Tavierre Thomas and Desmond King have joined Bradley Roby in my CB Streaming Hall of Fame
Cornerback Corner Week 17 is here!
Welcome to the final edition of Johny The Greek’s Cornerback Corner for this season!
We don’t do week 18 title games around these parts, too many unknown variables, and the vast majority of leagues will be completed after week 17.
If you need any individual support for a week 18 title game feel free to reach out to me on Twitter or use our site slack chat or forum. Good luck!
Johny the Greek’s Cornerback Corner Week 17. Last week we streamed corner and did it well. I recommended over 60 different corner streams from 16 different Week 16 matchups. The majority of them worked out extremely well.
We sit at 73% accuracy for the season, 75% last week based on those calls matching or beating their projections (Yahoo), and will continue to track accuracy all season long just like last year. Transparency is something we take seriously here at IDPGuys.
Hit Rate
Last week I made 61 recommendations. Of those 61, 12 were declared inactive or injured during play, 37 were correct (met or exceeded projection) and 12 were incorrect (below projection).
We don’t count acts of God here (injuries) and I specifically ask people to check for inactives before each game. So, discounting those, I was 75% correct last week and have a 73% accuracy rating for the season overall.
Of those 37 correct calls last week, 9 were “massive hits” (doubled or tripled projection). That is a 24% massive hit rate for the week. The season-long massive hit rates are available below.
Weekly Accuracy:
- 75% Week 1 Massive Hit: 25%
- 64% Week 2 Massive Hit: 35%
- 67% Week 3 Massive Hit: 34%
- 77% Week 4 Massive Hit: 37%
- 77% Week 5 Massive Hit: 40%
- 71% Week 6 Massive Hit: 40%
- 73% Week 7 Massive Hit: 41%
- 72% Week 8 Massive Hit: 33%
- 69% Week 9 Massive Hit 33%
- 82% Week 10 Massive Hit 35%
- 79% Week 11 Massive Hit 38%
- 76% Week 12 Massive Hit 35%
- 72% Week 13 Massive Hit 44%
- 65% Week 14 Massive Hit 33%
- 76% Week 15 Massive Hit 36%
- 75% Week 16 Massive Hit 24%
Season accuracy to date: 73%
Season massive hit rate to date: 35%
You can read all previous Cornerback Corner articles on my IDP Guys author page.
If this is your first time in Cornerback Corner, click here to read all the Cornerback Corner details you need to know about how I lay out all my picks.
Enough of the past, let’s look at Week 17!
Perfect Stream: This is one of the best matchups this week. I will be streaming from these matchups in my own leagues almost exclusively. The more incoherent Dune rambling you see in this section the more I love this matchup.
Poop stream: This is one of the worst matchups this week. I will very likely have zero corners from this matchup streaming anywhere.
Half of a good matchup: This stream is a favorite of Thanos, only 50% of it is worth anything at all. These matchups along with the perfect streams are where you can find the best CB options (the good half of this category that is).
Mediocre: You can probably find some value here but it will very likely be deeper leagues only, the meme describes the matchup.
Cornerback Corner Week 17
Falcons @ Bills
Outlook: Assuming mother nature stays out of this one this is a picture perfect matchup for AJ Terrell (CB) and a solid matchup for Fabian Moreau (CB), Taron Johnson (CB) and Dane Jackson (CB) in deeper leagues with fewer options. Levi Wallace (CB) is probably worth a shot as well but only in the deepest and darkest of leagues since he’s been less productive this season week to week for whatever reason.
Atlanta Falcons
AJ Terrell: Solid/Ideal
Fabian Moreau: Solid (Deeper leagues)
No significant third CB option
Buffalo Bills
Taron Johnson: Solid (Deeper leagues)
Dane Jackson: Solid (Deeper leagues)
Levi Wallace: Avoid (Production, should play enough though if you need it in deeper leagues)
Giants @ Bears
Outlook: Two terrible quarterbacks, well one at least with the Giants, and who knows who for the Bears, plus early January football outdoors in Chicago equals a low scoring defensive struggle. I won’t be streaming anyone from this myself but there could be some value here with some of the “cheat code” guys like Logan Ryan (S/CB).
