Have the IDP Gods given us a new apostle that deserves our worship?
Week ten is in the books and while a lot of the results we expected in terms of actual football were correct it was a wacky week for fantasy, on offense at least. Guys like DK Metcalf (WR) and basically everyone except the running backs from that letdown of a game between the Rams and Seahawks had bad days. Without a doubt many people lost their matchups and cash in DFS on the Nick Chubb (RB) step out of bounds instead of score play at the end of that game, the Lions nearly choked in the second half like they always do but ended up getting saved by MVPrater. For those two contests we’ll find out if Ronnie Harrison (S) held onto his starting role and if Tracy Walker (S) was back to his old productive self after missing a week due to injury. Neither Alex Smith (QB) or Jared Goff (QB) had a good day in the box score despite solid matchups for both and the Packers barely edged out a Florida team with a backup quarterback missing one of their best offensive pieces in a snow storm, we did see the return of Christian Kirksey (LB) in that one so we’ll see how that went. So yeah, things were very strange in offense fantasy land this week.
Carson Wentz (QB) continued to stink up the joint even with the majority of his weapons back this week and the NFC least continued to be a circus, nothing surprising there, we did get another week to figure out who the Eagles linebackers are going forward though so we’ll use that information to tweak our IDP defenses only to have them tweaked again after Nathan Gerry (LB) returns this week or next. As predicted here last week the Bucs took that Sunday night loss to the Saints personally and came out firing on all cylinders which was excellent for the Panthers IDP production this week but strangely enough not great for their corners despite plenty of passing fireworks in this one, we’ll definitely figure out what the hell happened there and why that happened. The Raiders blasted the Broncos in a divisional showdown and were without Cory Littleton (LB) who landed on the Covid IR before kickoff, I saw plenty of happy Raiders fans demanding that Nicholas Morrow (LB) remain the other starting inside linebacker after this weeks performance even when Littleton is back healthy so we’ll absolutely dig into that matchup and see if that’s a possibility or just wishful thinking.
The Dolphins edged out the Chargers which means it’s another week of holding back vomit while diagnosing the Chargers linebackers situation and taking six Advil before looking at the Dolphins defense as a whole, can’t wait. The Bills and Cardinals had the best game of the day with an incredible finish that also provided us with both guys in contention for IDP safety one this season on the same field so we’ll see who did better this week and who is our safety one heading into next week. The Seahawks tried to cook but they ran into a determined divisional opponent on a mission to destroy DFS slates everywhere. Jamal Adams (S) was back again this week so we’ll see how he looked and if KJ Wright (LB) is still on the downslide or if last week was just a blip on the radar. The Saints obliterated the Jimmy Beautiful-less Niners and we even got to see Mr. Crabs take some snaps at quarterback this week, Demario Davis (LB) was back in a BIG way and we got our first look at Kwon Alexander‘s (LB) role, playing time and production in that one so we’ll most definitely throw a magnifying glass on that matchup. The Steelers crushed the Bengals, the Patriots played the Ravens and it was not the most exciting thing we’ve ever seen and we ended the week with a monkey knife fight between the Vikings and Bears.
It was a fine week overall, no catastrophic losses to the injury grim reaper (that I know of yet anyways) and we got some guys back that were out (Sam Hubbard (DE) and others) and saw what some guys roles and playing time look like in new places (Kwon Alexander (LB) and Avery Williamson (LB) amongst others). So at the very least even if we did get blown away in most places this week, much like I did, we got valuable information out of it. And like I always say it doesn’t matter if you go into the playoffs with a perfect record or just sneak in, the bottom line is you just need to get there, after that anything is possible. I’m 100% seeing guys check out left and right, in pay leagues and regular leagues, and not just randoms from Yahoo public leagues but known guys from IDP and Fantasy Twitter. “Experts”. “Analysts”. Guys that should be able to set a lineup, especially when they paid a decent chunk of money to get into or stay in these leagues. If those guys are burning out God only knows what the regular Joe is feeling. It’s sure as hell been a long and difficult season, the worst I’ve ever seen by a factor of a shitload. But we’re almost to the end, three weeks from playoffs and five or six weeks from those title games in most cases.
Now is the time of the year that instead of giving up and punching out we should be getting locked in, start looking at those playoff weeks and the matchups, stash some streamers on your bench for those weeks at corner and even other positions if it’s a shallower league. Fix whatever holes you can fix and double down on the stuff that got you within striking distance of playoffs, the little things that aren’t so little when you add them all up. Set those alarms for inactives, get your waivers in, set lineups early and often so you only need to tweak them Sunday morning instead of starting from scratch. Keep your head in the game and follow the injury and Covid IR news. Follow the local beat writers for guys coming back from injury or Covid IR, scour those waiver wires for anyone that can help you (this week or down the road) and don’t just stop when the projected points get lower than what you’re looking for, these fantasy sites routinely screw up projections (CJ Gardner Johnson (S) has been projected at zero points a week all season in Yahoo last time I checked and he’s far from the only guy they’ve screwed up). Now is the time to turn up the volume not give up. The finish line is in sight. And if (and when) you and I take down those leagues and win those titles this season anyone who thinks this season deserves an “asterisk” can take that opinion and cram it so far up their own booty hole that they’ll need to eat a month of Chipotle to get it back out. This has been the most ridiculous and challenging season I’ve ever experienced and anyone who thinks this hasn’t been a legit season with legit titles on the line hasn’t been paying attention. So hang in there my precious readers, we’re almost there and the taste of victory will be sweet indeed this season.
Alright the initial rant (of several in all likelihood) is complete so let’s get into it. It’s time for fifteen or sixteen thousand words of rambling shenanigans about the finer points of IDP strategy, every teams playing time, production, changes in roles or responsibility, waivers and basically anything IDP relevant that will help you improve your IDP defenses. Every week, all season long, written by a crazy asshole with a questionable infatuation with Jimmy Garappolo (QB). It’s the monster. Let’s roll.
Colts @ Titans
Flash in the pan: NA but Grover Stewart (DT) usually doesn’t produce like he has been recently, he’s just a nose tackle and they’re traditionally not very IDP relevant, in most cases they just eat space and plug up running lanes. He did play 52% of snaps which is fine for a defensive tackle and he is playable in deeper leagues but this kind of production is not normal for him just a heads up.
Possible waivers: No new producers this week.
Misc notes: Justin Houston (DE) only played 55% of snaps this week which is less than he played at the start of the season, he played 68% in week one and 69% in week two etc. Since the injury a few weeks back he’s been hovering around 50% of snaps per game and has been a shell of himself in terms of production. In deeper leagues it is what it is, you’re not getting anything better off waivers so you might just have to eat it and hope he returns to form in terms of both playing time and production but in shallower leagues it’s time to move on and bench and/or blast him out the airlock and go with another option. It’s crunch time so we really can’t screw around here waiting for him to get back to 100%. Anthony Walker (LB) & Bobby Okereke (LB) played 60% and 83% of snaps respectively this week just like usual, Walker ended up with five combined tackles (only two of them solo) so it wasn’t a total disaster if anyone played him but we can clearly see how his production takes a nose dive when both Darius Leonard (LB) and Bobby Okereke (LB) are healthy and playing, they are the guys who will get the snaps going forward just like we’ve seen all season when the three of them are healthy unless the injury grim reaper pays the Colts a visit. The Colts cornerbacks saw a shuffle in playing time yet again, this was due to a rib injury to Kenny Moore (CB) that caused him to leave early in this one, we’ll have to monitor that going into their next game, if he can’t go then Rock Ya Sin (CB) should see an increase in snaps and he along with Xavier Rhodes (CB) would be the two corners to stream from at that point. None of the Colts defenders played 100% of snaps this week due to the blowout nature of this game so don’t panic when you look at that snap percentages from this one, the Colts won the time of possession battle slightly but in general both defenses saw the field enough to produce and there was enough offense from both teams to provide enough to eat for the opposing defenses. So everything looks good there. There were no significant fluctuations in playing time besides everyone getting a rest towards the end of this one after it was already in the bag and nothing else of note this week, this defense looked fine we just need Justin Houston (DE) to wake up and everything will be peachy.
Flash in the pan: NA, all the right names at the top of the box score this week.
