Start or Sit IDP Fantasy Football Week Fourteen (14)

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The IDP Fantasy start and sits you need to set your lineups and succeed on Sunday!


This is my weekly start or sit article for your IDP players in fantasy football. Despite there being very little actual information presented, just a start, sit, and what tier of production I expect from the starting player, there is a lot of information that goes into these decisions each week.

I use snap percentages (playing time), past production, tendencies of the opposing offense and probable game flow to decide on these. I just want the reader to know that a lot of time and research goes into this each week so don’t be put off by the bare bones layout here.

I used to do this explaining exactly why each decision is made and the thought process behind it but it was getting so detailed I wasn’t able to finish a start or sit for every team playing each week and only ended up covering some of the games, this way you guys get a read on all of them.

If I don’t mention a specific player it means I don’t have enough of a read on them to make a recommendation one way or the other but odds are I wouldn’t play them. The known IDP producers or potential IDP producers for each team should all be covered here.

Tier one starts = These guys have the best matchups and a history of production along with playing time, they are most likely to have a big game this week.

Tier two starts = Play these guys in deeper leagues, they should get you some points but I wouldn’t expect a massive day out of them.

Sits = Don’t play them they don’t have an ideal matchup or won’t play enough snaps to be effective.

Full transparency I got correct 133 takes and 35 wrong last week for about a 74% success rate, my percent correct each week has been hovering around 70% all year and the lowest has been 66% and the highest 75%. I don’t own a crystal ball, so I’ll never be perfect, but for having a take on literally every single IDP relevant player on every single team every week all year I’d say we’re looking pretty good.

And I’m pretty easily accessible if you want to call me an idiot, (@Orangeman3142 on Twitter). We believe in transparency and owning our mistakes here at IDP Guys as well as never making you go through a paywall for information.

It’s a labor of love here and I would put our team, who together have over 100 years of combined IDP experience, up against anyone or any site out there and bet on us to be more accurate and accessible 10 times out of 10.

Let’s get into it.

New York @ Buffalo

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Jets:

Tier one starts: Jamal Adams (S) Avery Williamson (LB)

Tier two starts: Leonard Williams (DE)

Sits: Jets cornerbacks, *not a great matchup against a Bills team that doesn’t throw the ball well*

Bills:

Tier one starts: Tremaine Edmunds (LB) Jordan Poyer (S)

Tier two starts: Matt Milano (LB) Jerry Hughes (DE) Trent Murphy (DE)

Sits: Tra’Davious White (CB) *Not a great matchup for cornerback* Lorenzo Alexander (LB) *inconsistency*

Carolina @ Cleveland 

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Panthers: 

Tier one starts: Luke Kuechly (LB) Eric Reid (S) James Bradberry (CB) Kawan Short (DT)

Tier two starts: Thomas Davis (LB) Mike Adams (S) Mario Addison (DE)

Sits: Shaq Thompson (LB) *inconsistency* Captain Munnerlyn (CB) *he could be productive but inconsistent playing time plus a Browns team that doesn’t throw all that well tells me he’s a risk this week*

Browns:

Tier one starts: Joe Schobert (LB) Myles Garrett (DE) Jamie Collins (LB)

Tier two starts: Larry Ogunjobi (DT) Emanuel Ogbah (DE) Damarious Randal (S) Denzel Ward (CB)

Sits: Jabril Peppers (S) *inconsistency in production and playing time*

Atlanta @ Green Bay

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Falcons:

Tier one starts: Deion Jones (LB) Grady Jarrett (DT)

Tier two starts: Foye Oluokun (LB) DaMontae Kazee (S) Falcons Cornerbacks (Trufant, Poole, Etc)

Sits: DaVondre Campbell (LB) *with Jones back and Green Bay not running a lot there won’t be enough production for him*

Packers:

Tier one starts: Blake Martinez (LB)

Tier two starts: Kenny Clark (DT) Tramon Williams (CB) *as a CB, sit as safety*

Sits: Kentrell Brice (S) Clay Matthews (LB, EDGE) *don’t risk playing ANY edge rush linebackers in a regular linebacker slot in playoffs or you’re going to have a bad time*

Baltimore @ Kansas City

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Ravens:

Tier one starts: CJ Mosley (LB)

Tier two starts: NA

Sits: Terrel Suggs (LB, EDGE) Eric Weddle (S) Everyone else. *it’s playoffs, these guys are too risky and inconsistent*

Chiefs:

Tier one starts: NA

Tier two starts: Anthony Hitchens (LB) Chris Jones (DE) Kendall Fuller (CB) KC Safeties

Sits: All KC edge rush linebackers, too risky

New England @ Miami

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Patriots:

Tier one starts: Trey Flowers (DE)

Tier two starts: Devin McCourty (S) Patrick Chung (S) Kyle Van Noy (LB)

Sits: Everyone else *and honestly, everyone except Flowers is a roll of the dice*

Dolphins:

Tier one starts: Kiko Alonso (LB) TJ McDonald (S)

Tier two starts: Raekwon McMillan (LB) Reshad Jones (S)

Sits: Jerome Baker (LB) Minkah Fitzpatrick (S) *unless you can play him at CB, tier two in that case* Davon Godchaux (DT)

New Orleans @ Tampa Bay

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Saints:

Tier one starts: Cameron Jordan (DE) Eli Apple (CB)

Tier two starts: Sheldon Rankins (DT) Marcus Davenport (DE) Marshon Lattimore (CB) Marcus Williams (S) DeMario Davis (LB)

Sits: Vonn Bell (S) *inconsistency in both production and playing time*

Bucs:

Tier one starts: Jason Pierre Paul (DE) Brent Grimes (CB) Gerald McCoy (DT) LaVonte David (LB) Jordan Whitehead (S)

Tier two starts: Carl Nassib (DE) Adarius Taylor (LB)

Sits: Davante Bond (LB) Justin Evans (S) *injured and out*

New York @ Washington 

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Giants:

Tier one starts: Alec Ogletree (LB)

Tier two starts: Janoris Jenkins (CB) Olivier Vernon (DE) Micheal Thomas (S)

Sits: Landon Collins (S) *injured and out*

Redskins:

Tier one starts: Mason Foster (LB) Zach Brown (LB) Ha Ha Clinton Dix (S)

Tier two starts: Josh Norman (CB) Matthew Ioannidis (DE) DJ Swearinger (D)

Sits: Ryan Kerrigan (LB, EDGE)

Indianapolis @ Houston 

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Colts:

Tier one starts: Darius Leonard (LB) Clayton Geathers (S) Kenny Moore (CB)

Tier two starts: Anthony Walker (LB) Jabaal Sheard (DE)

Sits: Margus Hunt (DE) Denico Autry (DT) *massive inconsistency in production*

Texans:

Tier one starts: JJ Watt (DE) Zach Cunningham (LB) Tyrann Mathieu (S) JaDaveon Clowney (DE, LB) *tier one as DE, two as LB*

Tier two starts: Bernardrick McKinney (LB) Justin Reid (S)

Sits: DJ Reader (DT)

Cincinnati @ Los Angeles

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Bengals:

Tier one starts: Jessie Bates (S) Shawn Williams (S)

Tier two starts: Vontaze Burfict (LB) *if healthy* Carlos Dunlap (DE) Geno Atkins (DT) Bengals corners (Kirkpatrick, Dennard ) Nick Vigil (LB)

Sits: Hardy Nickerson (LB) Jordan Evans (LB) Vincent Rey (LB) *no idea which one will play this week, it’s a serious risk playing any of them at the moment*

Chargers:

Tier one starts: Derwin James (S) Joey Bosa (DE)

Tier two starts: Melvin Ingram (DE) Jatavis Brown (LB) Adrian Phillips (S)

Sits: Hayes Pullard (LB) Jahleel Addae (S) *inconsistency*

Denver @ San Francisco

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Broncos:

Tier one starts: Justin Simmons (S)

Tier two starts: Todd Davis (LB) Von Miller (LB) Bradley Chubb (DE, LB) *risky as a LB, ideal as a DE* Derek Wolfe (DE)

Sits: Brandon Marshall (LB)

49ers:

Tier one starts: DeForest Buckner (DT) Fred Warner (LB)

Tier two starts: Solomon Thomas (DE) Malcolm Smith (LB)

Sits: Elijah Lee (LB) *100% snaps two weeks ago, 3% last week, your guess is as good as mine how much he plays this week, that’s not a game I’m comfortable playing*

Philadelphia @ Dallas

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Eagles:

Tier one starts: Fletcher Cox (DT) Nigel Bradham (LB) Jordan Hicks (LB) *if healthy*

Tier two starts: Malcolm Jenkins (S) Corey Graham (S) Brandon Graham (DE)

Sits: Eagles cornerbacks, not an ideal matchup I would stream elsewhere

Cowboys:

Tier one starts: Leighton Vander Esch (LB) Jaylon Smith (LB) DeMarcus Lawrence (DE)

Tier two starts: Chidobe Awuzie (CB) Byron Jones (CB) Jeff Heath (S)

Sits: NA

Pittsburgh @ Oakland

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Steelers:

Tier one starts: Cameron Heyward (DT)

Tier two starts: LJ Fort (LB) Vince Williams (LB) Sean Davis (S) Terrell Edmunds (S) Stephon Tuitt (DE)

Sits: Jon Bostic (LB) *was replaced by LJ Fort last week*

Raiders:

Tier one starts: Tahir Whitehead (LB)

Tier two starts: NA

Sits: Everyone not named Tahir Whitehead, not even kidding, everyone else sucks

Detroit @ Arizona

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Lions:

Tier one starts: Damon Harrison (DT)

Tier two starts: Jarrad Davis (LB) Glover Quinn (S) Quandre Diggs (S) Ezekiel Ansah (DE) Devon Kennard (LB)

Sits: Darius Slay (CB) *not the right matchup, stream elsewhere* A’Shawn Robinson (DT) *inconsistency*

Cardinals:

Tier one starts: Chandler Jones (DE) Gerald Hodges (LB) Budda Baker (S)

Tier two starts: Robert Nkemdiche (DT) Marcus Golden (DE) Atoine Bethea (S) Tre Boston (S) Hasaan Redick (LB) Patrick Peterson (CB)

Sits: Deone Buchanon (LB)

Los Angeles @ Chicago 

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Rams: 

Tier one starts: Aaron Donald (DE) John Johnson (S) N’Damakong Suh (DT) Cory Littleton (LB)

Tier two starts: Micheal Brockers (DE) Dante Fowler (DE) Marc Barron (LB) Marcus Peters (CB)

Sits: NA

Bears:

Tier one starts: Khalil Mack (DE, LB) *tier one as DE, two as LB* Akiem Hicks (DE) Kyle Fuller (CB) Roquan Smith (LB) Danny Trevethan (LB)

Tier two starts: Eddie Jackson (S) Adrian Amos (S) Prince Amukamara (CB)

Sits: NA

Minnesota @ Seattle

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Vikings:

Tier one starts: Danielle Hunter (DE) Eric Kendricks (LB) Linval Joseph (DT)

Tier two starts: Everson Griffen (DE) Sheldon Richardson (DT) Harrison Smith (S)

Sits: NA

Seahawks:

Tier one starts: Frank Clark (DE) Bobby Wagner (LB) Bradley McDougald (S)

Tier two starts: KJ Wright (LB) Tedric Thompson (S) Tre Flowers (CB) Jarran Reed (DT)

Sits: NA

Good luck in playoffs gentlemen, and if your gut tells you something trust it. In the end it’s still a bit of luck that will win you these titles, there’s only so much we can do, the rest is in the hands of the fantasy gods.

***Obviously if any of these players are inactive or injured before their game don’t play them, this article is usually written days ahead of each teams game and things change constantly in regards to injury and suspensions and the like. Make sure you check ESPN’s inactive list that drops at 11:30AM Eastern Time every Sunday morning for the latest and best information on injury status before the games kick off***

If you have any questions feel free to hit me up on Twitter (@Orangeman3142) or use the “contact us” box on the website idpguys.org. Good luck in your matchups this week and keep an eye out for my instant reaction & defensive waivers segment coming out next week starting Tuesday and continuing throughout the week. I break down every single teams IDP situation with snap counts, production and analysis.

And make sure you catch the podcast dropping Tuesday where we discuss this week in all things IDP from week fourteen as well as some offensive and defensive waivers and the latest IDP news and notes to keep you up to speed with all things IDP.

Our team of writers has been doing this for a long time, many of us since 2004 or earlier and altogether we have over 100 years of IDP experience combined. Between all of us we’ll find you the help or advice you need to get your team ready for the playoff push and win your IDP league.

All that and more, and never behind a paywall, at idpguys.org.


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Grounded Cowboys fan, if there is such a thing. Writer\Host for the IDP Guys, been playing IDP Fantasy since 2004. Cat enthusiast. Ridiculous opinions are my own. My articles are occasionally on the controversial side of things. FanDuel degenerate and reliable source of income for Bovada. I work at a hospital and volunteer with Autistic kids on the weekend. Hit me up on Twitter if you need any IDP advice or want a second opinion, always glad to help. @Orangeman3142