We’ll list out the deeper league options that play enough as well for you true degenerates.
New York Giants
Logan Ryan (S/CB): Solid
Julian Love (S/CB): Solid (Deeper leagues, only if Jackson and Robinson are inactive, then he should play enough for some production, otherwise avoid/sit)
Adoree’ Jackson: Avoid (Will play enough though if healthy)
Aaron Robinson: Avoid (Will only play enough if Jackson out)
James Bradberry: Solid (Deeper leagues)
Chicago Bears
Jaylon Johnson: Avoid
Artie Burns: Avoid
All others: Avoid
Chiefs @ Bengals
Outlook: “He who controls the spice controls the universe!”
The only knock on this one is it’s outdoors in Cincy in the middle of winter, but assuming mother nature leaves this one alone we should be in for an epic shootout, fingers crossed. Fire up all the relevant options and let’s hope that’s the case.
Kansas City Chiefs
L’Jarius Sneed (S/CB): Solid
Mike Hughes: Solid (Deeper leagues)
Chavarius Ward: Solid (Deeper leagues)
Cincinnati Bengals
Chidobe Awuzie: Solid
Mike Hilton: Solid (Deeper leagues)
Eli Apple: Solid (Deeper leagues)
Dolphins @ Titans
Outlook: There will be some value for deeper leagues in this one for sure but in general I won’t be targeting this for my own streams this week. We’ll list the relevant options for you like always but this feels like a low scoring affair where running backs and team defenses score more points than quarterbacks and wide receivers and that’s never a great recipe for cornerback production.
Miami Dolphins
Xavien Howard: Solid (Deeper leagues)
Byron Jones: Avoid (Plays enough though if you need it)
No significant third CB option
Tennessee Titans
Kristian Fulton: Solid (Deeper leagues)
Janoris Jenkins: Avoid (Playing time)
Elijah Molden: Avoid (Fluctuations with Covid shenanigans)
Buster Skrine: Avoid (Fluctuation with Covid shenanigans)
Raiders @ Colts
Outlook: Two very bland offenses that tend to rely upon their run game far more than their passing game face off this week in Indy. It will be indoors so that helps but I tend to think this one will be lower scoring as well. We can start Kenny Moore (CB) because we always start Kenny Moore (CB) but beyond that deeper leagues only for any remaining options.
Las Vegas Raiders
Casey Hayward: Solid (Deeper leagues)
All others: Avoid (Covid shenanigans)
Typically Brandon Facyson is an option if healthy, same with Nate Hobbs. If they’re back from Covid IR and you need warm bodies, those two exist.
Indianapolis Colts
Kenny Moore: Solid
Xavier Rhodes: Solid (Deeper leagues)
All others: Avoid (Fluctuation, Covid shenanigans)
Jaguars @ Patriots
Outlook: The Jaguars don’t have a passing attack and the Patriots don’t use their passing attack. This should be a “get right” game for the Pats and if their offense doesn’t run for 200 yards and dominate time of possession I’ll be shocked, the Pats team defense feels more likely to score a touchdown here than any wide receiver on either team.
Any production for Pats corners would have to be splash play dependent and any time we have to rely upon that for our floor we’re in for a risky day. Pass unless you’re truly desperate and need to throw a JC Jackson (CB) pick six Hail Mary.
