The most unlikely of heroes
Welcome to Johny The Greek’s Cornerbacks Corner week sixteen. Week fifteen was solid as we put in yet another week of good results and effective streams. Last week and were at 77% accurate for the week, that keeps us around 76% for the season which is pretty pretty good for a position as naturally spotty and inconsistent as cornerback. As the season continues I’m becoming more and more comfortable with the rookies and injury replacement corners I haven’t had a ton of experience streaming with before and the overall accuracy has drastically increased since the first couple weeks of the season. As we know what each teams offensive and defensive strengths look like and continue to learn more every week we should get better and better as the season continues. Let’s get the usual stuff out of the way and get into our options for streaming corner.
If you’re new to this article series the idea behind it is that in the IDP world cornerbacks are the red headed step child, often neglected or scoffed at. Not here. I freaking love streaming corners and have for some time now. We’re going to be looking at things like expected game script, opposing offensive tendencies, snap counts, role and historical production to inform our weekly decisions on what corners are an “ideal” streaming option. By giving this entire thing more than two seconds thought we will have a distinct advantage over our opponents who are not doing this over the course of the season. We are going to put ourselves in the best position possible every week to score the most IDP points humanly possible from our cornerback slots.
Just a little background, I’ve been playing IDP for seventeen years now and streaming corners for well over a decade of that time. I have won many titles in both redraft and dynasty and also in best ball and DFS as well as college fantasy football. I am a true degenerate. Personally I like to stream not only whatever the current week is but if my bench is big enough I’ll load up two more ideal streamers for the following week and by doing so I’ve already taken my pick of the litter a week before anyone else is even thinking about their corners. Corner is a naturally spotty position but by looking at all the factors I listed above we will have better outcomes than the majority of IDP owners who simply put in a “known” corner with a big name (Richard Sherman for example) into their corner slots and ride out the production whether or not that matchup makes sense each week. That won’t be us, we’re going to waterboard our opponents with ideal matchups all season until they drown from our flood of IDP points.
It looks like we’ll have some pretty solid matchups this week and we’ll continue to target those for our ideal matchups but in today’s NFL where passing is the name of the game I’m sure we’ll find solid streaming options in just about every matchup so even those of us in the deepest of leagues have some options. Alright let’s have a look at how we did last week with some transparency and have a look at this week’s matchups. I always give last weeks results as well as an overall season long accuracy because it’s important to be honest and up front with stuff like this, if I’m in a slump and making bad decisions you’ll know it and can decide if you want to follow these streaming suggestions or not.
Last week I made 55 recommendations, of those 7 were declared inactive or injured, 37 were correct (met or exceeded projection) and 11 were incorrect (below projection). We don’t count acts of God here and I specifically ask people to check for inactives before each game so discounting those I was 77% correct last week, 76% accurate for the season overall. Of those 37 correct calls last week 16 of them were “massive hits” (doubled or tripled projection) for a 43% massive hit rate this week which is excellent yet again, almost half of all the correct calls blew up for a huge week for your IDP defense. This is the way.
Disclaimer Time! I’m not going to get all of these correct. Cornerback especially is a wildly inconsistent position for production in IDP fantasy football. That’s why most people hate it with a passion. My whole thing is to put yourself in the best position to succeed by looking at all the variables and making the absolute best streaming call possible. After that you pray. Your team is your responsibility and yours alone, you set the lineup not me. Take ownership if things go south, these are only suggestions. I will do my absolute best to make sure that these recommendations are the best possible and will base these on factual information and statistics from places like NFLGsis.com, PFF and other fantasy and NFL data and statistics sites. I will also use the force, sometimes a gut feeling is all I have to go on in an unknown situation but if it comes down to that just know this isn’t my first rodeo.
I don’t work for the NFL, I don’t get to sit in on defensive team meetings for all thirty-two teams, I don’t get inside information. If a player has looked solid all season and has been playing a ton of snaps and they get yanked right before a game obviously I had nothing to do with it and since I don’t work for said team no one told me. (See Vernon Hargreaves 2019). If someone goes down with an ACL it’s not because I made a voodoo doll of them and stuck it with pins. These decisions are the same ones I’m making for my teams so if things go bad for you they go bad for me as well. I’m just here to help, don’t kill the messenger.
