pan: George Iloka (S) only played 66% of snaps and hasn’t been IDP relevant at all this season plus he’s been traditionally pretty bad, pass for several reasons including he may see his playing time drop back down again next week he’s most definitely not “locked in” to this playing time at all. DJ Wonnum (DE) only played 28% of snaps and if I hadn’t seen his name here I would’ve thought he were highlighting a rave or something, pass. Also I just read that the only reason George Iloka (S) even played significant snaps was because Harrison Smith (S) was ejected for a helmet to helmet hit, it all makes sense now, I wasn’t able to watch this game on Sunday so I had no idea. It all falls into place now, yeah definitely pass, still.
Possible waivers: I mentioned Eric Wilson (LB) weeks ago and also talked about how his production style will likely be very similar to the guy he replaced due to injury, Anthony Barr (OLB), well Wilson had a very Anthony Barr (OLB) like day with nine combined tackles and half a tackle for loss playing 100% of snaps, he’s a perfectly fine waiver wire linebacker if you can live with the OK and sub par weeks. There will also be weeks like this where he blows up, exactly like Anthony Barr (OLB).
Misc notes: Harrison Smith (S) was ejected for a helmet to helmet hit after only played 38% of snaps this week, that obviously had an effect on his production since he exited with only three combined tackles on the day, he’s obviously going to be fine so long as he’s able to keep it in his pants going forward and stay in the game, he remains a known, consistent and mostly reliable safety one. Todd Davis (LB) is still not playing much at all, just 12% of snaps this week, and will not be IDP relevant until that playing time shoots up significantly. It’s too bad we know he’s an excellent IDP producer when he’s getting the opportunity, with the way the injury grim reaper has been clapping cheeks this season you never know, not worth an add at the moment though. Ifeadi Odenigbo (DE) played 68% of snaps this week and still hasn’t landed a sack on the season, Chandler Jones (EDGE) hasn’t either and Cameron Jordan (DE) just got his first this week, it happens. I’m still comfortable playing him as a defensive end three or four in deep leagues because he has the playing time and we saw the production last season but if you want to jump ship I can’t blame you at this point, just make sure you have a decent backup plan in place first. I saw something on Twitter today saying Danielle Hunter (DE) has had his trainer and at least one doctor recommend he sit out the entire season since his injury is significant and could get worse easily if he plays in any capacity, that’s not ideal. Not been a great season for the Vikings so far, we don’t like that.
Flash in the pan: NA, all the right names at the top of the box score this week.
Possible waivers: PJ Hall (DT) has been decent this season and is playing enough, 65% of snaps this week, for a shot in the dark if you need defensive tackle help in deeper leagues, we’ve seen DJ Reader (DT) be somewhat successful as an IDP defensive tackle here in the past so the position can be productive. Brennan Scarlett (LB) played 71% of snaps this week and was a semi consistent guy for a few weeks last season, he’s not a move you want to make unless in a stupid deep league but he’ll probably be able to grab you a handful of tackles every week in a 32 team league.
Misc notes: Whitney Mercilus (EDGE) finally got on the board this season with a two sack day along with a bunch of other stats, he’s always going to be an inconsistent big play dependent boom or bust linebacker but if your league has a designated EDGE or OLB slot or it’s big play and you’re willing to eat the crappy weeks he remains an option, I’m all set though. JJ Watt (DE) and Charles Omenihu (DE) are not living up to their offseason IDP Twitter hype so far this year, they played 89% and 30% of snaps respectively this week. That’s fine for Watt and we know he’ll have some big weeks down the road for sure as long as he remains healthy but for Omenihu this is not ideal playing time at all, plus he hasn’t done much this season in the first place, I’d start boarding the life rafts and looking for other options if he’s in your lineup each week. Both IDP relevant safeties played every snap once again but remain safety three or fours in deeper leagues, we’ll get some outlier performances from these guys during the season but the five or so combined tackles we got this week is probably what a normal week is going to look like most of the season. Bradley Roby (CB) is the corner to stream here by a wide margin and has been, he played every snap again this week and had an excellent box score, Vernon Hargreaves (CB) had the next most playing time with only 76% of snaps played, this wasn’t the most pass happy offense ever they lined up against this week so in general their corners saw less snaps overall but besides Roby in ideal matchups I’m probably steering clear of any other corners here unless I’m in a deeper league where options are limited. Everything else looks good.