Possible waivers: Breon Borders (CB) continues to play 100% of snaps each week as the Jonathan Joseph (CB) replacement after he was released around the trade deadline, he recorded five solo tackles this week in a really not ideal matchup against a Colts team that certainly isn’t known for it’s passing attack so obviously that bodes well for his streaming potential or even weekly start potential in those much deeper leagues. As much as everyone wanted Desmond King (CB) to be the “new thing” here in Tennessee so far it looks like the new kid on the block is Breon Borders (CB).
Misc notes: Desmond King (CB) only played 69% of snaps this week and returned zero kicks or punts (that has always traditionally been a significant part of his value) and recorded five combined tackles, only two of those solo, for seven points in most of my leagues which is decent but obviously not great. The lack of ideal cornerback playing time and the lack of kick or punt returning means I’m less than interested, we’ll keep an eye on it but so far it looks like his value remains about the same as it was with the Chargers earlier this season. Jadaveon Clowney (EDGE) played his usual 74% or so of snaps this week but actually had a decent week with four combined tackles and one tackle for loss, about eight points in most of my leagues which is not bad at all for an EDGE guy who didn’t land a sack, and in his case hasn’t landed one all season I believe. Usually it’s splash play or no plays, this week we got a happy medium with Mr. Clowney so we’ll take it with a nod and a smile, overall though he’s been God awful this year, you all know this I don’t need to beat a dead horse. Jeffrey Simmons (DT) played 81% of snaps this week but only had two tackle assists and a pass defense on the day, depending on how your league scores pass defense that might have meant an acceptable day but for the most part it was a down week. He’s had five good games and three bad on the season with one missed for being on Covid IR, that’s far better than the majority of defensive tackles and he’s clearly an up and coming star defensive tackle for both IDP and actual football purposes that’s still developing, short version is we eat the bad week and keep playing him because it would be crazy to sit him. He’ll be fine. There wasn’t anything else of note here this week, let’s keep it moving.
Texans @ Browns
Flash in the pan: Corey Liuget (DT) only played 9% of snaps this week and hasn’t done anything else of note this season, obvious pass.
Possible waivers: No new producers this week.
Misc notes: Zach Cunningham (LB) was back up to 100% of snaps this week which was good to see for those concerned about his ability to remain relevant the remainder of this season after his horrible (actual football) play recently and horrendous PFF score. The weather factor might have helped keep him on the field as passing was basically nonexistent this week with high winds and sleet or freezing rain involved, regardless he played every snap and was super productive so we’ll take it. Whitney Mercilus (EDGE) was back this week after being on Covid IR and played 69% of snaps on the day, he only recorded four combined tackles and a QB hit on the day which isn’t terrible for an EDGE guy that doesn’t land a sack or splash play, regardless he’s back and playing essentially his normal snaps so if you were forced to use him it’s an option once more. Neither IDP relevant safety here, Eric Murray (S) or Justin Reid (S) did much this week, just four combined tackles each but that’s not completely a shock as overall offense was down in this one and there wasn’t much to eat besides the easy run stopping tackles that both inside linebackers here snatched up all day long. They both remain decent safety three or four’s in deeper leagues that will produce better in more of a shoot out. JJ Watt (DE) once again played a ton of snaps, 95% this week! He didn’t land a sack but ended up being fine with five combined tackles and one tackle for loss, about ten points in most of my leagues which is perfectly acceptable for a defensive end that doesn’t get a sack or splash play. He’s been playing an ungodly amount of snaps recently and has recovered nicely since his slow start to the season, continue to play him in leagues of all shapes and sizes with confidence. Tyrell Adams (LB) also played 100% of snaps and had a solid day as well so that continues to be an excellent waiver wire linebacker option. Nothing crazy to report from this defense, looking good.
Flash in the pan: NA, all the right names at the top of the box score this week.
Possible waivers: It was Ronnie Harrison (S) playing 100% of snaps once again, Karl Joseph (S) only played special teams snaps this week so it would appear this really is a done deal, I was able to pick up Harrison in a couple places this week due to the bye and general uncertainty on if he would retain this role or not going forward, it looks like the answer to that is yes so pull the trigger while you still can if you need safety help.
Misc notes: Mack Wilson (LB) and Malcolm Smith (LB) played 54% and 47% of snaps respectively this week and neither did anything of note in the box score. I saw a spirited Twitter debate on the logic of holding onto Mack Wilson (LB) in dynasty this past week instead of using that roster spot for an offensive player that had potential future promise. Here’s my thinking on that, besides me asking which one of the two tackles that person enjoyed the most from Mack Wilson (LB) this week and how excited they are over the 54% playing time that plummeted back to earth after an outlier 72% snap share the last game the Browns played (in a wind/snow storm by the way where passing was basically impossible, of course run stopping linebackers played more that week) I would also point out that linebacker is (besides cornerback) the easiest position to replace in IDP via waivers by a good margin. Linebackers grow on trees, the same for safety and CB but not so much for DE and DT. That’s my little rhyme for remembering how hard it is to replace IDP producers off waivers in basically any size league. This year we’ve had Tyrell Adams (LB), Joe Thomas (LB) for almost half the season, any of the Philly linebackers that played this week, AJ Klein (LB) in Buffalo, and many many other waiver wire linebackers that were very likely not owned even in stupid deep leagues that have been excellent waiver wire options. Why in Gods name would you hang onto a guy like Mack Wilson (LB) who’s really only seen acceptable playing time once this entire season if I remember correctly and hasn’t produced anything of note this season either when you can find guys like those listed above just by paying attention and/or reading this article every week. I never worry about linebacker, just by paying attention I know that by week four or five I’ll be able to have my pick of the waiver wire linebacker litter every year. Don’t anchor yourself to a bad investment just because you’re stubborn. Anyways I thought that was interesting when I saw that and this is where I come to rant. Sione Takitaki (LB) only played 30% of snaps this week and also didn’t produce anything of note, still a pass also. Olivier Vernon (DE) played plenty, 79% of snaps this week, but came back to earth after his massive game in week eight. He remains a decent defensive end three or four in deeper leagues but will never be a great option in shallower leagues. He’s likely got another game or two of nice production in him before the season’s done though. Andrew Sendejo (S) also only played 79% of snaps and didn’t do much with them this week either, it’s pretty clear that Harrison is the safety to own here currently but I guess Sendejo has some value in much deeper leagues if you’re out of options but beyond that I’m not touching him with a ten foot pole. Everything else here looked good, no other fluctuations in playing time or bad weeks for production for any of the guys we rely on here weekly.
Football Team @ Lions
Washington Football Team
Flash in the pan: NA, all the right names at the top of the box score this week.
Possible waivers: Kamren Curl (S) is the direct replacement for Landon Collins (S). I’ve talked about him here before but this is probably your last chance to get him, two massive weeks in a row, 100% of snaps once again this week and the overall leader in IDP production for the day once again. Safety help if you need it and another possible apostle for us to worship if he can keep this up, great option for safety help for leagues of all shapes and sizes.
Misc notes: Deshazor Everrett (S) only played 54% of snaps this week due to an ankle injury, with him leaving this one early it was Troy Apke (S) who was once again gracing us with his presence, if this injury lasts into the next game or longer it would appear that Troy Apke (S) is once again relevant for the duration of that injury. Cole Holcomb (LB) was finally in for 100% of snaps this week, he’s been hovering in the 70% or so area since he became IDP relevant again a few weeks back during that “massive shakeup” of the Washington defense, he had six combined tackles and remains a decent linebacker three or four in deeper leagues. Kevin Pierre Louis (LB) on the other hand saw his snaps drop to just 24% played this week and is no longer IDP relevant playing this little each week, he had his shot this season but wasn’t able to take advantage of it, it looks like he’s going the way of Shaun Dion Hamilton (LB) and will just be a dynasty futures piece in stupid deep leagues or a guy who gets dropped. Montez Sweat (DE) was back around his normal playing time this week so we can cancel the panic over last weeks slight drop in playing time, he was in for 64% of snaps this week, he didn’t do much with them but that’s the nature of the position. Now that we know he’s fine and playing his normal snaps again it’s a good possibility he’ll have some nice weeks before the season wraps up. Ryan Kerrigan (EDGE) only played 39% of snaps this week and recorded zero stats of any kind, this is exactly what I was talking about, he’s not playing enough for consistent production and was producing as an outlier while playing almost no significant snaps each week it was only a matter of time before it caught up to him, here it is. Kendall Fuller (CB) continues to be the corner to stream from here but Ronald Darby (CB) just missed a nice game with three solo tackles while playing 93% of snaps compared to Fullers 100%, the next corner only played 37% so at the moment it’s those two or bust. Everything else looked good here, the defensive line didn’t do all that much but we know there are bigger games to come, just nature of the position this week it was bust next week it could be boom.