Outlook: This will be a brief overview of the two offenses and how that will effect the outlook for each teams cornerbacks corps. We’ll look at offensive ranks, expected game scripts and how the game should go. This will help us identify if this is a matchup we want to target for streaming corners or not.
Ideal Matchup: This is the best possible matchup for this teams cornerbacks, streaming any corners from this team, especially guys that are talented and play all the snaps gives you the best chances at excellent production from those corners.
Solid Matchup: This isn’t a perfect matchup to stream corner but it’s still pretty good, if you’re in a deeper league and have fewer options to stream from this matchup is still a better option than most.
Avoid: This matchup will likely be terrible to stream corner from, due to anything from a god awful opposing quarterback who can’t complete passes to a banged up wide receiver corps or even a run first offense like the 2019 Ravens were (they didn’t pass all that often because frankly they didn’t need to, their run game was ridiculous) there’s something that makes this a bad matchup to stream corners from, avoid if possible. However there may be specific corners who get a “solid” in an otherwise “avoid” matchup simply due to their talent and ability to make plays in all aspects of the defense (see Logan Ryan (CB)).
OK: I get it, you’re in a 32 team single copy league and you don’t have any options, yes this guy plays enough for you to start but that’s about the only thing going for this corner. This is not a recommendation I’m just confirming this guy plays more than half the snaps minimum so if you’re forced to play them it may not be a complete disaster.
This is the way: If you see this it means this game has the seal of Baby Yoda and is “The Way”. These are my favorite matchups to stream from this week and have the blessing of the child.
This is not the way: If you see this it means this is probably not a great game to stream corner from, this game does not have the blessing of the child. It is not the way. This game could be possibly cursed by the “wat”.
***There will be games where I don’t recommend streaming from one team or another but still have someone listed as solid despite that, in those situations it’s talent over matchup. Tre’Davious White (CB) might have the Jets and their worst in the league passing attack but at the end of the day he’s still Tre’Davious White (CB) so I’d start him if I didn’t have any better options***
Vikings @ Saints
Outlook: There could be some fireworks here especially if the Saints can get out in front early and force the Vikings to have to go to their two stud wide receivers in an effort to climb back into this one. Regardless I feel good about starting the Vikings corners and we can basically always start Lattimore and Jenkins if the matchup is remotely decent, which this one is. Also it’s indoors so no weather shenanigans, that always helps passing attacks. Solid but not blessed by the child.
Jeff Gladney (CB) Solid
Cameron Dantzler (CB) Solid
No significant third corner option
New Orleans Saints
Janoris Jenkins (CB) Solid
Marshon Lattimore (CB) Solid
Chauncey Gardner Johnson (S/CB) Solid (If designated a CB in your league)
Buccaneers @ Lions
Outlook: The 6th and 7th ranked passing attacks respectively meet indoors in what could be a pretty sweet shoot out. Unfortunately the Lions don’t have many solid corner options but the ones (the one actually) that is there we can fire up pretty confidently and for the Bucs we can start all the guys who play enough and expect a pretty decent day across the board. This is the way. This one is blessed by the child.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Carlton Davis (CB) Solid (If healthy)
Sean Murphy Bunting (CB) Solid (Less risky if Davis is out)
Jamel Dean (CB) Solid (Less risky if Davis is out)
Amani Oruwariye (CB) Solid
Justin Coleman (CB) Avoid (OK)
No third corner of any significance
49ers @ Cardinals
Outlook: Both passing offenses are middle of the pack more towards the front, it’s indoors and the Niners pass defense, while still ranked in the top five, is hurting badly at corner and safety this week so they are vulnerable and their pass rush has been nonexistent for months now. I like it don’t love it. We start the studs here and are pretty happy with it but we won’t go as far as to bless this one by the child.
San Francisco 49ers
Richard Sherman (CB) Solid
Jason Verrett (CB) Solid (If healthy)
Akello Witherspoon (CB) Solid (If Verrett is inactive, avoid otherwise)
Emmanuel Moseley (CB) Avoid
Patrick Peterson (CB) Solid
Dre Kirkpatrick (CB) Solid
Byron Murphy (CB) Avoid (OK)
Dolphins @ Raiders
Outlook: Terrible and middle of the pack respectively for passing attacks, it is indoors though so that helps and neither pass defense is great by any means, middle of the pack for both and more towards the bad end for the Raiders. We can absolutely start Xavien Howard (CB) and in deeper leagues Byron Jones (CB) is worth a shot although he doesn’t get targeted all that much, and for the Raiders I would probably just avoid them entirely due to injury shenanigans and a bad matchup against a rookie that does more running than throwing. Not great but also not bad enough to get the curse of the “Wat”.