Blake Martinez (LB) continues his pursuit of LB1 this year
Giants @ Rams
New York Giants
Flash in the pan: Kyler Fackrell (OLB) and Austin Johnson (DT) both qualify this week, they played 74% and 23% of snaps respectively this week and both had outlier games. Fackrell played enough, there’s no doubt about that, he’s just a sack dependent outside linebacker that most people haven’t heard of and if you’re going to plug an already inconsistent guy into your lineup and live with boom or bust production why would it be Kyler Fackrell (OLB)? Use TJ Watt (EDGE) or Chandler Jones (EDGE) or Za’Darius Smith (EDGE), not this guy, pass. Austin Johnson (DT) barely played and likely won’t do this again this season.
Possible waivers: None I feel comfortable recommending, I’ll touch on Adrian Colbert (S) below.
Misc notes: Julian Love (S) and Adrian Colbert (S) played 30% and 74% of snaps respectively this week, this is a drastic reduction for Love and it’s looking like abandon ship time for him, he was never supposed to start he’s just been the beneficiary of injuries this season and the end of last, his PFF score of 43 is pretty horrendous and it would appear he’s losing favor with the defensive coaches, he wasn’t really useful besides as a hidden safety in some leagues last season anyways so this shouldn’t be a huge loss. Colbert likely only played as much as he did this week due to the injury and absence of Jabrill Peppers (S) who could be back as soon as this week. I don’t know that as fact because I don’t actively follow the Giants, it just makes sense looking at everything. Regardless Colbert was only able to parlay that pretty decent playing time into a whole two combined tackles on the day so I doubt there’s going to be a scramble to grab him off waivers anyways. Markus Golden (EDGE) appears to be completely useless which is still kind of amazing, just 12% of snaps this week and one tackle assist on the day, we’ve been abandon ship on him for awhile it looks like he can be fully blasted out the airlock without any fear of this coming back to bite us this year barring the injury grim reaper really going to work on this defense. Devante Downs (LB) was either a flash in the pan or made a gain in playing time last week I can’t remember which, whatever it was he was down to just 7% of snaps this week and four combined tackles for the day, some of which likely came on special teams where he played the majority of snaps, regardless no one in the right mind is making a waiver wire move for a guy who plays 7% of snaps so we can go back to forgetting about him now like we were doing our entire lives before last week. Everything else is business as usual.
Los Angeles Rams
Flash in the pan: Morgan Fox (DE) and Samson Ebukam (LB) played 40% and 41% of snaps respectively and aren’t playing enough for any kind of consistency and got the majority of their IDP points from an outlier sack, pass. Justin Hollins (LB) and Ogbonnia Okoronkwo (LB) also have the same deal going on, 29% and 44% respectively and also benefitted from a sack they’ll probably not be getting again any time soon. The Rams appear to be taking the Dolphins approach to their linebackers corps, pick one guy to give a bunch of snaps to then throw a bunch of shit at the wall and see what sticks, none of these guys are going to be consistent, pass across the board here.
Possible waivers: No new producers this week.
Misc notes: Jordan Fuller (S) was inactive this week due to injury which meant Taylor Rapp (S) was a smash start, he did what we thought he would do playing 100% of snaps and recording eight combined tackles, he’s an easy plug and play safety while Fuller is out, things get tricky when Fuller is back healthy though so keep that in mind, I’d probably sit them both when that happens and see what happens then circle back the week after with the correct information to make that call. Aaron Donald (DT) had a bit of a down game but still got half a sack and half a tackle for loss plus a couple tackle assists and two QB hits, that’s acceptable depending on scoring for a week where he doesn’t do his normal Aaron Donald (DT) stuff, he’ll be fine he’s a monster. I’ve talked about Michael Brockers (DE) before, he’s been doing this for years now, the occasional sack every two or three weeks season after season, he makes a great bye week or short term injury replacement play in medium to deep leagues I’ve always had a soft spot for him. Leonard Floyd (EDGE) played 87% of snaps this week but was unable to land a sack, he’s a nice option at EDGE or as an IDP flex in deep leagues with big play scoring where guys like TJ Watt (EDGE) are valuable but not available, he’ll have more than a few decent weeks this season. Troy Hill (CB) continues to quietly kill it at IDP cornerback this season, he’s almost been a set and forget corner to far this year and barely anyone knows who he is. He remains an excellent streaming corner option in solid to ideal matchups going forward.