Flash in the pan: Jeff Okudah (CB) only played 39% of snaps this week in yet another spectacular example of how this defense is all over the place week to week, he did have a nice box score for a streaming corner but with this kind of playing time we can’t trust it, time to pull the plug. I hate this defense so much.
Possible waivers: Justin Coleman (CB) and Desmond Trufant (CB) appear to be the flavor of the week at corner for this shit show of a defense that’s always changing and has literally zero stability of any kind. These guys played 91% and 100% of snaps respectively and both had really nice days but I sure as hell wouldn’t stream them, they’re just as likely to see the rug pulled out from under them and play zero or almost zero snaps next week as they are to remain streaming corner options, this defense is always fluctuating as Fat Patricia tries to figure out how not to stink week to week. However in those crazy deep leagues where you need to go with shenanigans like this because that’s just how it be this is technically an option, I wouldn’t do it unless truly desperate though. Also Jayron Kearse (S) has seemed to parlay his decent production while subbing in for the injured Tracy Walker (S) a couple weeks ago into a starting job, he played 91% of snaps this week and recorded nine combined tackles this week, same deal different position here, he’s just as likely to not play next week as to continue playing and producing this much, I don’t trust it at all but it’s technically an option for those crazy deep leagues.
Misc notes: Tracy Walker (S) returned from his one week injury to play only 41% of snaps this week and record only one solo tackle on the day, with most defenses I would look at this and think “they’re probably just easing him back into the lineup after an injury” but with this defense he could have legitimately been replaced as a starter by Jayron Freaking Kearse (S). I have no idea which one it is, what I do know is I’m sitting him this week while we see which one it is and I suggest you do the same. What a clown show this defense is, Jesus H Christ. Jeff Okudah (CB) played only 39% of snaps this week, despite his draft capital it would appear they’re pulling the plug, I ranted on this more above, looks like we need to sit him while we see how this shakes out, unbelievable. Reggie Ragland (LB) was up to 88% of snaps this week and recorded six combined tackles, a tackle for loss and a QB hit on the day, upon first inspection this looks like he’s now playing enough to produce and is a waiver wire linebacker option but if you paid attention to what was written above you’d trust this as much as I trust a fart after Chipotle. Technically this exists, I’m sure as hell not doing it though, but it’s a thing so knock yourself out if you want. Romeo Okwara (DE) continues his hot streak and remains a great option at defensive end for the better part of the last month, we’ll ride the hot hand while we can. Beyond that and Jamie Collins (LB) this defense is a complete and total circus shit show run by a clown boat with a pencil behind his ear. We’ll circle back next week and have a look at how all this shakes out, can’t wait.
Jaguars @ Packers
Flash in the pan: Tre Herndon (CB) used to play every snap but now he sees far less than ideal playing time, just 65% played this week so we can ignore the outlier production he’s no longer playing enough to be a solid streaming corner option. Davon Hamilton (DT) did play enough, 63% of snaps this week, and did record a really nice box score but it’s only his second good game of the season. The rest of them have been crappy so unless we’re talking a crazy deep league I’m gonna pass on this.
Possible waivers: Daniel Thomas (S) replaced the injured and out Josh Jones (S) this week for the Jags, Jones was designated to IR with a chest injury and will miss at least the next three games and possibly more. Thomas came in for him and played 100% of snaps while recording eight combined tackles on the day, that’s a solid safety waiver wire option if needed for medium to deeper leagues. Sidney Jones (CB) also saw a huge increase in snaps this week up to 100% played and recorded nine combined tackles and two passes defended, I would be more into this if I hadn’t watched this Jacksonville cornerbacks corps be a massive chaotic mess all season with all kinds of guys rotating in and out with playing time fluctuating all over the place, maybe add him in deeper leagues and sit him next week while we see if this is for real or not, regardless we’ll circle back and find out one way or the other.
Misc notes: Josh Allen (DE) played 71% of snaps this week which is plenty for a defensive end but wasn’t able to land a sack or splash play so he had a down week. He’ll be fine he’s been in a slump before this season and was able to come out of it with a few really nice games earlier in the season, nature of the position he’ll recover soon enough. K’Lavon Chaison (EDGE) did see a small increase in playing time up to 48% of snaps this week but didn’t record any stats at all so more playing time same result, he remains a dynasty futures piece only and shouldn’t be played in any leagues of any size. Everything else here looked fine, that Daniel Thomas (S) move for waiver wire safety help is one I’m pulling the trigger on personally, that’s minimum three games of Josh Jones (S)-like production so I’m into it. Let’s keep it moving.
Green Bay Packers
Flash in the pan: Packers corners this week. With no Jaire Alexander (CB) or Kevin King (CB) it was Josh Jackson (CB) and Chandon Sullivan (CB) playing a ton of snaps each and producing by warm body default, that’s obviously not normal and won’t be a thing when King and Alexander return to the lineup, for now though if King is out then Jackson is playable and if Alexander is out then Sullivan is playable but obviously only in an ideal matchup because that’s how streaming corners works. Rashan Gary (EDGE) also saw an outlier performance this week with a lucky sack on his unacceptable 48% of snaps this week (which is a lot more than usual). He’s still just a dynasty futures piece.
Possible waivers: No legit waiver wire moves this week, those corners above are dependent on the health of Alexander and King so they’re only short term options at best.
Misc notes: Christian Kirksey (LB) played 100% of snaps this week in his first game back from injury, he recorded seven combined tackles this week which was fine and will be very productive while he’s playing, that’s never been the issue. The issue has been actually playing. Kamal Martin (LB), Krys Barnes (LB), Oren Burks (LB) and TY Summers (LB) all returned to irrelevancy with the return of Kirksey this week, none of them played anything North of 20% of snaps this week and none of them did anything of note in the box score either. It would appear that whole mess is behind us, for now. We all know Kirksey is made of glass but hopefully he can stay healthy for the rest of the season. Both Smith’s had big days and got their sacks so that was nice, Kenny Clark (DT) played his normal snaps and even some extra ones with 89% of snaps this week and had a nice game with five combined tackles so that was solid as well. Adrian Amos (S) was really the only IDP relevant and weekly producer from this defense to have a down week with just two solo tackles and a pass defense on the day, however he still played his normal 100% of snaps and remains a safety three or four in deeper leagues he should be fine. Everything else here was business as usual, we need our two solid corners back as soon as possible and for Kirksey to stay healthy and we should be all set here heading towards playoffs.
Eagles @ Giants
Produced as expected: Alex Singleton (LB) TJ Edwards (LB) Avonte Maddox (CB) Brandon Graham (DE) Jalen Mills (S) Rodney McLeod (S) Duke Riley (LB) *somewhat* Derek Barnett (DE) Fletcher Cox (DT) Javon Hargrave (DT)
Flash in the pan: Vinny Curry (DE) only played 35% of snaps this week so we can ignore the half sack as outlier production with far less than ideal playing time.
Possible waivers: No new producers this week, at least none that I haven’t already talked about in a previous weeks version of this article.
Misc notes: It was Alex Singleton (LB) who played 100% of snaps for this defense this week, TJ Edwards (LB) and Duke Riley (LB) played 75% and 72% respectively and according to what I read it looks like TJ Edwards (LB) is the Nathan Gerry (LB) replacement so he’s the one that’s most likely to disappear when Gerry returns whenever that is, keep that in mind if you’re rolling Edwards out weekly. Singleton is the safest, then Riley with Edwards last but he’ll be playable as long as Gerry is out so monitor his health if you want to continue to play Edwards going forward. There really wasn’t all that much to complain about this week for this defense, basically everyone on the defensive line ate either via sack or enough combined tackles to have a nice game, all three relevant linebackers had either excellent or acceptable games, both safeties had fine games and one of the two IDP relevant corners was solid as well. Darius Slay (CB) was the only notable member of this defense to let us all down this week, he played his usual 97% of snaps this week but only recorded two solo tackles and a pass defense on the day for seven points in most of my leagues which actually isn’t terrible at all for a bad day. So yep everything looks good here, we’ll keep it moving. Just keep an eye on the Nathan Gerry (LB) situation that’s the only wrench that could jam things up here in the near future.
