Aaron Robinson was the perfect example of why we stream corner in week 14. Opportunity plus matchup equals monster game from a guy no one knew existed a month ago.
The Week 15 edition of The Cornerback Corner is here! @Orangeman3142 dives into all of the secondary matchups for every game to solidify your #IDP #FFIDP lineups!
Welcome to Johny the Greek’s Cornerback Corner Week 15. Last week we streamed corner and did it well. I recommended over 50 different corner streams from 14 different Week 14 matchups. The majority of them worked out extremely well.
We sit at 73% accuracy for the season, 65% last week based on those calls matching or beating their projections (Yahoo), and will continue to track accuracy all season long just like last year. Transparency is something we take seriously here at IDPGuys.
Last week I made 54 recommendations. Of those 54, 8 were declared inactive or injured during play, 30 were correct (met or exceeded projection) and 16 were incorrect (below projection).
We don’t count acts of God here (injuries) and I specifically ask people to check for inactives before each game. So, discounting those, I was 65% correct last week and have a 73%% accuracy rating for the season overall.
Of those 30 correct calls last week, 10 were “massive hits” (doubled or tripled projection). That is a 33% massive hit rate for the week. Season long massive hit rate available bewlo
Weekly Accuracy:
- 75% Week 1 Massive Hit: 25%
- 64% Week 2 Massive Hit: 35%
- 67% Week 3 Massive Hit: 34%
- 77% Week 4 Massive Hit: 37%
- 77% Week 5 Massive Hit: 40%
- 71% Week 6 Massive Hit: 40%
- 73% Week 7 Massive Hit: 41%
- 72% Week 8 Massive Hit: 33%
- 69% Week 9 Massive Hit 33%
- 82% Week 10 Massive Hit 35%
- 79% Week 11 Massive Hit 38%
- 76% Week 12 Massive Hit 35%
- 72% Week 13 Massive Hit 44%
- 65% Week 14 Massive Hit 33%
Season accuracy to date: 73%
Season massive hit rate to date: 36%
You can read all previous Cornerback Corner articles on my IDP Guys author page.
If this is your first time in Cornerback Corner, click here to read all the Cornerback Corner details you need to know about how I lay out all my picks.
Enough of the past, let’s look at Week 15!
Perfect Stream: This is one of the best matchups this week. I will be streaming from these matchups in my own leagues almost exclusively.
Poop stream: This is one of the worst matchups this week. I will very likely have zero corners from this matchup streaming anywhere.
Cornerback Corner Week 15
Raiders @ Browns
Outlook: Mediocre. The Browns don’t like to throw the ball and the Raiders can’t throw the ball without Waller and now minus Ruggs too. This will be a low scoring, black and blue, three yards and a cloud of dust type game with minimal aerial fireworks. Obvious guys only, deeper leagues only.
Las Vegas Raiders
Casey Hayward: Solid (Deeper leagues)
Nate Hobbs: Solid (Deeper leagues)
Trayvon Mullen: Avoid (Playing time)
Brandon Facyson🙂 Avoid (Playing time)
Cleveland Browns
Denzel Ward: Solid
Greg Newsome: Solid (Deeper leagues, if healthy)
Greedy Williams: Solid (Deeper leagues, only if Newsome inactive, otherwise avoid)
Troy Hill: Avoid (Playing time, traditionally he’s the third CB)
Patriots @ Colts
Outlook: This one has a chance for some points but isn’t perfect due to the known offensive tendencies of both these teams, they are both run-first offenses. It is indoors which helps and both teams are fully capable of scoring in bunches but it lacks the star power and several other factors needed for a perfect stream.
Start the obvious guys normally, the other options that make sense in deeper leagues only.
New England Patriots
JC Jackson: Solid
Jalen Mills (CB/S): Solid (Deeper leagues)
Myles Bryant: Avoid (Not guaranteed as many snaps as the first two)
Indianapolis Colts
Kenny Moore: Solid
Rock Ya Sin: Solid (Deeper leagues)
Xavier Rhodes: Solid (Deeper leagues)
Panthers @ Bills
Outlook: This could be an excellent week to take advantage of Stephon Gilmore‘s (CB) newly found playing time and role as the best cornerback option in this Panthers secondary, beyond him however it’s a giant mess and in flux, so we should skip the rest.