Roquan Smith (LB) did his part but the Bears come up short this week
Colts @ Bears
Flash in the pan: George Odum (S) isn’t playing nearly enough to be relevant going forward and hasn’t done much else of note this year, pass for now.
Possible waivers: Anthony Walker (LB) or Bobby Okereke (LB) for the duration of the Darius Leonard (LB) injury, get Okereke if you can only get one.
Misc notes: With Darius Leonard (LB) injured and out either Okereke or Walker make great waiver wire linebackers for the duration of that injury, after he returns it was looking like Okereke had edged out Walker for the most playing time as the other IDP relevant inside linebacker to own here so I’d prioritize him in waivers if he’s out there. Both are good for now as long as Leonard is out though. Rock Ya Sin (CB) was back this week but got re injured so his snaps were down, it looks like Kenny Moore (CB) and Xavier Rhodes (CB) as the corners to stream here until Ya Sin is back and 100% healthy. DeForest Buckner (DT) recorded three combined tackles, a pass defense and three QB hits this week, if your league records all those stats his week was fine, if they don’t it was a bad week for you, all you can do is lobby your leaguemates to include as many of those IDP stats as possible going forward so more of the player pool is relevant and some of these “bad days” (which are actually good, you can clearly see Buckner affected the game immensely) end up looking pretty good. Julian Blackmon (S) was back up to 100% of snaps played this week but wasn’t able to do much with them, his playing time has been a roller coaster since he took over for Malik Hooker (S) who is done for the season. Even with him playing every snap he wasn’t very productive so I’m not really into jumping through flaming hoops when there are a ton of other solid waiver wire safety moves out there. Denico Autry (DT) played plenty, 84% of snaps this week, but recorded zero stats of any kind, not ideal. He still remains IDP relevant if he’s listed as a defensive tackle since the talent pool there is pretty pretty small and he’s had some nice weeks so far this season and is playing more than enough to make an impact any given week, hang in there if you’re rolling him out in much deeper leagues.
Flash in the pan: Brent Urban (DT) only played 38% of snaps this week, not nearly enough for any kind of consistency especially at defensive tackle, pass.
Possible waivers: No new producers this week and the picked over carcass of Roy Robertson Harris (DT) isn’t going to do anyone any good.
Misc notes: Danny Trevethan (LB) stayed at around the same playing time as last week, 74% of snaps overall, and had decent production, four combined tackles and half a tackle for loss, but still not what we thought we were getting when we drafted him prior to the season. The days of linebacker one or two numbers every other week appear to be long gone, if you’re not already doing so it’s probably time to look for a better option. Robert Quinn (EDGE) didn’t play much more this week, only 44% of snaps, and didn’t do anything with those snaps, it would appear his days of excellent IDP production may be over as well, especially if he’s not listed as a defensive end in your league, time to unpack the life boats for both these guys and start to abandon ship. Khalil Mack (EDGE) played 88% of snaps this week which is plenty but came back to earth after a couple pretty hot weeks, he’ll be fine it’s just the nature of his production, there will be good weeks and there will be bad, this one was bad. Kyle Fuller (CB) obviously played 100% of snaps but had a rare bad week in the box score, the fact I even just typed that sentence when he’s a cornerback, a massively inconsistent and spotty position for IDP production in general, should go to show you just how good he has been for years now. He’ll be fine, this wasn’t exactly a shoot out by any means, keep plugging him in especially if it’s a matchup against a team with a better passing offense than the Colts have. Deon Bush (S) only played 7% of snaps and recorded no stats of any kind, we can probably start shoveling dirt on him despite the hype he received by IDP Twitter in the off season, he’s DOA at the moment. This defense remains one of the best for producing IDP relevant guys and even though Mack and Fuller had down weeks everything else looks good here besides the Trevethan and Quinn shenanigans.
Tremaine Edmunds (LB) is back.