Xavien Howard (CB) Solid
Bryon Jones (CB) Solid (Risky though)
Nik Needham (CB) Avoid (OK)
Las Vegas Raiders
Travon Mullen (CB) Avoid (OK)
Damon Arnette (CB) Avoid (OK, If healthy)
Lamarcus Joyner (CB) Avoid
Darryl Worley (CB) Avoid
Falcons @ Chiefs
Outlook: The fourth and first overall ranked passing attacks respectively face off in what could be a shoot out of epic proportions, the only knock here is that it’s outdoors and frankly that doesn’t matter with these two passing attacks. This is the way. This one is blessed by the child.
AJ Terrell (CB) Solid
Sharrod Neasman (CB) Solid (Risky though, have only seen two weeks of snaps and production)
Kendall Sheffield (CB) Avoid (Saw elevated playing time due to Oliver injury and gamescript)
Isaiah Oliver (CB) Avoid (OK, if healthy)
Kansas City Chiefs
Bashaud Breeland (CB) Solid
L’Jarius Sneed (CB) Solid
Chavarious Ward (CB) Solid
Browns @ Jets
Outlook: Neither passing attack is good and the Jets is really not good, it’s outdoors in late December and I can’t find anything nice to say about this at all except this, the Jets corners may be an option just because they’re dead last in time of possession overall and availability is the best ability (they should be on the field a shitload) so in deeper leagues that makes sense and Denzel Ward (CB) is always capable of blowing up but generally I’m avoiding this one like the plague. It is cursed by the “Wat”.
Denzel Ward (CB) Solid
Terrence Mitchell (CB) Avoid (OK)
Kevin Johnson (CB) Avoid
New York Jets
Bless Austin (CB) Solid
Bryce Hall (CB) Solid
Arthur Maulet (CB) Avoid
Javelin Guidry (CB) Solid (Risky though, not a ton of information to go off of)
Colts @ Steelers
Outlook: The ninth overall and middle of the pack but let’s be real, wayyy towards the shitty end these last few weeks, respectively passing attacks meet up outdoors in late December. We can start our Steelers because unlike Pittsburgh the Colts do have an offense and will score points this week and we can probably start Kenny Moore (CB) and Xavier Rhodes (CB) because they play enough and have been productive all season and very likely Pittsburgh will need to pass a ton to try and stay in this one as their season melts down around them. Decent but not great, there are options for deeper leagues but in general it’s mediocre.
Kenny Moore (CB) Solid
Xavier Rhodes (CB) Solid
TJ Carrie (CB) Avoid
Rock Ya Sin (CB) Avoid
Joe Haden (CB) Solid
Steven Nelson (CB) Solid
Mike Hilton (CB) Avoid (50% of snaps last week)
Panthers @ Washington Football Team
Outlook: Neither passing attack is good, the Panthers are still in the middle of the pack but Robby Anderson (WR) has slowed down exponentially since the start of the season and DJ Moore (WR) seems to be the only real threat currently, however that’s good enough for us to start Kendall Fuller (CB) pretty easily and we’ll see from there. As for the Panthers options I’ll pass on them completely, the Washington passing attack has not been good recently and their quarterback situation remains in flux. Not great in general, some options in deeper leagues but I’m avoiding the entire thing if possible, also it’s outdoors so that doesn’t help. Almost bad enough for the “Wat” but we don’t just throw around the curse of the “Wat” all loosey goosey around here.
Donte Jackson (CB) Avoid (OK)
Rasul Douglas (CB) Avoid (OK)
Troy Pride (CB) Avoid
Corn Elder (CB) Avoid
Washington Football Team
Kendall Fuller (CB) Solid
Ronald Darby (CB) Solid
Jimmy Moreland (CB) Avoid
Bears @ Jaguars
Outlook: Middle of the pack for both passing attacks, outside but in Florida so that should be fine, Bears pass defense is capable of playing great but hasn’t in some time now and the Jags pass defense is Swiss cheese. Mediocre overall, we can start the guys who play enough in deeper leagues but in general there are better places to stream from this week.