That’s unfortunate with this solid Bills passing attack in town. As for the reverse, obvious guys only, deeper leagues only, if we’re relying on the Panthers to complete passes we’re in for a long day indeed.
Carolina Panthers
Stephon Gilmore: Solid
All others: Avoid (Not even kidding, it’s a giant mess and I won’t be responsible for something that could knock you out of playoffs, you want to go down this road you do it on your own, it’s a bad idea)
Buffalo Bills
Levi Wallace: Avoid
Taron Johnson: Solid (Deeper leagues)
Dane Jackson: Solid (Deeper leagues)
Cardinals @ Lions
Outlook: Upon first inspection, this looks like a slam dunk Amani Oruwariye (CB) and company week, but it likely is not. The Cardinals should be able to just run the ball and play good defense and win comfortably here, they won’t need to throw nearly as much as they did against the Rams last week due to likely game script and the vast difference in talent level for these two teams.
As for the reverse, any Cardinals’ options we start will very likely be splash play dependent for their points this week so we should go deeper leagues only if we’re forced to consider those options.
Arizona Cardinals
Byron Murphy: Solid (Deeper leagues)
Marco Wilson: Solid (Deeper leagues)
Robert Alford: Avoid (Playing time)
Detroit Lions
Amani Oruwariye: Solid
Nikell Robey Coleman: Solid (Deeper leagues, risky, we’ve only seen one week of it)
AJ Parker: Avoid (IR)
Jerry Jacobs: Avoid (IR)
All others: Avoid (Playing time)
Jets @ Dolphins
Outlook: Being a division game I tend to think the Jets actually have a shot to keep this close, they’ll still lose but it shouldn’t be a complete blood bath, and it’s outdoors in sunny Florida in the middle of winter so that’s nice. Obvious options on both teams should be fine here, normal production across the board feels like the order of the day.
New York Jets
Brandin Echols: Solid
Bryce Hall: Solid
Javelin Guidry: Avoid (Playing time, demotion with the return of Echols from IR)
Miami Dolphins
Xavien Howard: Solid
Byron Jones: Solid (Deeper leagues)
All others: Avoid (Fluctuation, playing time)
Cowboys @ Giants
Outlook: One half of a good matchup, that’s assuming we get the “good” Dak this week, which I think we will. Mother nature may play a role here so keep that on your radar, if it’s crappy out the Cowboys may just lean on their run game and suddenly excellent defense.
Regardless, I feel pretty good about my Giants options this week and as for the reverse, we always start Trevon Diggs (CB), as for Brown and Lewis that feels iffier and could depend on whether or not Daniel Jones (QB) is healthy and how banged up their wide receiver corps is.
Dallas Cowboys
Trevon Diggs: Solid
Anthony Brown: Solid (Deeper leagues, less risky if Daniel Jones plays)
Jourdan Lewis: Solid (Deeper leagues, less risky if Daniel Jones plays)
New York Giants
James Bradberry: Solid
Adoree Jackson: Solid (If healthy)
Aaron Robinson: Solid (If Jackson is inactive, otherwise avoid/sit)
Logan Ryan (CB/S): Solid
All others: Avoid (Playing time, which includes Julian Love CB/S)
Football Teams @ Eagles
Outlook: This one also feels strange, the weather could have an effect for sure so keep an eye on that, however, these two division rivals know each other well and both have a legit shot at playoffs so they’ll both come to play.
We can start the obvious options and hope for a back and forth affair but personally, I’ll probably be using options from some of the more one-sided matchups this week.
Washington Football Team
Kendall Fuller: Solid
William Jackson: Solid (Deeper leagues)
Bobby McCain: Solid (Deeper leagues)
Philadelphia Eagles
Darius Slay: Solid
Avonte Maddox: Solid (Deeper leagues)
Steven Nelson: Solid (Deeper leagues, if healthy)
All others: Avoid (Playing time, uncertainty)
Titans @ Steelers
Outlook: Possible crappy weather, neither pass offense is great, to begin with and both defenses are more than capable of completely destroying any kind of offensive rhythm the opponent is trying to establish so I’m feeling pretty iffy on this one. Obvious options only, deeper leagues only, I’ll likely be avoiding this one entirely.