Bills @ Raiders
Flash in the pan: Taron Johnson (CB) and Josh Norman (CB) both had really nice box scores and played 72% and 91% of snaps respectively and may end up being streaming options if the Levi Wallace (CB) injury is serious, however in general Tre’Davious White (CB) and Levi Wallace (CB) are the guys who clearly play the most here and are the best options for streaming corner, that could change but don’t go chasing either of these guys expecting big things especially if Levi Wallace (CB) ends up being OK and comes back sooner rather than later. Darryl Johnson (DE) only played 8% of snaps, would you ever start someone playing 8% of snaps? I didn’t think so. Quinton Jefferson (DT) was IDP relevant for a few games last year on the Seahawks If I recall correctly but he’s not playing enough here for any consistency, just 46% of snaps and the fourth defensive tackle overall in playing time, pass here as well.
Possible waivers: No new producers this week.
Misc notes: Jerry Hughes (DE) and Mario Addison (EDGE/DE) are the IDP relevant defensive ends for the Bills this season, they played 61% and 57% of snaps respectively and neither did real well this week, Addison should be fine he’s been productive already this season. The rotting carcasses of Jerry Hughes (DE) and Trent Murphy (DE) have been the mediocre IDP relevant defensive ends here for years and have been “meh” for years, it’s nice to see someone else here so for me the one to own is Addison by a good amount. He should be fine, those other guys shouldn’t be played unless in a stupid deep league. Matt Milano (LB) was down to just 74% of snaps this week, this is very likely just him not being completely healthy yet, he’s locked and loaded for 100% of snaps when he’s fully healthy so I highly doubt this has anything to do with talent or production, if it happens again next week we can start to worry. Tremaine Edmunds (LB) played 100% of snaps and recorded twelve combined tackles and half a tackle for loss, those be linebacker one numbers me boy-os. We don’t take kindly to Tremaine Edmunds (LB) slander around here! Told you he’d be fine. I jokingly said on the @Big3IDP podcast that Jordan Poyer (S) would end up as safety one after the Derwin James (S) injury, since then both Jamal Adams (S) and Budda Baker (S) have gone down and Marcus Maye (S) has not lived up to expectations, he’s sitting at safety two overall in my home league and my half assed attempt at a joke may end up coming true if he keeps this up, as consistent and productive an IDP safety for as long as I’ve seen in my seventeen years playing this format, absolutely a man.
Las Vegas Raiders
Flash in the pan: All the right names at the top of the box score this week.
Possible waivers: Go grab Nick Kwiatkowski (LB) if someone gave up on him with the slow start and injury, he’s playing more than enough and the production shouldn’t be far behind.
Misc notes: Erik Harris (S) was someone I’ve talked about in this article this season already and recommended grabbing if you needed safety help, I hope you did so he was awesome this week and he was awesome last season as well. Cory Littleton (LB) must have read the article last week or the week prior, I’m not going to look we’re already at almost 13,000 words here and I’m I’ve got three more games left, kill me, where I absolutely blasted him and suggested he was the third best linebacker on this team behind Nicholas Morrow (LB) and Nick Kwiatkowski (LB). He’s obviously very good, they paid him like he was really good, hopefully this week and the decent box score last week are the beginning of him figuring things out in Las Vegas, if it’s a deeper league you have to start him but in shallow leagues where you have a ton of options waiting another week wouldn’t kill you and it’s the best way to make sure. Speaking of Nicholas Morrow (LB) exactly what I said would happen is what happened this week. Nick Kwiatkowski (LB) returned from injury and Morrow’s playing time plummeted drastically down to just 18% of snaps played this week for zero stats of any kind, he remains not relevant for IDP unless something changes either due to injury or change in role for Kwiatkowski or Littleton. Jonathan Abram (S) had a bit of a down game but still decent and played 93% of snaps, he’ll be fine. Maxx Crosby (DE) continues to penetrate opposing quarterbacks butt cheeks like The Red October running on it’s caterpillar drive, quietly and effectively. Clelin Ferrel (DE) played 57% of snaps which is fine I guess but still didn’t do anything with them and still looks like a waste of a draft pick, I’m not playing him anywhere, he’s really only an option in massively deep leagues at the moment. Nevin Lawson (CB) is the beneficiary of the Damon Arnette (CB) injury and saw an increase in playing time and production this week, he’ll be part of the possible corners to stream going forward unless something changes. The defensive tackle situation here is still a mess, the snaps are completely reversed from a week or two ago with Maliek Collins (DT) now playing the least of the three IDP relevant defensive tackles and Jonathan Hankins (DT) now playing the most while Maurice Hurst (DT) splits the difference, none of the three did anything really of note this week so we’ll leave it at that. Everything else looks good.
