The IDP Fantasy start and sits you need to set your lineups and succeed on Sunday!
This is my weekly start or sit article for your IDP players in fantasy football. Despite there being very little actual information presented, just a start, sit, and what tier of production I expect from the starting player, there is a lot of information that goes into these decisions each week.
I use snap percentages (playing time), past production, tendencies of the opposing offense and probable game flow to decide on these. I just want the reader to know that a lot of time and research goes into this each week so don’t be put off by the bare bones layout here.
I used to do this explaining exactly why each decision is made and the thought process behind it but it was getting so detailed I wasn’t able to finish a start or sit for every team playing each week and only ended up covering some of the games, this way you guys get a read on all of them.
If I don’t mention a specific player it means I don’t have enough of a read on them to make a recommendation one way or the other but odds are I wouldn’t play them. The known IDP producers or potential IDP producers for each team should all be covered here.
Tier one starts = These guys have the best matchups and a history of production along with playing time, they are most likely to have a big game this week.
Tier two starts = Play these guys in deeper leagues, they should get you some points but I wouldn’t expect a massive day out of them.
Sits = Don’t play them they don’t have an ideal matchup or won’t play enough snaps to be effective.
Full transparency I got correct 133 takes and 35 wrong last week for about a 74% success rate, my percent correct each week has been hovering around 70% all year and the lowest has been 66% and the highest 75%. I don’t own a crystal ball, so I’ll never be perfect, but for having a take on literally every single IDP relevant player on every single team every week all year I’d say we’re looking pretty good.
And I’m pretty easily accessible if you want to call me an idiot, (@Orangeman3142 on Twitter). We believe in transparency and owning our mistakes here at IDP Guys as well as never making you go through a paywall for information.
It’s a labor of love here and I would put our team, who together have over 100 years of combined IDP experience, up against anyone or any site out there and bet on us to be more accurate and accessible 10 times out of 10.
Let’s get into it.
New York @ Buffalo
Tier two starts: Leonard Williams (DE)
Sits: Jets cornerbacks, *not a great matchup against a Bills team that doesn’t throw the ball well*
Sits: Tra’Davious White (CB) *Not a great matchup for cornerback* Lorenzo Alexander (LB) *inconsistency*
Carolina @ Cleveland
Sits: Shaq Thompson (LB) *inconsistency* Captain Munnerlyn (CB) *he could be productive but inconsistent playing time plus a Browns team that doesn’t throw all that well tells me he’s a risk this week*
Sits: Jabril Peppers (S) *inconsistency in production and playing time*
Atlanta @ Green Bay
Tier two starts: Foye Oluokun (LB) DaMontae Kazee (S) Falcons Cornerbacks (Trufant, Poole, Etc)
Sits: DaVondre Campbell (LB) *with Jones back and Green Bay not running a lot there won’t be enough production for him*
Tier one starts: Blake Martinez (LB)
Baltimore @ Kansas City
Tier one starts: CJ Mosley (LB)
Tier two starts: NA
Sits: Terrel Suggs (LB, EDGE) Eric Weddle (S) Everyone else. *it’s playoffs, these guys are too risky and inconsistent*
Tier one starts: NA
Sits: All KC edge rush linebackers, too risky
New England @ Miami
Tier one starts: Trey Flowers (DE)
Sits: Everyone else *and honestly, everyone except Flowers is a roll of the dice*
New Orleans @ Tampa Bay
Sits: Vonn Bell (S) *inconsistency in both production and playing time*
Sits: Davante Bond (LB) Justin Evans (S) *injured and out*
New York @ Washington
Tier one starts: Alec Ogletree (LB)
Sits: Landon Collins (S) *injured and out*
Sits: Ryan Kerrigan (LB, EDGE)
Indianapolis @ Houston
Tier two starts: Bernardrick McKinney (LB) Justin Reid (S)
Sits: DJ Reader (DT)
Cincinnati @ Los Angeles
Denver @ San Francisco
Tier one starts: Justin Simmons (S)
Sits: Brandon Marshall (LB)
Sits: Elijah Lee (LB) *100% snaps two weeks ago, 3% last week, your guess is as good as mine how much he plays this week, that’s not a game I’m comfortable playing*
Philadelphia @ Dallas
Sits: Eagles cornerbacks, not an ideal matchup I would stream elsewhere
Pittsburgh @ Oakland
Tier one starts: Cameron Heyward (DT)
Sits: Jon Bostic (LB) *was replaced by LJ Fort last week*
Tier one starts: Tahir Whitehead (LB)
Tier two starts: NA
Sits: Everyone not named Tahir Whitehead, not even kidding, everyone else sucks
Detroit @ Arizona
Tier one starts: Damon Harrison (DT)
Sits: Deone Buchanon (LB)
Los Angeles @ Chicago
Minnesota @ Seattle
Good luck in playoffs gentlemen, and if your gut tells you something trust it. In the end it’s still a bit of luck that will win you these titles, there’s only so much we can do, the rest is in the hands of the fantasy gods.
***Obviously if any of these players are inactive or injured before their game don’t play them, this article is usually written days ahead of each teams game and things change constantly in regards to injury and suspensions and the like. Make sure you check ESPN’s inactive list that drops at 11:30AM Eastern Time every Sunday morning for the latest and best information on injury status before the games kick off***
If you have any questions feel free to hit me up on Twitter (@Orangeman3142) or use the “contact us” box on the website idpguys.org. Good luck in your matchups this week and keep an eye out for my instant reaction & defensive waivers segment coming out next week starting Tuesday and continuing throughout the week. I break down every single teams IDP situation with snap counts, production and analysis.
And make sure you catch the podcast dropping Tuesday where we discuss this week in all things IDP from week fourteen as well as some offensive and defensive waivers and the latest IDP news and notes to keep you up to speed with all things IDP.
Our team of writers has been doing this for a long time, many of us since 2004 or earlier and altogether we have over 100 years of IDP experience combined. Between all of us we’ll find you the help or advice you need to get your team ready for the playoff push and win your IDP league.
All that and more, and never behind a paywall, at idpguys.org.