Despite mother nature making her presence known Mr. Ward had a nice game as usual
Welcome to Johny The Greek’s Cornerbacks Corner week eleven. Week ten was much better overall, we got back on track and recovered nicely from the horrible week nine results. Last week and were at 76% accurate for the week, we’ll have to keep the weather situations in mind the further we get into winter it obviously negatively effected some matchups but overall it was a nice week. As the season continues I’m becoming more and more comfortable with the rookies and injury replacement corners I haven’t had a ton of experience streaming with before and the overall accuracy has drastically increased since the first couple weeks of the season. As we know what each teams offensive and defensive strengths look like and continue to learn more every week we should get better and better as the season continues. Let’s get the usual stuff out of the way and get into our week eight options for streaming corner.
If you’re new to this article series the idea behind it is that in the IDP world cornerbacks are the red headed step child, often neglected or scoffed at. Not here. I freaking love streaming corners and have for some time now. We’re going to be looking at things like expected game script, opposing offensive tendencies, snap counts, role and historical production to inform our weekly decisions on what corners are an “ideal” streaming option. By giving this entire thing more than two seconds thought we will have a distinct advantage over our opponents who are not doing this over the course of the season. We are going to put ourselves in the best position possible every week to score the most IDP points humanly possible from our cornerback slots.
Just a little background, I’ve been playing IDP for seventeen years now and streaming corners for well over a decade of that time. I have won many titles in both redraft and dynasty and also in best ball and DFS as well as college fantasy football. I am a true degenerate. Personally I like to stream not only whatever the current week is but if my bench is big enough I’ll load up two more ideal streamers for the following week and by doing so I’ve already taken my pick of the litter a week before anyone else is even thinking about their corners. Corner is a naturally spotty position but by looking at all the factors I listed above we will have better outcomes than the majority of IDP owners who simply put in a “known” corner with a big name (Richard Sherman for example) into their corner slots and ride out the production whether or not that matchup makes sense each week. That won’t be us, we’re going to waterboard our opponents with ideal matchups all season until they drown from our flood of IDP points.
It looks like we’ll have some pretty solid matchups this week and we’ll continue to target those for our ideal matchups but in today’s NFL where passing is the name of the game I’m sure we’ll find solid streaming options in just about every matchup so even those of us in the deepest of leagues have some options. Alright let’s have a look at how we did last week with some transparency and have a look at this week’s matchups. I always give last weeks results as well as an overall season long accuracy because it’s important to be honest and up front with stuff like this, if I’m in a slump and making bad decisions you’ll know it and can decide if you want to follow these streaming suggestions or not.
Last week I made 50 recommendations, of those 7 were declared inactive or injured, 33 were correct (met or exceeded projection) and 10 were incorrect (below projection). We don’t count acts of God here and I specifically ask people to check for inactives before each game so discounting those I was 76% correct last week, 72% accurate for the season overall. Of those 33 correct calls last week 10 of them were “massive hits” (doubled or tripled projection) for a 30% massive hit rate this week which is excellent, one third of all my calls last week blew up and gave you a massive amount of IDP points in their matchup.
Disclaimer Time! I’m not going to get all of these correct. Cornerback especially is a wildly inconsistent position for production in IDP fantasy football. That’s why most people hate it with a passion. My whole thing is to put yourself in the best position to succeed by looking at all the variables and making the absolute best streaming call possible. After that you pray. Your team is your responsibility and yours alone, you set the lineup not me. Take ownership if things go south, these are only suggestions. I will do my absolute best to make sure that these recommendations are the best possible and will base these on factual information and statistics from places like NFLGsis.com, PFF and other fantasy and NFL data and statistics sites. I will also use the force, sometimes a gut feeling is all I have to go on in an unknown situation but if it comes down to that just know this isn’t my first rodeo.