There aren’t great options here, to begin with, there are injuries, shenanigans, and fluctuations and the matchup itself is likely not worth jumping through the flaming hoops that would be required.
I do favor the Titans’ options in deeper leagues if we had to pick a side though simply because Pittsburgh’s passing attack has been better recently and they have more options at wide receiver than the Titans do.
Tennessee Titans
Janoris Jenkins: Solid (Deeper leagues, if healthy)
Buster Skrine: Avoid (We’ve only seen one week of it, not trustworthy in playoffs)
Kristian Fulton: Solid (Deeper leagues)
Elijah Molden: Solid (Deeper leagues)
Pittsburgh Steelers
Cameron Sutton: Solid (Deeper leagues)
Joe Haden: Solid (If healthy, Deeper leagues)
All others: Avoid (Fluctuation, uncertainty, bad matchup)
Texans @ Jags
Outlook: We can start our Jags options and hope for a Texans blowout victory and that they end up on the field for like 40 minutes but the odds of that happening aren’t all that great to begin with. As for Texans’ options, we should pass completely, the Jaguars do not have a passing offense, it doesn’t exist.
There is no floor to speak of. Not great at all really, I won’t be touching this one personally. Not to mention the Texans have been moving around their cornerback corps all season and the last time we want to be screwing around with that is now. They even did it again last week, that’s too close for comfort.
Houston Texans
Desmond King: Solid (Deeper leagues)
All others: Avoid (Many reasons)
Jacksonville Jaguars
Shaq Griffin: Solid (Deeper leagues)
Tyson Campbell: Solid (Deeper leagues)
Nevin Lawson: Avoid (Playing time, demotion with the return of Griffin)
Bengals @ Broncos
Outlook: This is a rock-solid game for our Patrick Surtain (CB) shares and I’m sure Ronald Darby (CB) and Kyle Fuller (CB) will have some value as well this week but as for the reverse anything beyond Chidobe Awuzie (CB) is a bridge too far for me this week.
The Broncos do not pass the ball well at all and tend to rely on their run game and defense to win games. Obvious options only, deeper leagues only if possible (beyond Surtain who has a great matchup).
Cincinnati Bengals
Chidobe Awuzie: Solid (Deeper leagues)
Eli Apple: Avoid (Production)
Mike Hilton: Avoid (Playing time, matchup)
Denver Broncos
Patrick Surtain: Solid/Ideal
Ronald Darby: Solid (Deeper leagues)
Kyle Fuller: Avoid (Return of Bryce Callahan)
Bryce Callahan: Avoid (No idea how much playing time he’ll have)
Falcons @ Niners
Outlook: This could be a sneaky good week for AJ Terrell (CB), with the Niners running back corps completely decimated by injury they could be forced to rely upon Deebo Samuel (WR) and company more often this week.
As for the reverse, if we can establish who will actually play cornerback for the Niners this week they could have some value as well, Atlanta will likely find themselves in a negative game script early and often and be forced to try and pass their way back into it, that’s not great for a floor but does open the door for some splash play production for the Niners secondary.
Atlanta Falcons
AJ Terrell: Solid
Fabian Moreau: Solid (Deeper leagues)
All others: Avoid (Fluctuation, uncertainty)
San Francisco 49ers
Josh Norman: Solid (Deeper leagues)
K’Waun Williams: Solid (Deeper leagues)
All others: Avoid (Fluctuation, uncertainty)
Seahawks @ Rams
Outlook: Last season and in recent history this was a game most of us circled on our calendars for streaming corner and IDP production of all kinds, these days it should be a one-sided blood bath and an easy Rams victory.
We can start our Seahawks options and expect solid production against this excellent Rams passing attack, as for the reverse we’ve already got Covid shenanigans with the Rams cornerback corps but in general, this isn’t the “let Russ cook” era anymore, there are better matchups to take advantage of this week.