Jacksonville Jaguars
Tyson Campbell: Solid (Deeper leagues)
Shaquill Griffin: Solid (Deeper leagues)
All others: Avoid
New England Patriots
J.C. Jackson: Solid (Deeper leagues)
Jalen Mills (S/CB): Solid (Deeper leagues)
All others: Avoid
Panthers @ Saints
Outlook: Neither passing attack is great at all and we may need to rely on splash plays for production which is always a terrible idea plus we can’t start any Panthers corners since they all stink now that Donte Jackson (CB) is gone so yep, mediocre. Lattimore is always worth a stab but really beyond that I wouldn’t touch this with a ten foot pole.
Carolina Panthers
C.J. Henderson: Avoid (Fluctuation in entire CB corps)
Stephon Gilmore: Avoid (Production, playing time)
All others: Avoid (Fluctuation in entire CB corps)
New Orleans Saints
Marshon Lattimore: Solid (Deeper leagues)
P.J. Williams: Avoid (Plays enough if you need it though)
Paulson Adebo: Avoid (Plays enough if you need it though)
Buccaneers @ Jets
Outlook: I did see that Bryce Hall (CB) is on Covid IR but with the new guidelines there’s a chance we get him back before kickoff, regardless I’ll list out the Jets options and pretty much any of the usual three that play a good amount each week are in a beautiful position for production this week.
As for the reverse, I’ve got a feeling that this could be a Carlton Davis (CB) week but only in regards to a splash play and only since he’s been cold recently and he’s too good for that to last plus the Jets will surely be in a negative game script at some point (likely early) in this one.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Carlton Davis: Solid (Deeper leagues)
Sean Murphy-Bunting: Solid (Deeper leagues)
Jamel Dean: Avoid (Playing time)
New York Jets
Bryce Hall: Solid
Brandin Echols: Solid
Michael Carter: Solid (If healthy)
Jason Pinnock: Solid (Deeper leagues only, incredibly risky, only relevant if Michael Carter is out to begin with)
Javelin Guidry: Avoid (If Bryce Hall stays on Covid IR and can’t play AND Michael Carter doesn’t return from Covid IR this week THEN this becomes an option, and an extremely risky one, but this is here for you true degenerates if you need it)
Eagles @ Football Team
Outlook: The Eagles have been a running team recently and only passing when forced to. The dried out corpse of the Washington Football Team defense likely won’t be good enough to force the Eagles into that kind of game script.
As for the reverse, we can always roll out Big Play Slay and hope for a home run but I don’t think we can rely on any kind of floor (combined tackles and passes defended) here against this really not great Washington passing attack.
Philadelphia Eagles
Darius Slay: Solid (Deeper leagues)
Steven Nelson: Avoid (Plays enough if you need it though)
Avonte Maddox: Avoid (Plays enough in much deeper leagues if you need it though)
Washington Football Team
Kendall Fuller: Solid (Deeper leagues)
Bobby McCain: Solid (Deeper leagues)
William Jackson: Solid (Deeper leagues, if healthy)
Broncos @ Chargers
Outlook: The last time we got this matchup, and it was in Denver by the way, not sunny California, Patrick Surtain had two picks and a touchdown plus a host of other stats, the game script works in favor of our Broncos options against this pass-happy Chargers team so I love our Denver options. As for the reverse, the Broncos don’t have a passing attack so we can skip everything.
Asante Samuel Jr is back if you need a long-shot Hail Mary in deeper leagues but it would be entirely splash play, dependent and we all know that’s not a good bet. We bank on our combined tackles and pass defense floor and anything else is a nice bonus, not the other way around.
Denver Broncos
Patrick Surtain: Solid
Ronald Darby: Solid (Deeper leagues)
Bryce Callahan: Solid (Much deeper leagues due to less than ideal playing time)
Los Angeles Chargers
Asante Samuel Jr: Solid (Deeper leagues, risky, splash play dependent)
Chris Harris Jr: Avoid (Plays enough if you need it though)
All others: Avoid (Fluctuation due to Covid shenanigans)
Texans @ 49ers
Outlook: Our Texans’ options could be decent again this week with the rumor mill swirling and saying that Jimmy Beautiful (QB) will be out and “fire and forget” Trey Lance (QB) will be starting this week. That could make for another big day for King and Thomas but in general, I like many other streams better this week, deeper leagues only for those fellas but we do thank them for a tremendous performance last week.