I don’t work for the NFL, I don’t get to sit in on defensive team meetings for all thirty-two teams, I don’t get inside information. If a player has looked solid all season and has been playing a ton of snaps and they get yanked right before a game obviously I had nothing to do with it and since I don’t work for said team no one told me. (See Vernon Hargreaves 2019). If someone goes down with an ACL it’s not because I made a voodoo doll of them and stuck it with pins. These decisions are the same ones I’m making for my teams so if things go bad for you they go bad for me as well. I’m just here to help, don’t kill the messenger.
Article Key:
Outlook: This will be a brief overview of the two offenses and how that will effect the outlook for each teams cornerbacks corps. We’ll look at offensive ranks, expected game scripts and how the game should go. This will help us identify if this is a matchup we want to target for streaming corners or not.
Ideal Matchup: This is the best possible matchup for this teams cornerbacks, streaming any corners from this team, especially guys that are talented and play all the snaps gives you the best chances at excellent production from those corners.
Solid Matchup: This isn’t a perfect matchup to stream corner but it’s still pretty good, if you’re in a deeper league and have fewer options to stream from this matchup is still a better option than most.
Avoid: This matchup will likely be terrible to stream corner from, due to anything from a god awful opposing quarterback who can’t complete passes to a banged up wide receiver corps or even a run first offense like the 2019 Ravens were (they didn’t pass all that often because frankly they didn’t need to, their run game was ridiculous) there’s something that makes this a bad matchup to stream corners from, avoid if possible. However there may be specific corners who get a “solid” in an otherwise “avoid” matchup simply due to their talent and ability to make plays in all aspects of the defense (see Logan Ryan (CB)).
Steelers @ Jaguars
Outlook: Neither passing offense is great but the Steelers are more than capable of airing it out, last week was an excellent example of that. And with the Jaguars having the 30th ranked pass defense it’s more than likely that Big Ben and company will be airing it out once again this week, Jags corners are a go but there’s a ton of uncertainty at that position so keep that in mind, this is a risk reward thing for them. For the Steelers they have the fifth ranked pass defense but should be able to get up early in this one and force Jacksonville to try and pass their way back into this one so I’m down with playing our Steelers corners this week as well. Solid matchup in general.
Pittsburgh Steelers
Joe Haden (CB) Solid
Steven Nelson (CB) Solid
Mike Hilton (CB) Solid (If healthy)
Cameron Sutton (CB) Avoid (Playing time)
Jacksonville Jaguars
Sidney Jones (CB) Solid
CJ Henderson (CB) Avoid (IR)
Luc Barqo (CB) Avoid (Unknown)
Tre Herndon (CB) Solid
Lions @ Panthers
Outlook: Both passing offenses are middle of the pack, nothing special. Both pass defenses are towards the end of the pack overall and both secondary’s are either beat up or in a state of flux so both teams should be able to complete passes with ease this week. There’s a lot of fluctuation and little stability for the Lions corners so I would only use them if I didn’t have any better options and the Panthers have a ton of injury concerns but might have a guy or two that should be a decent option. Overall not the best matchup this week just due to all the uncertainty, I’d look elsewhere personally.
Detroit Lions
Desmond Trufant (CB) Solid
Justin Coleman (CB) Avoid
Amani Oruwariye (CB) Avoid
Jeff Okudah (CB) Avoid
Carolina Panthers
Donte Jackson (CB) Solid (If healthy, which is not likely)
Rasul Douglas (CB) Solid
Corn Elder (CB) Avoid
Troy Pride (CB) Avoid
Patriots @ Texans
Outlook: The Texans are still a top ten passing attack but they run into the Patriots top ten passing defense this week so that’s a wash, Patriots corners should be a decent play this week. As for the other side of things the Patriots passing offense is not good, 28th overall but that’s somewhat offset by the Texans middle of the pack pass defense. Bradley Roby (CB) is probably a solid option but beyond that it gets fuzzy really quickly and in general this isn’t one of the better matchups this week overall.
