The IDP Tipster’s “future” call on Avonte Maddox as an investment for the rest of the season worth making.
From The Sports Betting Glossary:
Futures – (Also, Ante Post) Bets placed in advance predicting the outcome of a future event.
Even Money Bet – A bet with odds of 1:1. A bet that pays you back the same amount that you wagered, plus your original wager.
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This “take” may not be 100% up to the standard in terms of proper article writing. But the original idea of the “IDP Tipster” persona was to hit on the IDP players who are either “sleeping” or “under the radar” before they go mainstream. So please, read the content more than the delivery with me as I follow-up on this situation that’s come up. Warning! This statement is going to become even more relevant as we hit this time of the year and momentum is in play. It’s about to get ugly.
Anyone anywhere that may have listened to my “Lives” over the pre-season heard me dropping those dimes on Bucs rookie safety Jordan Whitehead. Or perhaps on Twitter in constant posts about the hard-hitting safety making the difference in camp. Either way, you may or may not have caught the “hints” to stash this young man, it is time to hear me now.
After Eagles starting safety Rodney McLeod went down in week 3 with a torn MCL, it was a long time veteran safety Corey Graham that became the next man up versus the Colts. Then the following week 4 contest Graham again assumed his role as one of the starting safeties and went on to record nine combined tackles versus the Titans.
And with that type of production, all those owners who picked Graham up had to feel they hit big for the rest of the season. Let’s just say that secure feeling was then lost as week 5 rolled around as some facts were overlooked by many non-Eagles fans. The biggest one, Graham isn’t the player he once was at age 33.
Then enter Week Six and yet another week of uncertainty and injury within the Eagles secondary. Graham was out with a hamstring, cornerback Sidney Jones went down with injury, and another unknown depth defensive back Rasul Douglas also saw some time at free safety.
But in all this time there has been one player to stand out and make an impression worth noting, that would be rookie Avonte Maddox. And to recap a timeline of things to unfold as we go we will refer to some Twitter feeds as well as some general information leading to our final “take’ as to why we should consider Maddox for the rest of the season.
— Titans Film Room (@titansfilmroom) September 30, 2018
Jim Schwartz says playing Corey Graham the number of snaps he played vs. Titans probably “unsustainable”, perhaps a hint Maddox snaps ⬆️.
— Tim McManus (@Tim_McManus) October 2, 2018
As I preach over the offseason opportunity is everything when it comes to locating a potential IDP play, including in-season. And all indications are that Maddox will be an “Even Money Bet” going forward which in return will have him as a solid option as a defensive back play on a weekly basis.
As many may know I’m not one to “take” on cornerbacks per say, as a matter of fact only one I had made a futures call on this year was the Panthers rookie cornerback Donte Jackson, who so far (knock on wood) has maintained a constant source of production thus far. I don’t envision the exact same scenario here for Maddox as I would for Jackson as a pure cornerback.
But all indications to me are that Maddox will likely be called on for his ability to be a jack of all trades on the field and all over the secondary. Of course, for the most consistent result we would prefer to see him play at the free safety spot but in his case, it likely won’t matter going forward. The Eagles are not currently in a position to not have Maddox on the field at either safety or as the slot corner, with both offering potential to make plays.
Jim Schwartz on replacing safety Rodney McLeod: Avonte Maddox was chosen to split time with Corey Graham because he shared similar traits with Rodney McLeod. Jalen Mills wasn’t considered. #Eagles
— Jeff McLane (@Jeff_McLane) October 2, 2018
Eagles first defensive drive: Avonte Maddox is the new starting free safety. …Michael Bennett starts for Derek Barnett. …Josh Sweat rotates in. …Mixing and matching on DL. Brandon Graham lined up at RDE with Bennett, Cox and Long on third down.
— Sheil Kapadia (@SheilKapadia) October 7, 2018
To make this call not only have I referred to the reports and such on Maddox but I have examined the rest of the season schedule for the Eagles and each contest offers up the potential for a solid outcome. If in general, I would have to make a verbal grade on the remaining season I would call it as I have as an “Even Money Bet” that he’ll come into play for the majority of the games and offer consistency as a designated cornerback in fantasy leagues.
As many of us know there is the key to a productive cornerback in our lineups. As a safety, I would forecast his potential as fair, but as a cornerback playing safety, I will go as saying the outlook is more than favorable. So keep this in mind. If your looking for safety help he will likely be serviceable but not outstanding.
And if needing a designated cornerback he should be above average as a reliable play each week as they keep him on the field for every down and in a key position as he is needed to fill the holes in the Eagles secondary.
Corey Graham went from 77 snaps last week to 3 on Sunday. Avonte Maddox taking over at free safety was one reason for the decrease, but the #Eagles defense hardly used its big nickel and dime packages.
— Jeff McLane (@Jeff_McLane) October 8, 2018
— Philadelphia Eagles (@Eagles) October 11, 2018
I know that I preach that cornerbacks are “dime a dozen” in most cases, but in this situation, we should consider his potential as a playmaker for our lineups as a positive. His stats have not quite been upper tier, and they may only hit that level here and there via the matchups and the way the Eagles decide to use him any given contest.
But with what the Eagles defensive lineman offer as a pass rush squad and run stopping unit along with the fact the secondary is the weak spot at this time, we should expect opposing teams are sure to test them often.
Not to mention that normally they prefer five defensive backs on the field the majority of the time. This is also without even considering the Eagles dynamic offense that normally forces opponents into swinging for the fence to either catch up or keep up with the game flow by turning to the pass.
Avonte Maddox chased down Adam Theilen last week, Saquon Barkley tonight to prevent TDs. He might be undersized, but the speed he's giving the Eagles as the deep safety helps.
— Zach Berman (@ZBerm) October 12, 2018
Jim Schwartz says Eagles rookie Avonte Maddox is mature beyond his years https://t.co/pUS32q7MT0
— BleedingGreenNation (@BleedingGreen) October 15, 2018
Final “Take”: Maddox can be seen as a balanced bet to pay off enough to make the investment as soon as this coming week over waiting if you’re needing the help. We may not exactly know where he will spend the majority of his time on the field at the moment.
But the one thing that seems to be clear is that the Eagles situation in the secondary means he will be on the field for nearly every snap and offer us a return of consistent production, especially as a designated cornerback. We should not pass up this opportunity as it presents itself based on that thinking.
If you would like to know more on why I see Maddox potential at free safety, but as a designated cornerback being relevant, please feel free to refer to The Tipster’s IDP Bible.
Thank you as always for reading and feel free to find me on Twitter @HBogart27 for any follow-up questions or anything IDP. Or reach out at firstname.lastname@example.org.