As for the reverse the Niners corners haven’t been productive all season long there’s no reason that changes this week and it’s the Texans passing attack not the 1998 Minnesota Vikings with Randall Cunningham (QB).
Houston Texans
Desmond King: Solid (Deeper leagues)
Tavierre Thomas: Solid (Deeper leagues)
Lonnie Johnson (S/CB): Avoid (Covid, uncertainty)
All others: Avoid (Uncertainty)
San Francisco 49ers
Josh Norman: Solid (Deeper leagues)
Ambry Thomas: Avoid (Fluctuation in who plays this role)
K’Waun Williams: Avoid (Reduction in playing time)
Cardinals @ Cowboys
Outlook: “Bless the maker and his water. Bless the coming and going of him. May his passage cleanse the world. May he keep the world for his people. Hmmmmmmmmmmmm Shai Halud.” Indoors, two prolific offenses, the Cardinals are desperate for a win and will come out swinging, Dak looks amazing again. Fire up everyone.
Arizona Cardinals
Byron Murphy: Solid
Marco Wilson: Solid (If healthy)
Antonio Hamilton: Solid (If Wilson inactive, otherwise avoid)
All others: Avoid (Fluctuation, no one stable in the third CB role)
Dallas Cowboys
Trevon Diggs: Solid
Anthony Brown: Solid
Jourdan Lewis: Solid (If healthy)
Kelvin Joseph: Solid (If Lewis is inactive, otherwise avoid/sit)
Lions @ Seahawks
Outlook: There could be some fireworks here but it’s outdoors in rainy, snowy, shitty Seattle and between two pretty boring passing attacks. We can start the obvious guys but deeper leagues only, the cheat code guys should be alright this week, Quandre Diggs (S/CB) and Ryan Neal (S/CB), as well.
Detroit Lions
Ifeatu Melifonwu: Avoid (He plays enough but we’ve only seen it for one week, I wouldn’t do it)
AJ Parker: Avoid (Playing time)
Amani Oruwariye: Avoid (Went to IR)
No significant third CB option
Seattle Seahawks
D.J. Reed: Solid (Deeper leagues, if healthy)
Sidney Jones: Avoid (Plays enough if you need it though)
Quandre Diggs (S/CB): Solid (Deeper leagues)
Ryan Neal (S/CB): Solid
Rams @ Ravens
Outlook: After what Joe Burrow (QB) did to this shattered, depleted, and absolutely wrecked Ravens secondary last week only God can imagine what Matt Stafford (QB) is going to do to it this week. Our one problem is establishing who will actually play corner for this Baltimore team this week, no idea.
Hit up local beat writers closer to kickoff and let’s pray some of the guys we’re more sure about clear Covid IR protocols before Sunday. As for the reverse, we always start Jalen Ramsey (CB) and Darious Williams (CB) is always a great play simply because he is NOT Jalen Ramsey (CB).
As the lesser of two evils, he does tend to get targeted and that does lead to production, deeper leagues only for him this week though since this Ravens passing attack is currently ranked middle of the pack and that’s entirely dependent on which quarterback they’re rolling out this week.
Los Angeles Rams
Jalen Ramsey: Solid
Darious Williams: Solid (Deeper leagues)
Donte Deayon: Avoid (Playing time)
Baltimore Ravens
Jimmy Smith: Solid (If healthy)
Chris Westry: Solid (Deeper leagues, if healthy, extremely risky)
Anthony Averett: Solid (If healthy)
Kevon Seymour: Solid (Only if Westry AND Smith are out again, otherwise avoid/sit)
Tavon Young: Solid (Deeper leagues)
Brandon Stephens (S/CB): Solid (Deeper leauges)
***Check with Baltimore beat writers to see who is actually playing corner before kickoff this week, the order of operations for snaps SHOULD be Averett, Smith, Westry, Young. Seymour would be an option only if multiple options are not available for the Ravens this week, and they could make moves before Sunday to try and offset that.