New England Patriots
Stephon Gilmore (CB) Solid (If healthy)
Jason McCourty (CB) Solid
JC Jackson (CB) Solid
Jonathan Jones (CB) Avoid
Houston Texans
Bradley Roby (CB) Solid
Vernon Hargreaves (CB) Avoid
Lonnie Johnson (CB) Avoid
Titans @ Ravens
Outlook: Neither passing offense is great, Titans are middle of the pack but the Ravens is nearly dead last, 31st in the league. The poor Ravens pass offense is somewhat offset by how bad the Titans pass defense is, 27th in the league and fresh off getting boat raced by the Colts and their lackluster passing attack. For the Ravens their pass defense is top ten and we always start Peters and Humphrey if the opposing quarterback and passing offense is even remotely good, this week certainly qualifies. Some good options here but once again not one of the premier matchups this week.
Tennessee Titans
Adoree Jackson (CB) Solid (If healthy)
Breon Borders (CB) Solid
Malcolm Butler (CB) Solid
Desmond King (CB) Avoid
Baltimore Ravens
Marcus Peters (CB) Solid
Marlon Humphrey (CB) Solid
Jimmy Smith (CB) Avoid
Eagles @ Browns
Outlook: Both pass offenses are not good at all, 27th and 30th respectively in the league. As for the defenses the Eagles are top ten with the sixth best pass defense in the league and the Browns are not great at all, bottom half of the league. The Eagles should be able to complete passes so we can fire up Ward like we always do and for the Eagles I’m probably all set, maybe Darius Slay (CB) in deeper leagues with fewer options but that’s it. Not a great matchup overall.
Philadelphia Eagles
Darius Slay (CB) Solid
Avonte Maddux (CB) Avoid
Nikel Robey Coleman (CB) Avoid
Cleveland Browns
Denzel Ward (CB) Solid
Terrence Mitchell (CB) Solid
Kevin Johnson (CB) Avoid
Falcons @ Saints
Outlook: The Falcons second best passing attack and the Saints that was eleventh overall before the injury to Drew Brees (QB) makes for a shootout in all likelihood, and having Jameis Winston (QB) back in the saddle will help that happen in my opinion. Also the Falcons pass defense is the second worst in the league so there’s no reason not to air it out for the Saints this week, I’m firing up Falcons corners for sure and both Lattimore and Jenkins should be solid for New Orleans also, nice matchup indeed.
Atlanta Falcons
AJ Terrell (CB) Solid
Kendall Sheffield (CB) Solid (Risky though, was eased back into the lineup last week and didn’t play his usual 100% of snaps)
Darqueze Dennard (CB) Avoid
New Orleans Saints
Janoris Jenkins (CB) Solid
Marshon Lattimore (CB) Solid
No third corner to speak of
Bengals @ Football Team
Outlook: Both passing attacks are middle of the pack but for Washington that’s a massive improvement over where they were just a few short weeks ago when I remember them being 30th overall, Alex Smith (QB) has them heading in the right direction. The Football team still has an excellent pass defense, first overall this week, but the Bengals love to throw and Joe Burrow (QB) has had several games this season with forty plus attempts so I’m all about the Washington corners this week, as for Cincy we can fire up the guys who play enough but beyond that it gets iffy. Decent matchup overall.
Cincinnati Bengals
William Jackson (CB) Solid
Tony Brown (CB) Avoid (Outlier production last week, look at the rest of his production this season)
Jalen Davis (CB) Avoid
Mackensie Alexander (CB) Solid (If healthy)
Washington Football Team
Kendall Fuller (CB) Solid
Ronald Darby (CB) Solid
Jimmy Moreland (CB) Avoid
Jets @ Chargers
Outlook: The Jets still have the worst passing attack in the league although it looked better overall with Flacco at the helm against the Patriots last time we saw them, still though I’m probably steering clear of Chargers corners unless I’m out of options and in a stupid deep league. As for the Jets corners we are absolutely firing them up against this red hot seventh overall Chargers passing attack. Pierre Desir (CB) was waived by the Jets earlier this week so it will be Austin and in all likelihood with a lot of uncertainty beyond that. Nice matchup for the Jets, not great for Chargers.
New York Jets
Bless Austin (CB) Solid
Pierre Desir (CB) Avoid (Released)
No real information beyond that, you can check the depth chart and make a guess but I won’t be doing that, you don’t get an angry DM about it if you screw it up, I do.
