• IDP Stock Market Week 3

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    Who are the best stock market investments and liquidations for week 3? Here’s who to buy or sell, to improve your fantasy portfolio this season!


    Every fantasy manager should look at their teams as the stock market. You want to buy rising stocks for cheap and sell at their peak, in order to secure a premium return. And just like stockbrokers and investors, you want to diversify your portfolio, with a number of different options. Not all stocks pan out and sometimes there are substantial losses, but there are also those penny stocks that can make you rich! Hopefully, my weekly stock market can guide you to a championship and those big payouts and help avoid those major losses.

     

    IDP Stock Market Investments

    (Blue Chip Stock of the Week)

     

    CB, Mike Hilton, Pittsburgh Steelers

    Last Week: 55 snaps (71%), 8 tackles (all solos), 2 TFL’s, 1 sack, 2 QB hits, 1 PBU’s, and 1 FR

     

    We all agree that the cornerback position is one that can be streamed for the most part. As I have mentioned before, there are a few that you should be looking to add to your rosters. Hilton is definitely one of those you should be adding to your rosters. There are a ton of cornerbacks, but there is only a handful that gets used as a blitzer on a regular basis. Hilton has 8½ career sacks, including two already this year. While he won’t keep up this season’s current pace all year, he’s getting the blitzing opportunities and is on pace to shatter his career-best mark of four which was set his rookie year. Sacks score big points in fantasy and he’ll be among leaders at the cornerback position.

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    Hilton is a great win now and long term option, that will provide a high return on your investment. He faces the Houston Texans this week, who he dominated in his one career appearance against them. In that game, he recorded six tackles, all solo, three sacks, and one forced fumble. A much more experienced player now, than he was back then and a key piece for the Steelers defense. Hilton is a young (age 26) talented player on a team that knows how to utilize him. He’s available on waivers, in almost every league, and don’t be afraid to ask for him as a throw-in in any of your trades. I have picked him up in all my leagues and you should too. A great stock market investment!

     

    OLB, Rashan Gary, Green Bay Packers

    Last Week: 33 snaps (56%), 4 tackles, 2 solos, 2 TFL’s, 1½ sacks, and 2 QB Hits

     

    Not every player can enter the NFL and dominate right from the beginning. There is a steep learning curve when jumping from college to the pros. Even the best struggle in the early going and most have to wait for their turn. That was the case with Gary, as he had to wait and learn behind veterans Zadarius and Preston Smith. Now a year later Gary has positioned himself into a rotational role and producing at a high level. While the Smith’s are the starters, Gary has performed very well this season and has shown that he is the future of this team. It’s about getting all the pressure you can on the opposing quarterbacks, forcing them into mistakes and Gary is doing just that.

    Gary is not only the future in Green Bay, but he’s a great addition for fantasy managers. I checked around in all my leagues today and he was surprisingly available in a lot of them. A great buy low stock market investment, with a potentially high return. Gary only had two sacks all of last season, but nearly had that (1½) in his last game. As a rookie, he only played 24% of the defensive snaps, but in year two he’s seen a significant increase to 59%. For now, fantasy managers will still need to be patient with the youngster and wisely choose the right matchups in which they play him. His best value will be in leagues where sacks score premium points.

     

    DT, Ndamukong Suh, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

    Last Week: 55 snaps (75%), 5 tackles, 4 solos, 2 TFL’s, 2 sacks, 2 QB Hits, 1 Pressure

    Normally when doing my weekly stock market piece, I focus more on the long term than the week to week short term returns. I do however like to mention those stocks that can provide a quick return and that is what we have here in Ndamukong Suh. At age 33 and 11 seasons in the league, Suh is not a viable long term investment. So why invest in him then? It’s simple, he’s a win-now piece who can be acquired for pennies on the dollar, and as a result, currently providing a high return. He’s also a cheat code option as he plays defensive end, but is listed as a defensive tackle in most fantasy leagues. Suh is having an excellent start to the season and looking like the Suh of old.

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    He dominated last week versus the Carolina Panthers and has the very favorable matchups the next three games, which includes an injury-riddled Denver team and an old familiar foe in Chicago that he has excelled (8 sacks in 11 games) against in the past. The veteran is playing superbly in the early going and having star pass rushers Jason Pierre Paul and Shaquil Barrett flanking him on the ends, free him up for one on ones, that he can win more often than not. Suh’s best value is in position-specific leagues and a great quick flip stock option. He’s going to cost you basically nothing, give you a good short term return that you can flip quickly to another fantasy manager, who has a need at the position.