If it’s not Averett or Smith or Westry and they’re not fully healthy I’m staying the hell away from it despite the terrific matchup, and even if they do look good to go I’m not screwing with this unless I’m really in a deep, dark degenerate league where my back is to the wall and I have no other options at all***
Vikings @ Packers
Outlook: “It is by will alone that I set my mind in motion, it is by the juice of Saphoo that thoughts acquire speed, the lips acquire stains, the stains become a warning. It is by will alone I set my mind in motion.”
I like it a lot, it’s outdoors though so that could be an issue this time of year, keep an eye on that weather report. Generally though if that’s not an issue these two teams tend to score a shitload of points when they play each other and both teams are loaded for pass-catching weapons and have competent quarterbacks pulling the trigger.
***Update, without Cousins now due to Covid this becomes a Thanos meme matchup with Vikings corners keeping their value but Green Bay’s corners now becoming splash play dependent instead of having a nice floor like we wanted. Rasul Douglas is still probably fine but I’d skip the rest.***
Minnesota Vikings
Cameron Dantzler: Solid
Patrick Peterson: Solid (Deeper leagues)
Mackensie Alexander: Solid (Deeper leagues)
Green Bay Packers
Rasul Douglas: Solid
Eric Stokes: Solid (Deeper leagues)
Chandon Sullivan: Solid (Deeper leagues)
Browns @ Steelers
Outlook: The Browns will run the ball first, second and last and only pass if they need to and even then they don’t do it all that well. The Steelers passing attack is a joke. Defensive struggle, black and blue affair. We could see something from Denzel Ward (CB) because that’s always a real possibility, he’s that good, but the odds dictate that we should avoid this one and stream elsewhere this week.
Cleveland Browns
Denzel Ward: Solid (Deeper leagues)
M.J. Stewart (S/CB): Solid (Only if Ronnie Harrison AND John Johnson are out OR multiple corners are out to the point where they need more than just the usual Greedy Williams replacement spot start, regardless it’s super risky against this steaming dog crap Steelers offense, deeper leagues only)
Greedy Williams: Solid (Only if Greg Newsome is out or Troy Hill is out, deeper leagues only)
Greg Newsome: Avoid (Production)
Troy Hill: Avoid (Production, playing time)
Pittsburgh Steelers
Cameron Sutton: Solid (Deeper leagues, like “Journey to the Center of the Earth” deep)
Joe Haden: Avoid (Playing time recently)
All others: Avoid
Beat writers are your Friends
Remember, we are up to our eyeballs in Covid and injury shenanigans. Follow local beat writers and check each team’s “wire” to stay up to date on replacements for each player, play the matchups, and hope for the best. We’re all dealing with it, if it comes down to a more solid option with a lower ceiling instead of a dice roll on a guy we’ve never heard of that’s the way to go.
This is going to be a messy finish but we know our options and we’ve seen the tendencies of each offense all season, trust your gut and use the force. I’m saying this because very likely a good chunk of what I write here will be rendered irrelevant by Covid and injury just like last week where I had over ten different inactives or Covid IR inactives which is by far the most this season.
Do what you can and hit me up on Twitter (@Orangeman3142) if you want to strategize your options, that’s a weekly tradition for me anyway, so I’m always happy to help. Good luck this week.
Closing Thoughts
Remember to check inactives before kickoff to avoid any surprise zeroes! The information here is usually only accurate up until Thursday evening each week, then it gets published and I won’t be editing and updating with any injury news that occurs after that point, it’s your responsibility to track injuries for your own team. These are only suggestions, your lineup is your responsibility and yours alone. Good luck this week!
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