New York Giants
Flash in the pan: Devante Downs (LB) & David Mayo (LB) played 34% and 37% of snaps respectively this week, neither is nearly enough for any kind of consistency so we can pass on this clear outlier production that’s frankly not even all that impressive. Trent Harris (LB) same deal just a bit more playing time at 48% of snaps this week, I’ve never seen this name before either so he’s not done anything else of note this season, pass here as well.
Possible waivers: No new producers this week.
Misc notes: Logan Ryan (CB/S) played his usual 100% of snaps and was productive again this week with six solo tackles and a QB hit on the day, he’s been hot lately and the panic a few weeks back about him possibly seeing decreased production due to a change in role or responsibility on this defense seems to be a thing of the past, I’m back to starting him with confidence. David Mayo (LB) was commented on above, still no playing time to match his outlandish projections I’ve seen on sites like Yahoo and others, they’re clearly behind the times on this one. Blake Martinez (LB) played his normal 100% of snaps this week but only had four combined tackles on the day, this is his only bad game this entire season so we can forgive him just this once. He’ll be fine. Dalvin Tomlinson (DT) and Leonard Williams (DE) were the only two notable members of this defense besides Martinez to have bad games this week, there were no crazy fluctuations in playing time for either so this was just a nature of the position thing, defensive linemen don’t score points every week unless it’s Micheal Strahan (DE) in 2001 or Myles Garrett (DE) most weeks in the current timeline. They’ll both be fine. Everything else here was solid, we continue to patiently await the return of Xavier McKinney (S) to throw a wrench into the works in regards to Jabrill Peppers (S) and Logan Ryan (CB/S). That move will likely also be the final nail in the coffin for Julian Love (S) and possibly some of these sporadic playing time linebackers that we’re seeing get thrown at the wall every week, at least I’m hoping that’s what happens instead of Peppers or Ryan seeing a reduction in playing time and therefore production. We shall see. Onwards.
Bucs @ Panthers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Flash in the pan: Justin Watson (WR) got credited with a sack and a host of other stats from his special teams work this week, he blocked a punt and had several special teams tackles, this is not likely to ever happen again so as cool as it would be to have a wide receiver getting us IDP points this is a clear batshit crazy outlier performance.
Possible waivers: No new producers this week.
Misc notes: As predicted last week the Bucs came out and absolutely destroyed the Panthers in every aspect of this game, they dominated time of possession 36 minutes to 24 and their defense barely saw the field. It’s a miracle any of these guys got to eat this week so I’m not worried at all by the off games for guys like Antoine Winfield Jr (S) and N’Damakong Suh (DT). Most defensive players rested in a good portion of the fourth quarter and almost everyone saw reduced snaps because of the blowout nature of this one. The Panthers were only able to complete 20 passes and run for 65 yards on sixteen total rushing attempts, there just wasn’t enough offense to go around for the ridiculous number of weekly IDP producers on this defense to all eat. That should be better this week against the Rams who should at least keep it close and do exponentially better in the time of possession battle than Carolina did. So no worries here, gamescript and outside factors were the culprit for anyone who didn’t perform, no shenanigans. Jordan Whitehead (S) at 71% of snaps was the only significant fluctuation in playing time here and I’m not seeing anything about him being injured or anything so this was probably just an end of game rest due to blowout situation, he’s coming off his season best performance the week prior in terms of combined tackles so I highly doubt they decided to just pull the rug out from under him. This defense as a whole should have more production against the Rams this week hopefully.
Flash in the pan: Corn Elder (CB) and Troy Pride Jr (CB) played 72% and 68% of snaps respectively this week which is not enough for streaming corner long term, part of this was due to the reinjury of Donte Jackson (CB) and some was likely due to this one being a blowout by the fourth quarter and more emphasis on run stopping at that point. Regardless it looks like only Rasul Douglas (CB) is playing enough weekly to be trusted as a corner stream at this point. Zach Kerr (DT) and Yetur Gross Matos (DE) played 50% and 57% of snaps this week but when you factor in how much this defense played overall it was a ton more in actual football terms, neither has done much of note this season and I get the feeling they saw the field more due to the blowout instead of actually being part of the plans going forward, we’ll find out next week regardless. When this team is actually competing in games neither of those guys are anywhere to be seen so that’s why I’m a bit suspicious. Same deal with Efe Odaba (DE), he only played 36% of snaps but those 36% were part of the much larger 36 minutes overall this defense played this week, in a non outlier game he’s not IDP relevant, yet anyways we’ll keep an eye on it.
Possible waivers: Justin Burris (CB/S) was back from injury this week, he only played 62% of snaps but was likely being eased back into the lineup, before the injury he was playing 100% of snaps per game and was pretty productive, he’s also a hidden safety in some places where you can plug him into your cornerback slot and get strong safety production (according to NFLGSIS that’s his position). In deeper leagues this is a nice option going forward especially if you can use him at corner and get the much more consistent safety production.
Misc notes: Donte Jackson (CB) came out early in this one after playing only 24% of snaps due to a lingering toe injury, there is talk of him getting shut down and heading to IR for the remainder of the season. This likely added to the outlier Corn Elder (CB) playing time I mentioned above, in terms of streaming corners it looks like Rasul Douglas (CB) is the only trustable option besides the hidden corner Justin Burris (S/CB). Sam Franklin (LB/S) only played 40% of snaps this week as he makes his exit with Justin Burris (S/CB) back healthy and in the lineup, he was the direct replacement and saw even more work that one week where Jeremy Chinn (S) was injured and out as well. With both Chinn and Burris back healthy Franklin will very likely be completely irrelevant next game. Speaking of Jeremy Chinn (S) he was back this week and played 90% of snaps, that’s down a bit from his normal 100% per game but no one on this defense played anything North of 94% of snaps this week due to the blowout nature of this one, they all took the last half quarter or so off and rode the bench while some backups got playing time so no need to panic here. Both Derrick Brown (DT) and Brian Burns (EDGE) had off games this week but that’s the nature of the position they should both be fine going forward for their normal sporadic production that’s par for the course for defensive line. Tahir Whithead (LB) however only played 38% of snaps this week and continues to be horrible, his PFF score of 28.8 is truly horrific and it’s just a matter of time before he gets shitcanned for another option, if you’re relying on his handful of tackles each week in a deep league keep that in mind, this could be the beginning of the end for him with that significant drop in snaps this week. Not much else to see here, we’ll keep an eye on the secondary as there are a ton of moving pieces at the moment and streaming corner from here is becoming less than ideal. We’ll circle back next week and see if there’s any new information that helps in that department. Onwards.
Broncos @ Raiders
Flash in the pan: NA, all the right names at the top of the box score this week.
Possible waivers: AJ Bouye (CB) was back healthy this week and played 97% of snaps while recording six solo tackles on the day, not bad at all, he returns to our streaming corner ranks as one of my personal favorites. Also I just read that Shelby Harris (DL) will “probably be out” for week eleven against the Dolphins, that means another week of increased snaps and possibly increased production from guys like Demarcus Walker (DE) and Dre’Mont Jones (DT) so keep that in mind if you need a spot start from either guy in those crazy deep leagues.
Misc notes: The Broncos defense spent 37 minutes on the field this week as they got absolutely annihilated in the time of possession battle by the Raiders. This Broncos IDP production will very likely be bloated and dangerous like my lower intestines after Taco Bell with that in mind. It’s important to remember that when we see the huge numbers from guys like Alexander Johnson (LB) and Josey Jewell (LB), this isn’t going to be an every week thing this was an outlier situation due to running into one of the best time of possession teams in the league, the Raiders were seventh overall in TOP prior to this week, God only knows where they’re ranked now. Expecting this type of production every week isn’t rational, keep these outside factors in mind and don’t just look at the numbers and assume that’s what we’ll get every week. Bradley Chubb (CB) and Malik Reed (EDGE) both played their normal playing time this week but neither was able to land a sack or splash play and since they both have no combined tackle floor to speak of it ended up being a bad day for both. They’ll be fine but their production is always going to be sporadic and inconsistent that’s just the nature of the position. With Shelby Harris (DL) looking like a no go for this next game I listed some options above, Demarcus Walker (DE) saw elevated playing time this week, 61% of snaps, but had a down week despite the elevated playing time as he helped try and fill in the missing production from Harris. Dre’Mont Jones (DT) also saw more snaps than usual (not by a ton though) at 65% of snaps this week but managed to record five combined tackles for nine points in most of my leagues which is solid for what is essentially a waiver wire guy in most leagues that didn’t land a sack or splash play during the game. The Walker move is certainly short term but for Jones he’s had decent playing time most of this season since Jurell Casey (DT) was injured and sent to IR at the start of the season. Everything else looked fine this week, the only producers to really let us down were either EDGE or defensive line guys and that’s just part of the deal with them. Moving on.
