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  • Mase’s June ADP CheckUp

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    Dynasty fantasy football ADP is the key to a solid startup. Let’s assess the IDP Guys’ consensus ADP for June, and get some thoughts on a few players who could win or lose your league.


    The June 2022 Defensive Dynasty ADP is up at IDPGuys.com and the season is so close some of us can taste it. Every season, players rise and fall in average draft position (ADP) in an attempt by managers to construct the next season’s championship roster. 

    What players are on the rise, what players are falling off the face of the fantasy spectrum, and for what reasons? All salary cap information is via overthecap.com, and all stats are from PFFFor complete rankings and all ADP, be sure to visit IDPGuys.com.

    Above is a graph (provided by @engineerchange) that shows the rise and decline of each player’s average draft position since January. Now, I will look at each player, discuss their ADP, and provide some context of their situations in the future in fantasy. Let’s ride.

     

    Josh Allen, DE, Jacksonville Jaguars

    Sleeper: DL/LB My Fantasy League: LB

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    Year Yearly finish via FantasyPros Games

    Played

    FPPG

     AVG.

    2021 DL6 15 9.9
    2020 DL175 8 4.1
    2019 DL22 16 10.6
    Contract Details

    Josh Allen was drafted seventh overall in the first round of the 2019 NFL draft. The Jaguars are spending 3.1% of their team salary on Allen this season. Allen’s age this season is 25. He is in the fourth year of a possible five-year contract.

    ADP 

    The IDP Guys June 2022 Defensive Dynasty ADP for Josh Allen is 94. This ADP slots Allen as the DL7. According to the graph above, he is the only player who saw a rise in ADP post-draft. Allen has always been a solid player on the defensive line for the Jaguars. Aside from 2020, in which he was sidelined for a knee injury, Allen has been a solid fantasy contributor in all formats.  

    Despite the Jaguars’ first three 2022 draft selections being defensive players (Travon Walker, Devin Lloyd, and Chad Muma). I still feel the future is bright for Allen in Jacksonville, as these players will fill the roles around him well. Josh Allen set a rookie franchise sack record in 2019 with 10.5 sacks and appears to be gearing up for his biggest season yet.

    Allen was seventh in total snaps for the Jaguars and participated in 16 games in 2021. He tallied 767 snaps last season (57% pass rush / 35% run defense). Allen only brought down the quarterback eight times last season, leaving him in 42nd place in the NFL among all defenders. 

    Now, this isn’t something you would typically pay a DL7 price tag for, but there are two sides to this coin. Allen has made it known that he is focusing on his movement and durability this off-season. If he participates in every contest in 2022, Allen will top his record for snaps and his record of 50 pressures in a season (2021). 

    In Allen’s three-year career, he has improved each season on his missed tackles and nearly doubled his tackles in 2021 compared to his 2019 season.

    Trade For, Trade Away, or Cut?

    Josh Allen is the leader of this defense, and if he performs to expectations this season, I believe he will receive a proper contract extension in 2023. With that said, I am drafting Josh Allen everywhere I can in all formats this season. I would not trade him if you currently have him rostered.

     

    Nakobe Dean, LB, Philadelphia Eagles

    Sleeper: LB My Fantasy League: LB

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    Contract Details

    Nakobe Dean was drafted 83rd overall in the 2022 NFL draft. Dean is 22 years of age this season. Due to his draft position, he only accounts for 0.4% of the Eagles team’s salary this season and won’t surpass 0.6% of the team’s salary throughout his first contract. Dean is in the first year of his possible four-year rookie deal. 

    It seemed absurd that when draft weekend came around, Dean fell to the third round. The Eagles’ linebackers are an enigma as to who is a lock to start and what each player will bring to the table. 

    Dean’s Competition

    T.J. Edwards logged 719 snaps, 56% of those were in coverage, and had the best tackle percentage of any other Eagles linebacker in 2021. The newly signed Kyzir White makes a stop in Philadelphia this season on a one-year deal. White logged 979 snaps, totaled just under 150 combined tackles, and was tied for first on the Chargers in interceptions with two. 

    Last season, the Eagles featured two linebackers over 700 snaps and two others around the 400 and 300 snap range. At the very least, Dean will see the field as the season progresses, even if he begins as a role player. Nakobe Dean could be the leader of this Eagles linebacker room for years to come. It’s just a matter of if you want to pay up in your rookie drafts to roster him.

    ADP

    The IDPGuys June 2022 Defensive Dynasty ADP for Nakobe Dean is 131. This ADP slots Dean as the LB19. If you are drafting him in rookie drafts, I’m mainly seeing him go as the LB2 around the mid-second to the beginning of the third round of conjoined formats. 

    If you are drafting Dean in veteran and rookie combined drafts, his ADP is in the same range as players like Cole Holcomb, Sam Hubbard, and Tyler Lockett.

     

    Trevon Diggs, CB, Dallas Cowboys

    Sleeper: DB My Fantasy League: CB

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    Year Yearly finish via FantasyPros Games

    Played

    FPPG

     AVG.