@Wildspicy has been blasting Nathan Gerry (LB) all week for being absolute shit, did he figure it out against San Fran?
Eagles @ 49ers
Flash in the pan: Marcus Epps (S) only played 60% of snaps this week and hasn’t done anything else of note this season, not enough playing time and usually these “third safeties” aren’t consistent in playing time or production. Pass. Genard Avery (LB) and Hassan Ridgeway (DT) played 22% and 32% respectively and were only somewhat relevant due to a lucky sack each, pass on both.
Possible waivers: Javon Hargrave (DT) was up to 58% of snaps this week and put up some production with half a sack and half a tackle for loss plus a tackle assist and a QB hit, he’s trending in the right direction with playing time the last couple weeks and the production is starting with this weeks showing, he was a very popular sleeper defensive tackle this offseason and is probably worth an add in deeper leagues, sit for now but it’s heading in a good direction overall.
Misc notes: Duke Riley (LB) played 64% of snaps this week but had a little better production with five combined tackles, he’s been hovering around this much playing time recently and is the closest thing to a second IDP relevant linebacker here but Nathan Gerry (LB) still remains the guy to own. While the Eagles corners overall had a very nice day their playing time drops off a cliff after Darius Slay (CB), the next corner played played only 42% of snaps this week so it looks like Slay is the only really safe corner to stream at the moment, obviously that will be different in a matchup against a team not starting a second or third string quarterback who’s not completing a ton of passes but overall there’s a lot of uncertainty with this cornerback corps, keep that in mind if you want to stream anyone besides Slay from here going forward. Fletcher Cox (DT) played 68% of snaps this week but didn’t have any recorded stats, he’s had a fine season so far and this kind of thing happens especially at defensive tackle which is a traditionally spotty and inconsistent position. He’ll be fine. Josh Sweat (DE) did get a sack this week and has been playing plenty recently but was down to just 37% of snaps played this week, in general it looks like the Eagles defense didn’t do as much pass defense, corner snaps overall are down and the same with defensive ends, which is strange because they were up for a decent amount of this game with the Niners trying to play catch up. This looks like a blip on the radar I wouldn’t be surprised to see Sweat back to around 55% of snaps next week like he’s been playing most of the season, we’ll keep an eye on it though if his playing time is reduced again next week we can start sounding the alarm bells. Everything else here looks normal.
San Francisco 49ers
Flash in the pan: Jamar Taylor (CB) and DJ Jones (DT) played 16% and 63% of snaps respectively, that’s plenty for Jones he just hasn’t done anything this year and only had the one sack on the day so not really an option, yet anyways, and for Taylor would you ever play a corner that plays 16% of snaps? Ever? Didn’t think so.
Possible waivers: No new producers, I hope you pulled the trigger on Kerry Hyder (DE) when I talked about him a couple weeks ago he’s been a terrific waiver wire defensive end so far.
Misc notes: Kwon Alexander (LB) played nearly every snap as usual and finally broke through with the kind of linebacker one game people (not me, but people) drafted him for. Overall he’s been a massive disappointment the last couple years but the sun shines on a dogs ass some days, I’m not into it and never will be, but it was nice for the people who drafted him early to get something out of him this week. Jaquiski Tartt (S) and Jimmy Ward (S) played every snap like usual and did about what they usually do four to five combined tackles each and occasionally a smattering of other stats, they remain safety three preferably fours in deeper leagues. Jason Verrett (CB) and Dontae Johnson (CB) were the corners who played enough to be IDP relevant this week, this entire 49ers cornerback corps is shredded with injury I would just steer clear of it in general if you can until guys like Richard Sherman (CB) and Emmanuel Moseley (CB) return from injury. Both Dee Ford (DE) and Ezekiel Ansah (DE) went to IR this week, Ansah is done for the season, not great news overall for the Niners pass rush which is exponentially less scary this season. We expected Ansah to only last as long as a fresh poop at Odell Beckhams (WR) house but this may be a record for even him in terms of season ending injury. There will obviously be some newer guys rotating in to this pass rush we’ll keep an eye on them the next week or two and maybe get a waiver wire guy or two out of it, too early to tell at the moment however. Javon Kinlaw (DT) played 76% of snaps and recorded four combined tackles and a pass defended, nine points in most of my leagues, that makes him a nice defensive tackle two or three in medium to deeper leagues and his dynasty prospects are looking decent so far. Fred Warner (LB) had a bit of a down week with only five combined tackles and a QB hit on the day but still played every snap and is having a solid season overall, he’ll be fine going forward.