Las Vegas Raiders
Flash in the pan: Eric Harris (S) had a decent box score but only played 55% of snaps this week, he’s been playing far more than that the majority of the season and I didn’t find anything about an injury. It could just be due to the blowout or it could be something else, regardless he qualifies as a flash in the pan with that kind of playing time and still putting up the six combined tackles and one pass defense on the day, he’s not really playable if this is his playing time going forward so we’ll have to see what next week brings. I’m sitting him while we find out though I do know that much.
Possible waivers: With Cory Littleton (LB) on the Covid IR list currently and likely missing one more game (assuming he actually tested positive and it’s not just close contact) it was Nicholas Morrow (LB) who was his direct replacement, Morrow played 100% of snaps and recorded a monster five combined tackles, one sack, one tackle for loss, two passes defended and two QB hits on the day for a gigantic amount of IDP points overall. He’s just a one week spot start if Littleton misses next weeks game in all likelihood, and you would need to track that to make sure, but if the injury grim reaper nails Littleton or Kwiatkowski before the season ends Morrow will likely get another shot at solid playing time and production. Damon Arnette (CB) was back in action this week but was eased back into things with only 63% of snaps played and recorded no stats of any kind. He does get the Chiefs next week though so if you’re feeling risky he could be a sneaky cornerback stream assuming he sees increased snaps from this week which makes logical sense. He was really solid at the start of the season before getting hurt and missing the better part of two months. Regardless he should be back to 100% of snaps in the next few games and at that point it would be him and Travon Mullen (CB) as the ideal streaming corners here with Lamarcus Joyner (CB) as the third option and Nevin Lawson (CB) fading to IDP irrelevancy.
Misc notes: The inverse is true as well, with the Raiders offense dominating time of possession so completely this week the defense barely spent any time on the field at all and their overall production was as scarce as Patriots fans were prior to 2001. The Raiders were seventh in overall time of possession prior to this week and this dominating performance further elevated that ranking to third overall at just over 32 minutes per game spent on offense. That’s obviously not ideal for IDP production from this defense, they can’t score points from the bench while their offense is out there sustaining long drives all game long. Nothing we can do about it but it is a real factor that has real consequences. The deeper I get down this rabbit hole the more I consider factors like that and take them into account in regards to my lineup choices and draft picks prior to the season. The more you can see the big picture the better you’ll be able to understand the WHY of IDP and not just the WHAT. That’s what we do here. We go farther into the weeds than anyone else does because in the end it makes us better players and harder to defeat every week. We’re going to get that hardware because we understand more than our opponents. Alright rant over. Lamarcus Joyner (CB) and Clelin Ferrell (DE) both were sent to Covid IR while I was writing this section on Tuesday, that’s not a huge blow to be honest but just wanted to mention it. Speaking of Clelin Ferrell (DE) he did play 69% of snaps this week which is fine but still hasn’t done anything this season, he remains a gigantic waste of draft capital both in actual football and fantasy football. Not much else to see here this week, we’ll keep an eye on the cornerback situation with Arnette and who replaces Joyner and for how long with the coronavirus stuff. Despite this defense barely being on the field this week most of the guys we count on for weekly production were able to eat so we will be thankful for that and not look a gift horse in the mouth. Next!
Chargers @ Dolphins
Los Angeles Chargers
Flash in the pan: NA, all names that make sense at the top of the box score this week.
Possible waivers: No new producers this week.
Misc notes: Not to misguide anyone, especially the dude who only reads this article for the two sentences about the Chargers safety situation every week, but Nasir Adderley (S) has been pretty hot lately. Five good games and three bad overall for the season and the last three have been very nice for him. In week one he barely played yet here he is in week ten playing 100% of snaps and recording eight solo tackles on the day for his third nice game in a row. I still wouldn’t trust him in anything other than a deep league with limited options, same deal with Reyshawn Jenkins (S), also 100% played this week, who’s “bad” games were also more than a month ago, just something I’ve noticed. I’m not saying to shitcan John Johnson (S) or someone we know is solid and go point chasing but maybe just maybe the linebackers shit show is working to the advantage of the safeties here, who knows, it’s something to check back on next week. Regardless if you’re in a deep league and have to play either of these safeties it’s going well currently so that’s nice. Kenneth Murray (LB) was back up to acceptable playing time this week, his “communication issues” seem to be resolved, he played 90% of snaps but did precisely nothing with them, just four combined tackles on the day and only two of them solo. The playing time has fluctuated back up but the production remains crappy. I’m sitting him everywhere unless it’s in a stupid deep league and I don’t have any other options, the Chargers linebackers fiasco doesn’t discriminate in terms of it’s victims, draft capital means nothing when up against it. Kyzir White (LB) played 81% of snaps this week and had a nice box score, he’s slightly more trustable than Murray is at the moment but his playing time and production could drop off a cliff at any point as well, that’s been demonstrated many times over the course of not just this season but multiple recent seasons here with the Chargers. Play him only if you can either accept that risk or have no other options. Joey Bosa (DE) was injured and out this week and there was no direct replacement that I saw, it sure as shit wasn’t Uchenna Nwosu (DE) who was only in for 33% of snaps and did practically nothing in the box score this week. Hopefully he’s back soon, we need him. Neither Linval Joseph (DT) or Jerry Tillery (DT) was able to do anything of note this week but both played plenty, 71% and 76% of snaps respectively, nature of the position they’ll both be fine as defensive tackles that should only be played weekly in the deepest of leagues. Melvin Ingram (DE) also played plenty, 84% of snaps, but didn’t do much either, nature of the position he’ll be fine as well. Besides the linebackers always being a headache and a pair of safeties no one pays attention to that have been quietly heating up the last few weeks everything is business as usual here, we’ll see what next week brings.
Flash in the pan: Raekwon Davis (DT) did play enough, 57% of snaps this week, but hasn’t done anything else of note this season so this is outlier production unless we see it again another time or two. Pass for now. Brandon Jones (S) is the second best B Jones on the team and only played 41% of snaps and hasn’t done anything else of note this season, pass on him as well, not enough playing time even if we were interested in the lesser Jones. Fun fact, Benito Jones (DT) also plays for this defense, he’s the worst Jones on the team apparently.
Possible waivers: No new producers, or at least no one I haven’t talked about in a previous version of this article this season (Sieler).
Misc notes: Jerome Baker (LB) only played 60% of snaps this week and it clearly effected his production, just four combined tackles on the day. This was just more of the same for this defense, they morphed into what they think they needed to be to beat the Chargers and it worked, they also got up big on them and forced them to abandon the run and try and pass their way back into the game so the easy run stopping tackles weren’t there and linebacker play in general wasn’t required as much this week, none of the linebackers here played North of 62% of snaps this week so if you’re a Jerome Baker (LB) owner I wouldn’t freak out that much, the next time they’re in either a close game or up against a nice rushing offense he should see plenty of snaps and production also. This defense in general is just all over the place but by now we know the pieces that are playable every week, Ogbah, Lawson, Baker, Van Noy, the corners in the right matchups and the safeties in crazy deep leagues. There will always be shenanigans, there will always be fluctuations in playing time and therefore production but I’m starting to come around on this defense, it used to be among my “cursed three” along with Detroit and New England but the more I think about it the more I’m coming to terms with playing these guys I mentioned above weekly in deeper leagues and being fine with it. We take risks all the time in IDP with guys like Kevin Byard (S), Minkah Fitzpatrick (S), literally any EDGE guy in a normal linebacker slot and many many others. If the league is deep and the options are limited we could do far worse than some of these Miami options. So yeah no real changes here, same thing different week but at least we know what we’re dealing with by this point and if you or me choose to accept some of the risk from playing any of these guys we at least know what we’re getting into. Let’s keep it moving.