    2021 DB9 16 10.6
    2020 DB55 12 10.6
    2019 N/A N/A N/A
    Contract Details

    Trevon Diggs was selected 51st overall in the 2020 NFL draft and is currently entering the third year of his four-year rookie contract. None of his salary is guaranteed in the next two seasons, though his team cap hit this year is just under 1% of the Cowboys’ overall wage. 

    Diggs has gone from having the fifth most snaps in 2020 to the second-most snaps in 2021 on the Dallas defense. He has averaged 10.6 fppg per FantasyPros over his two-year career in the NFL. 

    The Past

    The 2020 and 2021 seasons are mainly a reflection of one another, aside from a few stats. Diggs was in for 320 more snaps in 2021 and was targeted in the passing game 25 more times than in 2020. Even with the target increase, his opponent’s catch rate stayed firmly around the high 50s.

    Diggs intercepted the ball only three times in 2020 but shocked the league by finishing 2021 with 11 interceptions placing him first in the NFL. 

    Consistency is vital, and though Diggs has been phenomenal so far in his career, I am not keen on spending the capital it would take to select him in a draft. If you are in a true position league, Diggs is a phenomenal player on your roster. 

    The Cowboys drafted cornerback DaRon Bland in the fifth round of the 2022 NFL draft. I anticipate Bland would be more of a threat to dipping into Kelvin Joseph’s time than Diggs’s. 

    Rank

    The IDPGuys June 2022 Defensive Dynasty ADP for Trevon Diggs is 161.00. This ADP slots Diggs as the DB12. The biggest question surrounding Diggs and his current ADP of DB12 is if he can continue to pump out fantasy points from the corner position. Players like Logan Ryan and Kenny Moore have found ways to stay a fantasy, so why not Diggs?

    Trade For, Trade Away, or Cut?

    Players around the same dynasty ADP as Trevon Diggs include Montez Sweat, Matthew Stafford, and Justin Simmons. Since January, Diggs has seen his ADP skyrocket more than any other player in this article though his ADP has seen a slight regression since the draft.

    I would hold Diggs in true position leagues. In two defensive back formats, I would look to trade if possible or slide him into your flex position for those high upside weeks.

     

    Cameron Heyward, IDL, Pittsburgh Steelers

    Sleeper: DL My Fantasy League: DT

    Embed from Getty Images
    Year Yearly finish via FantasyPros Games

    Played

    FPPG

     AVG.

    2021 DL2 16 12.1
    2020 DL27 15 7.1
    2019 DL3 16 11.3
    Contract Details

    Cameron Heyward is on his second extension with the Steelers after being drafted by Pittsburgh in the back end of the first round of the 2011 NFL draft. His current contract extension is through the 2024 season, and Heyward’s base salary is very back-heavy. Cameron Heyward will be thirty-three years old this season. The Steelers are paying 8.1% of the team’s salary to Heyward in 2022.

    ADP 

    The IDPGuys June 2022 Defensive Dynasty ADP for Cameron Heyward is 239.50. This ADP slots Heyward as the DL25. The inspiration behind this article came from Cameron Heyward’s current ADP. I saw it and could not believe my eyes. How could a player with two top-five overalls at his position in the past three years be the DL25?

    In 2021 Heyward saw the second-highest snaps in a single season during his eleven-year career (his highest was in 2015). Since 2017 Cameron Heyward has only one season under ten sacks (2020). His ADP was reasonably stagnant until around after the draft.

    From May until today, Heyward’s ADP has significantly fallen more than any other player highlighted in this article. The Steelers’ defensive rookie draft class consisted of two players, DeMarvin Leal and Mark Robinson. 

    DeMarvin Leal is a very versatile defensive lineman, but I anticipate getting more time on the edge than inside to begin his career. Mark Robinson is a former running back converted to a linebacker drafted in the later draft rounds. Unrelated, but Pittsburgh drafted Heyward’s brother Connor Heyward on the offensive side of the ball.

    Trade For, Trade Away, or Cut?

    I don’t believe there are any current threats to Heyward’s position or status in the Pittsburgh defense. Isaiahh Loudermilk, a fifth-round selection in the 2021 draft, is the man behind Heyward and had 309 snaps last season. Cameron Heyward has shown no signs of stopping his reign as a dominant force in the center of the Steelers’ defensive line.

    If you are a contender, I will look to acquire Heyward in a trade if you don’t already have him rostered. A few later selections in upcoming drafts should get the deal done. Other players around Cameron Heyward’s current dynasty ADP include Johnathan Abram, Russell Gage, and DeMarcus Lawerence.


    A thousand thank yous for reading Mase’s June ADP Check-up part 1! If you enjoyed it, read all my work on my IDP Guys author page and follow me on Twitter @Caliking49er17.

    Mason Riney

    Proud father, Army veteran, and lover of all that is football. IDP is my main focus, but I also enjoy scouting collegiate players and rank on Fantasypros.
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