Chris Jones (DT) was injured and out this week, were the Chiefs able to get to the quarterback anyways?
Patriots @ Chiefs
New England Patriots
Produced as expected: Ja’Whaun Bentley (LB) Patriots Corners Chase Winovich (DE)
Flash in the pan: Basically everyone on this defense every week except Winovich, Bentley, Gilmore sometimes and Phillips sometimes.
Possible waivers: None I would feel comfortable recommending.
Misc notes: Stephon Gilmore (CB) played every snap but had a down game in an ideal matchup and overall hasn’t been anything close to what he was last season so far this year, also at the time of writing it appears he has coronavirus so we won’t be seeing him for awhile. It’s possible he regains his 2019 defensive player of the year form at some point this season but so far it’s not looking great, in general I’ve moved away from him as one of my preferred corners to stream and am looking at other options. Adrian Phillips (S) hasn’t seen ideal playing time yet this season and has essentially lucked into a couple decent games production-wise, not this week, his 75% of snaps weren’t enough for production of any substance, only two combined tackles and half a tackle for loss on the day. I’ve been trying to warn people off him for a couple weeks now, this is why. This is a symptom of a larger problem with this defense, I say it every week and I’ll say it again, there are very few “locked in” guys on this defense. Winovich, Bentley, sometimes Gilmore and sometimes Phillips and that’s it. Phillips and Gilmore are starting to look less and less like good options every week, at least Gilmore plays every snap when he does play, the same can’t be said for Phillips. In general this defense spreads it’s production around, there are no “studs” here in terms of weekly tackle floor, plus the roles, playing time and overall strategy for this defense changes week to week to fit whatever opponent they’re up against, much like Detroit and Miami there are a ton of moving parts here and in general this isn’t a good place to get your IDP producers from. I’m not into it, to each their own but why risk screwing around here when there are so many other producers on other teams that get the same snaps every week, have the same role every week and generally put up the same production every week, I’ll take that over this nonsense ten times out of ten.
Kansas City Chiefs
Flash in the pan: Mike Pennel (DT) only saw significant playing time and production due to Chris Jones (DT) being injured and out this week, he’ll be not IDP relevant once again as soon as Chris Jones (DT) is back, pass unless the Jones injury is serious. Taco Charlton (DE) only played 23% of snaps and hasn’t played much more than that this season and has always been pretty terrible, pass on that.
Possible waivers: No new producers this week.
Misc notes: Willie Gay (LB) was up to 33% of snaps this week so his playing time is heading in the right direction but clearly not there yet, just two combined tackles on the day. Overall the linebacker situation here remains a mess, Anthony Hitchens (LB) played the most at 75% of snaps and Ben Niemann (LB) played the least with 27% and there were two other guys somewhere inbetween, Willie Gay (LB) and Damien Wilson (LB), no one is really a “safe start” at the moment here, Hitchens is the safest but I’d only consider him in deep leagues. It’s eventually going to be Willie Gay (LB) as the guy to own here but who knows how long that’s going to take. Chavarious Ward (CB) was back playing this week after injury, he logged 79% of snaps this week and recorded four combined tackles on the day and will probably be back to full playing time and a good streaming corner next week for solid or ideal matchups. Tanoh Kpassagnon (DE) played a massive 88% of snaps this week and has had great playing time all season so far, the production hasn’t been there yet but I’d rather play him than Taco Charlton (DE) who played about a quarter of the snaps Kpassagnon played but did have a sack this week, the best ability is availability and the more someone plays the more chances to score IDP points so this isn’t a bad option especially in deeper leagues. Juan Thornhill (S) is now the other full time safety here and has been pretty productive the last couple weeks, great news for his dynasty value overall and also good news on his health, he makes a nice safety three in deeper leagues. Daniel Sorensen (S) had a nice week with production but only played 69% of snaps and is clearly the “third safety” here which so far hasn’t been real great for IDP production in general, keep that in mind if you plan on playing him going forward. Get well soon Chris Jones (DT) and everything else looks good here.
Deion Jones (LB) had a perfect matchup, was he able to take advantage?