Bills @ Cardinals
Flash in the pan: Dane Jackson (CB) was in for Levi Wallace (CB) who was out on the Covid IR this week and possibly next depending on if it was close contact or he’s actually got the virus, regardless Jackson only played 79% of snaps and with the Bills on bye this week it’s likely Wallace will be back before anyone has a chance to even consider using Jackson, so pass. Justin Zimmer (DT) only played 32% of snaps and lucked into an outlier sack this week, he’s done nothing else of any significance this season and doesn’t play enough in the first place, pass here as well.
Possible waivers: AJ Klein (LB) remains an absolutely rock solid Matt Milano (LB) replacement for the duration of his injury, he played 92% of snaps this week and had a monster game. Incredible waiver wire linebacker until Milano gets back from IR.
Misc notes: Jordan Poyer (S) remains the safety one after another monster week including another interception and all kinds of other stats, this is the way, he played every snap as usual. This defense was massively productive overall and took advantage of the back and forth nature of this shootout, only a couple of the defensive line guys let us down, Jerry Hughes (DE) and Mario Addison (EDGE), and they both played their normal snaps so it was just a nature of the position thing and nothing to actually worry about. Everything here looked terrific. Grab AJ Klein (LB) if you can he’s been a wonderful option with Matt Milano (LB) on IR and Tremaine Edmunds (LB) continued his hot streak as well, this defense along with the one in Tampa Bay is God’s gift to IDP.
Flash in the pan: Angelo Blackson (DT) has only had one other game this season that was good and was only playing as much as he did this week due to the Cardinals being down several linemen due to injury including Corey Peters (DE) and Jordan Phillips (DT). The Cardinals were out of options and he was the last man standing, this kind of playing time and production isn’t normal for him so this isn’t a long term option, just a heads up. Pass.
Possible waivers: With Devondre Campbell (LB) injured and not practicing so far this week I’ve read in several places that Isaiah Simmons (LB) should finally get his chance to start at inside linebacker and maybe start paying off the draft capital many sank into him this offseason. He makes a solid waiver wire linebacker for this week at the minimum, just make sure Campbell actually doesn’t play before you submit your lineup.
Misc notes: Devon Kennard (EDGE) was back this week but seems to have been displaced by Markus Golden (EDGE) as the other outside linebacker along with Haasan Redick (EDGE), we’ll see if it sticks but I wouldn’t be surprised if it does, Kennard has never been anything special, we’ll see what next week brings. Dre Kirkpatrick (CB) still was the third corner in terms of playing time but played enough this week for a nice week, especially when we consider the matchup it worked out well, however I’m still hesitant to start anyone except Patrick Peterson (CB) since it gets murky after that in terms of playing time and therefore production. None of the pass rush guys here landed a sack this week but Haasan Redick (EDGE) and Markus Golden (EDGE) played enough, 100% and 78% of snaps respectively and should be fine going forward. Redick has been excellent taking over for Chandler Jones (EDGE) after he landed on IR and now that Golden is back in Arizona they’ve got a terrible twosome once more. Not a ton going on here except just monitoring the Devondre Campbell (LB) injury and that will determine if we all get to fire up Isaiah Simmons (LB) legitimately for the first time this season or not, he’s most certainly made an impact lately after starting the season really badly, his PFF grade sits at 67.5 which is exponentially better than it was even a month ago, this could be his coming out party to all of IDP land. The Cardinals have the Seahawks once again this Thursday night in a rematch of what was an incredible game the first time around, this game will be excellent for streaming corners and very likely another epic shootout, if Simmons gets his first start in this one with eyes of the nation on him it would be poetic justice after his game sealing interception in their last meeting ended up being the difference in that game during overtime. We shall see. Anyways that should be a nice game, looking forward to it. We can probably forgive the less than ideal playing time for both Byron Murphy (CB) and Dre Kirkpatrick (CB) in that matchup this Thursday as well since if it’s anything close to what we got in the initial meeting there should be enough fireworks to sustain all three IDP relevant corners on this team with no issues.
Seahawks @ Rams
Flash in the pan: Jordyn Brooks (LB) only played 51% of snaps this week and is part of the “random third linebacker” shenanigans we’ve seen here all season, if it’s not Wagner or Wright then it’s not going to ever be consistent, we’ve seen that all season as well. So I’ll pass.
Possible waivers: DJ Reed (S) continues to see solid playing time, 100% of snaps this week, and excellent production the last three weeks, part of that is almost certainly the banged up cornerbacks corps but while Griffin and Dunbar are injured this remains a solid option and he was producing three weeks ago when they were playing also so this could be a longer term option as well, I would still only do it in deeper leagues because it’s a possible “get the rug pulled out from under you” situation but so far so good. Tre Flowers (CB) remains a solid streaming corner option while either Dunbar or Griffin is injured, he’s next man up when either of them are out, when they both return to the lineup though we’ll see Flower’s snaps return to next to nothing so make sure you monitor that if you plan on using him.
Misc notes: Jarran Reed (DT) played 76% of snaps this week which is obviously plenty but came back to earth after his monster two sack performance the week prior, nothing to see here just nature of the position, he’ll be fine. Damon Harrison (DT) got his first playing time of the season after being promoted up from the practice squad, he only saw 27% of snaps and didn’t record any stats but it was nice to see one of IDP’s favorite sons return to the field, we’ll keep an eye on his playing time if it gets clear of 50% of snaps he would be worth a pickup in deeper leagues at that point, for now we’ll just wait and see. KJ Wright (LB) played 97% of snaps this week and had a fine box score with six combined tackles, five of them solo, so it looks like he was able to maintain value this week and even increase his playing time a bit, that was likely due to gamescript with the Rams focusing on the run game instead of passing like we all thought they would but still it was nice to see Wright have a good game with Jamal Adams (S) on the field to further disprove my pessimistic theory that they both couldn’t co exist without it hurting Wrights value, that was based on nothing more than seeing a correlation between Adams being on the field and Wright seeing decreased snaps and production, apparently we’re looking good on that front at the moment but we’ll keep an eye on it. Carlos Dunlap (DE) saw 73% of snaps this week but cooled off after his monster game last week, that’s fine though just nature of the position, unlike Cincy he’s actually playing significant snaps here weekly so I’m very comfortable with him back in my lineups, he’ll have some big weeks before the season is done with I would bet the farm on it. Not much else to see here we just need to keep an eye on the Seahawks cornerbacks situation, Tre Flowers (CB) saw 100% of snaps as is tradition when one of both of the normal starters are injured and out (Griffin and Dunbar) but instead of seeing someone like Ryan Neal (S/CB) get increased playing time it looks like they just went with extra safety play from guys like DJ Reed (S), Quandre Diggs (S) and Ugo Amadi (S). We’ll see what this week brings but it’s a safe bet that Flowers will be relevant if either starter is injured and out and if it’s both then we can probably fire up DJ Reed (S) with confidence as well. Business as usual besides those notes.
Los Angeles Rams
Flash in the pan: Terrell Lewis (LB) only played 42% of snaps this week and hasn’t done anything else of note this season, clearly outlier production with far less than ideal playing time, pass.
Possible waivers: Jordan Fuller (S) will now be the other full time safety for the remainder of the season, barring injury, due to the IR designation for Taylor Rapp (S) and the fact that it was his job to start with. He played 87% of snaps this week in his first week back from his own stint on the IR list and recorded three solo tackles on the day, he’s likely already owned in most leagues after establishing himself as the other starting safety earlier this season but you never know someone might have dropped him it’s worth a look.
Misc notes: Aaron Donald (DT) played 69% of snaps this week which is fine but recorded no meaningful stats in this one, while this is unfortunate and somewhat disappointing it’s par for the course for defensive tackle production, they aren’t an “every week” position and that even includes guys like Aaron Donald (DT) and Chris Jones (DT) and the other top tier defensive tackles. He’ll be back to splitting cheeks like firewood very soon, we drafted him for those monster games and he’s given us plenty of those all season long, the other part of that deal is dealing with the stinkers and this week that’s what we got, he’ll be fine. Taylor Rapp (S) only played 18% of snaps this week due to injury and was designated to the IR list shortly after this one, he’s likely done for at least three weeks more likely four according to Coach McVay. So make sure you keep an eye on his possible return that could throw a wrench into the Jordan Fuller (S) situation when it happens, That other starting safety role has been a mess all season with it shifting back and forth between Fuller and Rapp not even due to talent but just injury so far, at least we know now that we’ve got about a month of set in stone production from Fuller without any shenanigans so that’s good. There weren’t any major fluctuations in playing time here and in general most of the starters played a little less than usual due to this one being over in the fourth quarter and being able to come out a bit early. Not much else here besides the safety shenanigans and Mr. Donald having a stinker, Jalen Ramsey (CB) did an excellent job helping to shut down the Seahawks passing attack but you don’t score IDP points for NOT being targeted unfortunately, I got that one wrong for sure I thought both him and Troy Hill (CB) would have huge games in a shootout of epic proportions, instead we got a run and play defense snooze fest, what can you say shit happens. We’ll see what next week brings.