     

    IDP Stock Market Liquidations

     

    DE, Clelin Ferrell, Las Vegas Raiders

    Last Week: 38 snaps (63%), 1 QB Hit, 1 Pressure

    My first stock market liquidation came with a lot of hype and hopes of a huge return for fantasy managers, but through seventeen career games, the production is nowhere near what was expected. I understand that he was a rookie last season and I am considering that in my assessment, but he’s in year two now and the early marks aren’t looking good. Ferrell only has three tackles on the season and didn’t even register a single tackle or play that scored fantasy points last week. There is a lot to be concerned with here, especially when you look at his fellow bookend, Maxx Crosby, and the success he’s had during that same span. Crosby put up the numbers that everyone thought that Ferrell would, but that hasn’t been the case.

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    One benefit, Ferrell is young and worth holding onto. Maybe it’s just taking him longer to put it together. He has upside and the draft capital will provide opportunities to make plays. Some fantasy managers may want to take a wait and see approach. I have seen enough (4½ sacks in 17 games) from him, to know what kind of return I get. I believe he’ll improve and provide a solid return for investors. However, I am moving forward with selling all my shares of him, while his potential of a high return, can still net me a fair market value.

     

    SS, Shawn Williams, Cincinnati Bengals

    Last Week: DNP (Calf Injury)

    Ever since the Bengals added Vonn Bell to their team, the question among fantasy managers is who would be the odd man out? Would it be Williams or Jassie Bates? Would Bell just play a backup role? Unfortunately, we’re three weeks into the season and we don’t have a clear answer yet. One reason - He's been dealing with a calf injury. For the last two seasons, Williams has been a top-tier safety. Remarkably, that’s even with superstar free safety Bates performing alongside. We have seen that the Bengals defense can support two top fantasy safeties, but three just isn’t going to happen. Someone’s value will suffer.

    Once Williams returns, it's my belief that his value will be hurt most. Bates is the free safety, so he won’t be affected, but Bell will cut into William’s opportunities. Does Cincinnati run three safety sets? Do they play Williams down in the box at LB as they have done occasionally in the past? These are certainly options, but I see Willaims and Bell playing in a rotation of some sort. If that’s the case Williams numbers will certainly take a hit. So that’s why I am selling my shares of Williams now before he returns and his value takes a hit. He still has a brand name and plays an advantageous position - IDP wise. Upon his return, there should be a market.

     

    DE, Aldon Smith, Dallas Cowboys

    Last Week: 61 snaps (81%), 5 tackles, 2 solos

    Aldon Smith is the perfect sell high stock market liquidation. After being out of the league for over four seasons, he finally got one last chance to continue his career. In his return, Smith is performing at a high level. In his very first game back, recorded 11 total tackles and one sack versus the Los Angeles Rams. With another solid performance last week, he has 16 tackles, eight solos, and one sack. His fantasy value soared after Week 1 performance and a solid week two, it's believed he's back. Smith is starting for the Cowboys and is receiving a commanding workload of 78% of the defensive snaps.

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    As you can see there is a lot to like about Smith and the situation he’s in. He’s a quality starter, playing opposite another star pass rusher in Demarcus Lawrence, and producing at a high level. He has been one of the most added IDP’s in fantasy leagues across all platforms. So with all the hype swirling around him currently, now is the perfect time to sell your shares of him. His value may never be higher and considering he was a waiver add, selling now nets you a high return. Defensive end is a position that is highly sought after and with injuries to studs Danielle Hunter and Nick Bosa, among others, now is the perfect time to cash in


    Thanks for reading my article and if you enjoyed it, you can read more of my articles on my author page at IDP Guys and Dynasty Football Digest. I am a member of the FSWA (Fantasy Sports Writers of America) and you can also follow me on social media, on Twitter at @HollywoodTitan, on Facebook on my IDPNation page, on Reddit in the fantasy football IDP sub I’m user KingTitan1 and you can tune in each week and listen to the podcasts, IDP Nation & Devy IDP Grind, that I co-host, on a number of different platforms. Feel free to hit me up with any questions that you have, as I’m always glad to help fellow IDPers. #IDPNation #IDP #IDPDevy

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