The IDP Fantasy start and sits you need to set your lineups and succeed on Sunday!
This is my weekly start or sit article for your IDP players in fantasy football. Despite there being very little actual information presented, just a start, sit, and what tier of production I expect from the starting player, there is a lot of information that goes into these decisions each week.
I use snap percentages (playing time), past production, tendencies of the opposing offense and probable game flow to decide on these. I just want the reader to know that a lot of time and research goes into this each week so don’t be put off by the bare bones layout here.
I used to do this explaining exactly why each decision is made and the thought process behind it but it was getting so detailed I wasn’t able to finish a start or sit for every team playing each week and only ended up covering some of the games, this way you guys get a read on all of them.
If I don’t mention a specific player it means I don’t have enough of a read on them to make a recommendation one way or the other but odds are I wouldn’t play them. The known IDP producers or potential IDP producers for each team should all be covered here.
Tier one starts = These guys have the best matchups and a history of production along with playing time, they are most likely to have a big game this week.
Tier two starts = Play these guys in deeper leagues, they should get you some points but I wouldn’t expect a massive day out of them.
Sits = Don’t play them they don’t have an ideal matchup or won’t play enough snaps to be effective.
Full transparency I got 116 starts correct and 39 wrong last week for about a 70% success rate, my percent correct each week has been hovering around 70% all year and the lowest has been 67% and the highest 75%. I don’t own a crystal ball so I’ll never be perfect but for having a take on literally every single IDP relevant player on every single team every week all year I’d say we’re looking pretty good.
And I’m pretty easily accessible if you want to call me an idiot, (@Orangeman3142 on Twitter). We believe in transparency and owning our mistakes here at IDP Guys as well as never making you go through a paywall for information. It’s a labor of love here and I would put our team up against anyone or any site out there and bet on us to be more accurate and accessible 10 times out of 10. Let’s get into it.
Tennessee Titans @ LA Chargers
Sits: Rashaan Evans (LB) *if Woodyard plays*
New England Patriots @ Chicago Bears
Tier one starts: Trey Flowers (DE)
Sits: Donta Hightower (LB) *essentially one great game all year, playing time issues*
Sits: Nick Kwiatkowski (LB) *inconsistency, playing time*
Buffalo Bills @ Indianapolis Colts
Sits: Micah Hyde (S) *massive inconsistency, playing time issues*
Detroit Lions @ Miami Dolphins
Sits: A’Shawn Robinson (DT) *inconsistency, playing time*
Sits: Raekwon McMillan (LB) *inconsistency, playing time*
Minnesota Vikings @ New York Jets
Sits: Mike Hughes (CB) *injured and out for season*
Sits: Marcus Maye (S) *injured and out*
Carolina Panthers @ Philadelphia Eagles
Sits: Dontari Poe (DT)
Sits: Corey Graham (S)
Cleveland Browns @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tier two starts: Damarious Randal (S) Jamie Collins (LB)
Tier one starts: Jason Pierre Paul (DE) Kwon Alexander (LB) LaVonte David (LB)
Sits: Gerald McCoy (DT) *injury*
Houston Texans @ Jacksonville Jaguars
Tier two starts: Bernardrick McKinney (LB) DJ Reader (DT) Kareem Jackson (S) Jonathan Joseph (CB)
New Orleans Saints @ Baltimore Ravens
Sits: AJ Klein (LB) Kurt Coleman (S)
Tier one starts: CJ Mosley (LB) Tony Jefferson (S)
Tier two starts: Terrel Suggs (LB, EDGE) Eric Weddle (S)
LA Rams @ San Fransisco 49ers
Sits: Mark Barron (LB) *if the temperature at kickoff drops below 40* F, I wish that were a joke, but it’s not*
Dallas Cowboys @ Washington Redskins
Tier one starts: Mason Foster (LB) DJ Swearinger (S)
Tier two starts: Zach Brown (LB)
Sits: Ryan Kerrigan (LB, EDGE)
Cincinnati Bengals @ Kansas City Chiefs
Sits: Justin Houston (LB) *injury*
New York Giants @ Atlanta Falcons
Tier two starts: Olivier Vernon (LB, DE)
Tier one starts: Grady Jarrett (DT) *if healthy* DaMontae Kazee (S)
Sits: Duke Riley (LB) *decreasing snap percentage and lack of production*
If you have any questions feel free to hit me up on Twitter (@Orangeman3142) or use the “contact us” box on the website idpguys.org Good luck in your matchups this week and keep an eye out for my instant reaction & defensive waivers segment coming out next week starting Tuesday and continuing throughout the week. I break down every single teams IDP situation with snap counts, production and analysis.
And make sure you catch the podcast dropping Tuesday where we discuss this week in all things IDP from week seven as well as some offensive and defensive waivers and the latest IDP news and notes to keep you up to speed with all things IDP. Our team of writers has been doing this for a long time, many of us since 2004 or earlier, and between all of us we’ll find you the help or advice you need to get your team ready for the playoff push.
All that and more, and never behind a paywall, at idpguys.org.