49ers @ Saints
San Francisco 49ers
Flash in the pan: Jamar Taylor (CB) only played 49% of snaps this week and is the clear third cornerback here in terms of playing time and production, I’ll pass just based on the playing time that’s nowhere near ideal for a streaming corner.
Possible waivers: Tavarious Moore (S) took over as the replacement starting safety besides Jimmy Ward (S) while Marcell Harris (S) was moved to play some linebacker according what I’ve read from local San Francisco media. Harris was the initial replacement for Jaquiski Tartt (S) who was injured and out and now it looks like Moore will have that role for the duration of the Tartt injury. We’re really getting into the weeds here so I wouldn’t screw around with Moore or Harris unless truly desperate in a truly deep league, they straight up pulled the rug out from under us with this move so I don’t plan on making the same mistake twice and recommending Moore for anything other than a desperation play in 32 team leagues or something that deep. This “retooling” of the defense is the kind of thing that can and was a disaster for guys like me and anyone unfortunate enough to play Marcell Harris (S) last week, obviously I don’t work for the Niners so they didn’t clue me in on this move ahead of time but much like the Najee Goode (LB) shenanigans last season we learn from this and the lesson is this: stay the hell away from this situation so we don’t get burned again.
Misc notes: Neither Emmanuel Moseley (CB) or Jason Verrett (CB) were able to have a solid day despite each playing 98% of snaps this week and running into a decent New Orleans passing offense, just outside the top ten if I remember correctly. It was a weird week for a lot of these “lock” matchups, Troy Hill (CB) and Jalen Ramsey (CB) over with the Rams and many others, the weird week of offensive production effected the streaming corner production as well across the league last week, Moseley and Verrett have been more good than bad this season so we’ll just take it for what it is and keep plugging them in when the matchup looks right. Richard Sherman (CB) will be returning to the lineup at some point so that will throw a wrench into this unit but we’ll figure that out when it happens, I’d only be comfortable with Moseley and Sherman if and when that happens in all likelihood. Kerry Hyder (DE) once again showed us why he’s been the best waiver wire defensive end this season and Dre Greenlaw (LB) got back on track after a bad week prior to this one, both played their normal snaps. Fred Warner (LB) still had five combined tackles but in general he was a letdown this week in a nice matchup and while playing his usual 100% of snaps, he should bounce back as well even the best combined tackle floor linebackers have an off week every now and again, same thing happened to Blake Martinez (LB) this week and no one plans on sitting him any time soon am I right? Javon Kinlaw (DT) was in for 59% of snaps this week and had his first monster box score of his young career, this is what Niners fans and IDP Twitter was hoping for when he got drafted, it’s going to take time for him to get anything close to the consistency that DeForest Buckner (DT) had while he was on this defense but this weeks production is a good sign for the future. Everything else was fine, Arik Armstead (DT) had another stinker but played 68% of snaps and should have another nice game or two before the season is over. Moving on.
New Orleans Saints
Flash in the pan: NA, all the right names at the top of the box score this week.
Possible waivers: No new producers this week.
Misc notes: Kwon Alexander (LB) was only in for 61% of snaps for his debut as a Saint, as expected Alex Anzalone (LB) instantly became IDP irrelevant seeing only one whole snap this game as Alexander takes his job, queue South Park meme. Alexander recorded only four combined tackles on the day and to say his debut was underwhelming would be an understatement. We’ll see what next week brings but everywhere I have him his butt is planted on the bench while I wait and see what happens, I would recommend you do the same for now. Cameron Jordan (DE) played a massive 86% of snaps this week but wasn’t able to do much with them only recording three combined tackles on the day, he’s been a shell of himself this season but as a defensive end three or four in deeper leagues he still has value, in shallower leagues he’s only playing if you haven’t found a better option yet is my guess. He should be able to give us another big game or two before this is all said and done but my hopes and the hopes of his shareholders of a repeat of last seasons monster production have sailed. It was a rare productive week for Marcus Williams (S) but don’t go point chasing he’s bad far more often than he’s good in terms of production. The Kwon Alexander (LB) situation is really the only thing to watch here going forward, everything else was normal and is set in stone, we’ll keep an eye on that and circle back for next weeks article. Onwards.
Bengals @ Steelers
Flash in the pan: Tony Brown (CB) only because the massacre of this secondary is the only reason he even saw the field, both Mackensie Alexander (CB) and Darious Phillips (CB) would need to be injured and out again for him to even be an option and even then he was so bad this week (45.8 PFF score) that there’s a good chance it’s someone completely different getting a shot instead of him even if the planets align and both of those starters are out again next week, I’ll pass, more below.
Possible waivers: No new producers this week but Sam Hubbard (DE) was back in the mix for the first time in a long time, he played 62% of snaps and recorded three combined tackles and a pass defense for seven points in most of my leagues which isn’t terrible especially considering I remember him playing far more than this last season so I’m guessing he was eased back into the lineup, bottom line is he was the overall leader in defensive end combined tackles last season so if he’s available he’s a great waiver wire defensive end option if you need it.
Misc notes: The Bengals cornerback situation is a mess, there are a bunch of guys here this week I didn’t even know existed until just this minute and were there due to Mackensie Alexander’s (CB) concussion and Darious Phillip’s (CB) groin injury, that’s why Alexander didn’t play much this week by the way, he got concussed. Bottom line is Tony Brown (CB) did play every snap and was targeted a lot (because he stinks) so he’s somewhat of an option if they don’t get either starter back from injury by next week but the other guy, Jalen Davis (CB), didn’t play enough even with all this carnage so we can definitely pass on him. In general I would just completely pass on streaming from this group until there’s more stability, I could definitely see a situation where we grab one of these guys expecting ideal snaps and the opposing offense to target them often due to them being terrible and instead we get the rug pulled out from under us and they don’t end up playing and no one told us because we don’t work for the NFL. So yeah, I’m all set with that, there are plenty of corners we KNOW will play every snap every week and will get targeted often therefore making them nice for streaming purposes, let’s go that route instead. The Bengals linebackers still are a mess, no one played north of 70% of snaps and the guy who did play the most with those 70% of snaps, Josh Bynes (LB), only had two combined tackles on the day. Germaine Pratt (LB) managed to put together a decent box score despite only playing 59% of snaps which was nice for anyone who was forced to play him but in general you don’t want to be playing him unless you don’t have a choice. Logan Wilson (LB) was at 48% of snaps this week so he’s still hovering just outside what the starters are playing weekly but hasn’t broken through and gotten his chance at real playing time yet, I still think that’s coming but we’re running out of weeks here, at this point I’d only be holding onto him in much deeper leagues where you might need him to replace someone like Tahir Whitehead (LB) in a couple weeks when hopefully Wilson is playing enough by then. Regardless I wouldn’t touch any of these linebackers unless forced to, the whole situation is a circus. Carl Lawson (DE) still played the most of all the defensive ends here with 67% of snaps this week but still wasn’t able to land a sack or splash play, he did have six QB hits though so he’s getting close, unfortunately close only counts in horseshoes and hand grenades. Not much else to see here, same deal as all season long basically, the safeties are good, the corners are a mess, the linebackers are a mess and the defensive line is useless but at least we got Sam Hubbard (DE) back so that could change soon.
Flash in the pan: Cameron Sutton (CB) only played 77% of snaps even with the perfect gamescript for cornerback play, he’s just a short term option anyways, that’s assuming Mike Hilton (CB) ever returns to the lineup, regardless not enough playing time for corner so I’m all set.
Possible waivers: No new producers this week.