Seattle Seahawks
DJ Reed: Solid/Ideal
Sydney Jones: Solid (Deeper leagues)
Quandre Diggs (CB/S): Solid
Ryan Neal (S that could be CB in some places): Solid/Ideal
All others: Avoid
Los Angeles Rams
Jalen Ramsey: Solid
Darious Williams: Solid
Donte Deayon: Solid (Deeper leagues, only if Ramsey is inactive, otherwise avoid)
David Long Jr: Solid (Deeper leagues, only if Ramsey AND Deayon are inactive, otherwise avoid)
All others: Avoid
Packers @ Ravens
Outlook: One half of a good matchup here, we can start our Ravens options comfortably against this excellent Packers passing attack. As for the reverse we’ve got a banged-up Lamar Jackson (QB) and a passing attack that has been ranked towards the end of the rankings this entire season.
Any production we do get will likely be splash play dependent which is risky at best if there isn’t a floor of tackles and passes defended it’s not a good bet. Pass on Packers options here if you can, deeper leagues only if you can’t, Ravens options look good.
Green Bay Packers
Eric Stokes: Solid (Deeper leagues, risky)
Chandon Sullivan: Avoid (Production)
Rasul Douglas: Solid (Deeper leagues, risky)
Baltimore Ravens
Brandon Stephens (CB/S): Solid
Anthony Averett: Solid
Jimmy Smith: Solid (Deeper leagues)
Chris Westry: Solid (Deeper leagues, only if Smith inactive, otherwise avoid)
All others: Avoid
Saints @ Buccaneers
Outlook: The first iteration of this matchup was excellent, there were points aplenty, it was a back and forth affair and came down to the last minute. I highly doubt we get that again in Tampa. This has all the makings of an absolute slaughter, the Bucs are heating up and just beat a real team last week, the Saints are on the outside looking in and won’t be at home this time around.
However, this does make for an excellent week for Marshon Lattimore (CB) and company as the Bucs should thoroughly dominate this one from start to finish. As for the Bucs options, Carlton Davis (CB) is always capable of a huge week but beyond that, we’ll have to tread carefully.
New Orleans Saints
Marshon Lattimore: Solid/Ideal
P.J. Williams: Solid (Deeper leagues)
Paulson Adebo: Solid (Deeper leagues)
Chauncey Gardner Johnson (CB/S): Solid (Deeper leagues)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Carlton Davis: Solid
Sean Murphy Bunting: Solid (Deeper leagues)
All others : Avoid (Fluctuation, uncertainty)
Vikings @ Bears
Outlook: One half of a good matchup, I for one refuse to believe that Justin Fields (QB) is capable of recreating his numbers against the Packers on a consistent basis at this current point in time, he may be able to against this suspect Vikings defense but the odds seem more to favor his usual 150 yards passing with one touchdown, two or three picks and some rushing yards.
The Chicago options should have value against Cousins, Thielen (who has a projection this week and could/should play), and Jefferson and their really solid passing attack so that part is not in question. The Vikings’ options however seem suspect to me so I’ll be passing on them.
Minnesota Vikings
Patrick Peterson: Solid (Deeper leagues)
Mackensie Alexander: Avoid
Bashaud Breeland: Avoid
Chicago Bears
Artie Burns: Solid
Jaylon Johnson: Solid (Deeper leagues)
All others: Avoid
***Pay attention to beat writers on Twitter, local “wires” (Rams’ wire, etc), and news from the team websites for backup options at corner this week. Covid has run rampant and we’re already down over 40 players as I’m writing this on Tuesday, do the best you can and don’t get caught with an inactive in your lineup, trust your judgment and play the matchups, the rest is in the hands of the fantasy Gods, good luck***
Closing thoughts
Remember to check inactives before kickoff to avoid any surprise zeroes! The information here is usually only accurate up until Thursday evening each week, then it gets published and I won’t be editing and updating with any injury news that occurs after that point, it’s your responsibility to track injuries for your own team. Good luck this week!
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