Kyle Fuller (CB) Solid
Duke Shelley (CB) Solid (If Jaylon Johnson inactive, avoid otherwise)
Jaylon Johnson (CB) Solid
Buster Skrine (CB) Avoid (OK)
Kindle Vildor (CB) Avoid
Tre Herndon (CB) Solid
No one else here is worth even talking about, no idea who will actually play beyond Herndon and frankly he’s dangerous too. This is championship week not week one this isn’t the time to screw around, find a different defense to stream from.
Giants @ Ravens
Outlook: The 29th and 31st ranked passing attacks outside in Baltimore in late December. Not ideal. We can start the studs in deeper leagues because guys like Logan Ryan (CB), Marlon Humphrey (CB) and others are capable of greatness no matter the matchup but on paper this matchup is dog poop. This gets the curse of the “Wat”.
New York Giants
James Bradberry (CB) Solid (If healthy)
Julian Love (CB/S) Solid (If Bradberry is inactive, avoid otherwise)
Logan Ryan (CB) Solid
Isaac Yiadom (CB) Avoid (OK)
Marcus Peters (CB) Solid (If healthy)
Marlon Humphrey (CB) Solid
Anthony Averett (CB) Avoid (OK)
Bengals @ Texans
Outlook: This initially looked like one half of a good matchup but after the Bengals split the Steelers butt cheeks on national television in front of a laughing nation last week they might be coming into this one with some fire in their bellies, not to mention the Texans pass defense is pretty terrible and it’s indoors. We can safely start the guys who play enough here in deeper leagues and probably get a decent game from them. Pretty pretty good but not good enough to get the blessing of the child. And obviously I’d rather have the Bengals side of things in this one, the Texans corners still feel iffy even with the positive factors mentioned above.
Darious Phillips (CB) Solid
William Jackson (CB) Solid
Mackensie Alexander (CB) Solid
Lonnie Johnson (CB) Solid
Vernon Hargreaves (CB) Solid
Keion Crossen (CB) Solid
Broncos @ Chargers
Outlook: The fifth and 27th ranked passing attacks respectively meet up in sunny California for a division matchup, the first go around we got some fireworks and I wouldn’t be shocked if we got the same this time around either, not to mention that both of these relatively good (ranking at least) passing defenses are beat the hell up, the Chargers pass rush is a shell of itself with Joey Bosa (DE) on life support and issues with safety health as well and the Broncos cornerbacks corps is shredded with injury and the suspension of AJ Bouye (CB), so while those defenses look decent on paper the current reality is far different. I like it don’t love it, start the guys who play enough in deeper leagues and we should be fine here. Also I’d prefer the Broncos corners options here exponentially more than the Chargers options, by many factors of a million. We know the Chargers will complete passes, we saw the Broncos do it the first time around but it’s not set in stone that they do it again.
Kareem Jackson (CB) Solid
De’Vante Bausby (CB) Solid
Micheal Ojemudia (CB) Solid (If healthy)
Los Angeles Chargers
Cameron Hayward (CB) Avoid (OK)
Chris Harris (CB) Avoid (OK)
Micheal Davis (CB) Avoid
Eagles @ Cowboys
Outlook: Neither passing attack is great but we all know what we saw last week with Jalen Hurts (QB) at the helm, I’m starting the Cowboys corner (singular) in deeper leagues and feeling decent about it. As for the Eagles corners they’re all beat up so I’m not even sure who we’re getting plus the Cowboys passing attack isn’t what it used to be once Dak exited for the season. So no Eagles for me this week unless Darius Slay (CB) and Avonte Maddox (CB) magically recover in time for kickoff, even then I’d be massively hesitant trusting either coming off an injury in fantasy championship week, risk management, it’s a thing. Mediocre at best.