Falcons @ Packers
Flash in the pan: Jamal Carter (S) only played 49% of snaps this week and hasn’t done anything else of note this season and only got some snaps due to the Damontae Kazee (S) injury, he’ll be irrelevant once again as soon as Kazee is healthy and back in business. Charles Harris (LB) only played 43% of snaps and hasn’t done anything of note this season either, pass here as well.
Possible waivers: No new producers that will be around for any length of time.
Misc notes: Kendall Sheffield (CB) was involved heavily in the cornerback production this week playing 100% of snaps and putting up a nice box score, he didn’t record any stats prior to this week however so this looks like an injury replacement so keep that in mind before adding him as a corner to stream, it could be short term. Dante Fowler (EDGE) saw his playing time recover significantly this week back up to 71% of snaps this week while recording two combined tackles and one and a half tackles for loss. The production was just “meh” but it was good to see the playing time recover for him, a lot of guys were standing on a cliff after seeing his snaps the last couple weeks. In general there are many other EDGE guys who are better options but there are guys in deeper leagues that don’t have any other options so at least he’s playing enough once more. Deion Jones (LB) and Foye Oluokon (LB) both played every snap or almost every snap and both had solid stat lines so that was good to see, it looks like the injury to Oluokon wasn’t too serious, he was able to put up eight combined tackles and remains a nice linebacker three in medium to deep leagues. Keanu Neal (S) was injured and out this week, it doesn’t look like there was a direct replacement just a bunch of elevated snaps for guys at different positions and Jamal Carter (S) and Jaylinn Hawkins (S) getting snaps when I didn’t know either of them existed before just now, so no waiver wire moves from that fallout, hopefully he’ll be back in the lineup soon enough he was able to practice in a limited capacity as of the time of writing this article.
Green Bay Packers
Flash in the pan: Raven Greene (S) played 71% of snaps but isn’t someone I knew existed until just now, hasn’t done anything of note this season and is one of those “third safeties” that’s never going to play enough to be relevant every week and will likely see their role and playing time change drastically week to week, I’m all set personally, maybe in stupid deep leagues this is an option but it doesn’t feel remotely “safe” to me. Krys Barnes (LB) only played 54% of snaps and could end up relevant at some point but not currently, we’ll keep an eye on it though. And lastly Will Redmond (S) played 56% of snaps and wasn’t able to produce last year when given a shot at far more snaps than this weekly as a replacement due to injury so he’s sure as hell not going to be able to be consistent playing essentially only half the game this season, pass.
Possible waivers: TY Summers (LB) did not play every snap like most of us in IDP Twitter thought he would, he did wear the green dot for at least some of the defensive play calling this week and ended up playing 74% of snaps and recorded seven combined tackles on the day, he was not the ultimate waiver wire linebacker like many of us thought he would be but this is fine, especially for someone we all got for free. Christian Kirksey (LB) landed on IR and the Green Bay defense looked solid overall so he’ll probably see a good amount of snaps until Kirksey returns.
Misc notes: Kevin King (CB) was injured in this one after only 43% of snaps played which is extremely unfortunate this was an absolutely ideal matchup for him and Jaire Alexander (CB) both, obviously Alexander played every snap and was able to feast in this matchup but King had bad luck, keep an eye on him if he’s healthy after the bye week he’s a locked and loaded streaming corner in ideal matchups. Preston Smith (EDGE) actually played more than Za’Darius Smith (EDGE) 96% to 91% of snaps this week but once again wasn’t able to parlay solid playing time into anything production-wise. He’ll blow up one of these weeks but it’s always a roll of the dice with these EDGE or OLB guys so I have no idea when that’s going to be, if you want to start these EDGE guys in your regular linebacker slot you either learn to live with weeks like this or just find a solid tackle floor guy off waivers and score points every week instead of some weeks. Not much else to see here, I wouldn’t be waiting on bended knee for Christian Kirksey (LB) to return anytime soon, even if this is just the short term IR he’s notoriously injury prone and will likely just get banged up again at some point later in the season, with that in mind it’s probably a good idea to figure out the TY Summers (LB) situation or whoever his replacement is going to be long term since they will very likely be around and relevant for a decent part of the season. I think I might be made of cake.
I needed to write twenty four more words to break sixteen thousand words for this weeks monster. Saying it’s sixteen thousand words is cooler than saying it’s fifteen thousand.
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