Los Angeles Chargers
Micheal Davis (CB) Avoid
Casey Hayward (CB) Avoid
Tevaughn Campbell (CB) Avoid
Dolphins @ Broncos
Outlook: Neither pass offense is good, both towards the end of the pack, however with two middle of the pack pass defenses present as well there’s a chance we could see some fireworks here this week. We’ll start the known guys who play enough and have a decent chance at production and leave the rest. “Meh” matchup.
Miami Dolphins
Byron Jones (CB) Solid
Xavien Howard (CB) Solid
Nik Needham (CB) Avoid
Denver Broncos
AJ Bouye (CB) Solid
Bryce Callahan (CB) Solid
Kareem Jackson (CB) Solid
Cowboys @ Vikings
Outlook: Vikings pass offense is middle of the pack but they should be able to do essentially whatever they want to this Cowboys defense, I suspect that will be a heavy dose of Dalvin Cook (RB) with less emphasis on the passing game so Cowboys corners will be iffy at best. As for the Vikings corners they’ll be up against Andy Dalton (QB) so there won’t be a ton of work for them either, not a real great matchup overall for streaming corner purposes.
Dallas Cowboys
Anthony Brown (CB) Avoid
Jourdan Lewis (CB) Avoid
Trevon Diggs (CB) Avoid (Injury also)
Minnesota Vikings
Cameron Dantzler (CB) Avoid
Jeff Gladney (CB) Solid
Kris Boyd (CB) Avoid
Packers @ Colts
Outlook: The sixth and tenth overall passing offenses go head to head in a dome this week, that means likely fireworks and a nice game for streaming corner. The Colts have the second best pass defense but it’s Rodgers so I’m not all that worried about Green Bay being able to complete passes this week, the Packers pass defense is middle of the pack so Rivers should be able to attempt to keep up at least, not bad for a matchup this week.
Green Bay Packers
Jaire Alexander (CB) Solid (If healthy)
Kevin King (CB) Solid (If healthy)
Chandon Sullivan (CB) Solid (If King is out, Avoid otherwise)
Josh Jackson (CB) Solid (If Alexander and King are out, Avoid otherwise)
Indianapolis Colts
Xavier Rhodes (CB) Solid
Kenny Moore (CB) Solid (If healthy)
Rock Ya Sin (CB) Solid (If Moore doesn’t play, avoid if he does)
Chiefs @ Raiders
Outlook: The Chiefs have the best pass offense in the league and the Raiders used to be top ten until they ran into mother nature and a couple games where they didn’t need to pass to win, they’re sure as shit going to have to this week for any chance at winning the bus revenge game. The Raiders pass defense is not good at all, end of the pack so we can most definitely start their corners and as for Kansas City they quietly have the seventh best pass defense but the Raiders should have to pass early and often to keep up in this one so I’ll be starting the Chiefs corners as well. Possible shootout, nice matchup.
Kansas City Chiefs
Chavarious Ward (CB) Solid
Bashaud Breeland (CB) Solid
Rashad Fenton (CB) Avoid
Las Vegas Raiders
Damon Arnette (CB) Solid
Travon Mullen (CB) Solid
Lamarcus Joyner (CB) Solid (If healthy, Covid IR)
Nevin Lawson (CB) Solid (If any of those three above don’t play, sit otherwise)
Rams @ Buccaneers
Outlook: The Ninth and eleventh ranked pass offenses meet up in this one for some likely fireworks in a possible shootout that could just as easily be a defensive struggle. Both pass defenses are solid as well, third for the Rams and Ninth for the Bucs. I think we see enough passing and completions to start the studs here and the possibility of a shootout could make this one a solid matchup to stream from this week also, I’m into it.
Los Angeles Rams
Jalen Ramsey (CB) Solid
Troy Hill (CB) Solid
Darious Williams (CB) Avoid
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Jamel Dean (CB) Solid
Carlton Davis (CB) Solid
Sean Murphy Bunting (CB) Avoid
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