Darius Slay (CB) Solid (If healthy)
Avonte Maddox (CB) Solid (If healthy)
Nikel Robey Coleman (CB) Solid (Only if Slay and Maddox are injured and out, avoid otherwise)
Chidobe Awuzie (CB) Solid
Jourdan Lewis (CB) Avoid (OK)
Trevon Diggs (CB) Avoid (51% of snaps his first week back last week, too big a risk to take in championship week)
Rams @ Seahawks
Outlook: The first iteration of this one we got a few weeks back was awful, a run and play defense affair that left us all with a bad taste in our mouths. I’m not sure what we’re going to get this time, on paper it looks solid except for the possible weather shenanigans in Seattle. I think we just trust the studs in deeper leagues and stream elsewhere if we can. Mediocre.
Los Angeles Rams
Troy Hill (CB) Solid
Jalen Ramsey (CB) Solid
Darious Williams (CB) Avoid (OK)
Quandre Diggs (CB) Solid
DJ Reed (S/CB) Solid
Shaq Griffin (CB) Solid
Titans @ Packers
Outlook: The middle of the pack but certainly capable of gigantic week Titans passing attack meets the eighth overall Packers attack outdoors in Green Bay in late December, while I do believe this one will be a shootout I’m not sure how much of it will be passing, still it just feels like it’s going to be wild and filled with points. Start the studs and go with God. It’s not blessed by the child because of weather and the Packers run defense is so bad they may end up just getting Derrick Henry (RB) crammed down their throats forty times this week but I’ve got a good feeling about it.
Malcolm Butler (CB) Ideal
Desmond King (CB) Solid (Risky though, playing time has not been ideal)
Tye Smith (CB) Avoid
Green Bay Packers
Jaire Alexander (CB) Solid
Kevin King (CB) Solid
Chandon Sullivan (CB) Avoid (OK)
Bills @ Patriots
Outlook: On paper it looks like one half of a good matchup, if we can figure out who will play for the Patriots with Stephon Gilmore (CB) now done for the season then they’re worth starting, however anyone who has any experience with the Patriots IDP production knows that trying to predict this is next to impossible so honestly unless you’re banking on a miracle I’d just avoid it entirely. As for Bills options well the Patriots passing attack is 30th in the league, so really really bad. We can start Tre’Davious White (CB) if he’s healthy but even that feels like a trap this week. This is a giant waste of a second overall ranked Bills passing attack but the lack of consistency, certainty or predictability from the Patriots corners and IDP in general means this one could be a disaster so I’m all set. If you want to go with anything from this one it’s on you.
Taron Johnson (CB) Avoid (OK)
Tre’Davious White (CB) Solid (Risky though)
Levi Wallace (CB) Avoid (OK)
Josh Norman (CB) Avoid (OK if any of the above is injured and out)
New England Patriots
JC Jackson (CB) Solid
Jonathan Jones (CB) Solid
Jason McCourty (CB) Avoid (OK)
Stephon Gilmore (CB) Avoid (On IR)
Thank you all for reading all season, we don’t do week seventeen title games around here, WE DON’T TAKE KINDLY TO WEEK SEVENTEEN TITLE GAMES AROUND THESE PARTS! So this is it. Good luck this week. If you are unfortunately locked into a week seventeen title game go with your gut and play the matchups, you’ve been reading this all season you know what you’re doing by this point. Hit me up on Twitter if you are looking for any individual recommendations, my handle is below in the propaganda. It was a hell of a season, we’ll be back next year, whether or not this specific article is or not is still up in the air but likely negative. I mostly just did this to prove I could and not suck at it, everyone hates corner and streaming corner is an art form so I just wanted to show that I’m an artist. I’ll definitely be doing the monster (15k plus words on every teams IDP production, playing time and everything else you need ever week all season long to make your IDP defense the best it can possibly be) and I’ll be doing something with college fantasy because that’s where the offensive end of the site is heading, more devy and college fantasy stuff, IDP devy as well, so that will happen for sure. Beyond those two projects I’ve also got two podcasts a week in season so that will probably be it. This was fun and I’m always down to talk corner streaming ideas in the DMs on Twitter but this will probably be it unless something changes. I hope you enjoyed the trip into the land of streaming corner, thanks again for reading all season long and have a great offseason. I for one will be designing and redesigning my meat in cyberpunk 2077, playing golf, DND, PS5 and also circling back for Euro Cup 2021 for the DFS podcast with @firstman for more degenerate shit. Happy holidays and thanks for taking this journey with me. Byeeee
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