Misc notes: No one played 100% of snaps this week due to the blowout nature of this game and both Vince Williams (LB) and Robert Spillane (LB) saw significantly decreased playing time likely due to gamescript, the Steelers went up big early and played pass defense for the majority of the entire second half so the run stopping that both of those inside linebackers are best known for wasn’t as necessary as it normally is. They should see more playing time and production in a closer game against a better team. Spillane was still able to hit his projection with a sack however so it worked out for him, not as much for Vince Williams (LB). Avery Williamson (LB) only played 17% of snaps this week and did next to nothing in the box score, his only real shot at production would’ve been if Vince Williams (LB) wasn’t clear from the Covid IR list in time for kickoff last week, he was and that was that. Williamson has zero value until something changes here and the coaching staff has said he’s just depth at the moment anyways. Cameron Heyward (DT) played his usual 77% or so of snaps this week but had a down week overall, he’s had six solid games and three bad ones on the season which is exponentially better than the majority of defensive tackles for IDP purposes in the league, he remains an excellent IDP defensive tackle and this is par for the course, defensive tackle isn’t an “every week” position for IDP production. He’ll be fine. Stephon Tuitt (DE) was in for 78% of snaps this week but also had a down week, same story here he’ll be fine, defensive end is usually a little bit more consistent for IDP production but is still sporadic and inconsistent overall as a position. Bigger weeks to come from both of these guys. Not much else to see here this week, the only guys who had down weeks were either at defensive line where that’s a fact of life or were inside linebackers that weren’t needed while Cincy tried to pass their way back into this one. We’ll see what next week brings.
Ravens @ Patriots
Flash in the pan: NA, all the right names at the top of the box score this week.
Possible waivers: No new producers this week.
Misc notes: Malik Harrison (LB) saw significant playing time again this week and actually about 30% more snaps than last week, he was at 84% of snaps this week and while it didn’t translate to production he was at double digit tackles last week if I remember correctly, I didn’t throw him in the possible waivers because he only had just two tackle assists on the day and that’s not something you recommend, plus he only played like 50% of snaps last week and hasn’t played much more than that at any other point this season until this week. However in those deep, dark 32 team leagues this might be something you’d be interested in, playing time is the first step to production after all, besides that though I would steer clear of this, regardless it was a massive fluctuation from what I normally see here every week so I had to mention it. Yannick Ngakoue (DE) only played 43% of snaps this week and had yet another stinker, I’m sure part of that was the weather and the Patriots run heavy offense so the fewer snaps than usual makes sense this week but he’s been awful since he got to the Ravens, if we don’t see something soon it will be time to panic. Derek Wolfe (DE) and Matt Judon (EDGE) once again were the beneficiaries of the Calais Campbell (DE) injury as they both saw increased playing time in his absence and both were able to take advantage with nice production this week, keep that in mind if you need to use either as an option while Campbell is injured and out. Not much else going on here, no other fluctuations in playing time and mostly everyone we rely on for production did their job this week. Home stretch.
New England Patriots
Flash in the pan: Kyle Dugger (S) saw his first and only significant playing time this week and huge production along with it, I’ve been watching this defense for years and am fully aware that roles, playing time and production fluctuate wildly for this defense for basically everyone week to week so I’m not buying that all of a sudden Dugger is now a full time safety who will deliver safety one production for us until the end of the season, I’d heavily bet that’s not the case. We’ll see what next week brings, if you think I’m wrong add him and give it a go, but I need to see this at least a couple more times before even considering buying in. Josh Uche (LB) only played 32% of snaps and got a lucky sack, not interested.
Possible waivers: Terez Hall (LB) replaced the injured and out Ja’Whuan Bentley (LB) this week, for the duration of the Bentley injury this appears to be an option, you never know though because this is the Patriots defense. He played 83% of snaps and recorded ten combined tackles this week so on paper it looks great, once again I hesitate to recommend this, in fact I’m not recommending it I’m just telling you it happened and it just happens that I’m doing that in the “possible waivers” section. What you choose to do from here is up to you.
Misc notes: Chase Winovich (DE) saw his snaps sky rocket to 98% played this week, just unbelievable. We were shoveling dirt on him a week ago, yet another example of the incredible unpredictability of this defense week to week. So I guess he’s fine now? I sure as shit don’t plan on playing him, lord knows he’ll probably be back to almost no playing time next week just because that’s how things work here. Anyways that happened, you choose what to do with that information. If you’re just now reading this article the first time and questioning why I’m so paranoid and distrustful of this defense feel free to read literally any version of this article from previous weeks during the season going back the last three years, you can stop once you see the pattern. Guys who have been reading this every week are probably shaking their heads just like I am after seeing this weeks shit show in regards to this defense, business as usual. Everything else was fine, let’s move on from this clown show.
Vikings @ Bears
Flash in the pan: Hercules Mata’afa (DT) played 52% of snaps but hasn’t done much else of note this season, just an outlier game until we see this at least another time or two.
Possible waivers: No new producers this week.
Misc notes: Eric Kendricks (LB) was in for 98% of snaps but had a down game overall, part of that, a big part actually, was the Bears “offense” he was up against. The Vikings defense was only on the field for 24 minutes due to their own offense’s domination of the time of possession and when this Vikings defense was on the field the Bears only rushed for 41 yards on 17 attempts so the easy run stopping tackles were few and far between and the Bears “passing attack” wasn’t much better either. There wasn’t much to eat this week and Eric Wilson (LB) took most of Kendrick’s food unfortunately, he’ll be fine though especially the next time they play against a real offense. Ideadi Odenigbo (DE) played plenty, 76% of snaps this week, but wasn’t able to land a sack or splash play. He’s had a couple good games this season but has been disappointing overall, he shouldn’t be played unless in a very deep league at this point. Hopefully he’ll give us at least one or two more nice box scores before the season is done with. The corners situation here continues to be chaotic but at least we got 100% of snaps from Jeff Gladney (CB) this week and a solid stat line along with it, he’s the best option to stream at the moment if the matchup looks good, beyond that it gets fuzzy really quickly with all the injuries and guys subbing in and out for what has been the majority of this season. Harrison Smith (S) was able to save his day with an interception and has been hot recently after starting the season slow, let’s hope he can keep it going. Everything else was fine, it was a good week for Eric Wilson (LB) but he remains inconsistent overall and Eric Kendricks (LB) should be back to his productive ways this week against the Cowboys one dimensional offense with their short passes and runs up the gut. We’ll see what next week brings.
Flash in the pan: Brent Urban (DT) played 56% of snaps but with this defense spending almost two thirds of the game on the field it was more than that in actual football terms, he’s not done much else of note this season and the planets aligned for decent production from a ton of playing time and a ton of Dalvin Cook (RB). That won’t happen again any time soon, pass.
Possible waivers: No new producers this week.
Misc notes: The opposite is true as well, this Bears defense was on the field for 36 minutes this week so the production will be bloated and dangerous much like my cats litter box after she gets that tuna paste treat she likes so much. Kyle Fuller (CB) was in for his normal 100% of snaps but had his third bad game in a row so he does appear to be in a bit of a slump, I’ve seen him be too good for too long to give up on him now but I am looking for other options to stream in ideal matchups rather than just doing a “set and forget” with him like many are prone to do. We’ll see how he does this week. Akiem Hicks (DT) was only in for 52% of snaps this week due to a strained hamstring taking him out of this one early, we’ll see if he can go next game but it doesn’t seem serious. Khalil Mack (EDGE) played his usual 86% of snaps or around there but failed to land a sack this week, he did have three combined tackles, a pass defense and a pick though so he ended up fine and dandy, his monster season continues. Robert Quinn (EDGE) played 52% of snaps but didn’t do anything of note yet again so his disappointing season continues, he’s been an abandon ship for a minute now. Everything else was fine. Roquan Smith (LB) is sitting at linebacker one currently, good for him. With Devin White (LB) as his direct competition in most leagues I’d give the edge to Roquan since he’ll be a part of games like this routinely where his offense is garbage and therefore he’s on the field for 35 plus minutes, that’s a factor that Devin White (LB) will never have with that loaded offense in Tampa Bay. That’s it for this week, we’re getting to the end of the line here in a few weeks. The season always seems to fly by. We’ll keep on grinding until we get to those title games and we’ll bring home that hardware, keep the faith my readers. We will win because we know more. Good luck this week, we’ll cya next Thursday morning.
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