• Start or Sit IDP Fantasy Football Week Twelve (12)

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    The IDP Fantasy start and sits you need to set your lineups and succeed on Sunday!


    This is my weekly start or sit article for your IDP players in fantasy football. Despite there being very little actual information presented, just a start, sit, and what tier of production I expect from the starting player, there is a lot of information that goes into these decisions each week.

    I use snap percentages (playing time), past production, tendencies of the opposing offense and probable game flow to decide on these. I just want the reader to know that a lot of time and research goes into this each week so don't be put off by the bare bones layout here.

    I used to do this explaining exactly why each decision is made and the thought process behind it but it was getting so detailed I wasn't able to finish a start or sit for every team playing each week and only ended up covering some of the games, this way you guys get a read on all of them.

    If I don't mention a specific player it means I don't have enough of a read on them to make a recommendation one way or the other but odds are I wouldn't play them. The known IDP producers or potential IDP producers for each team should all be covered here.

    Tier one starts = These guys have the best matchups and a history of production along with playing time, they are most likely to have a big game this week.

    Tier two starts = Play these guys in deeper leagues, they should get you some points but I wouldn't expect a massive day out of them.

    Sits = Don't play them they don't have an ideal matchup or won't play enough snaps to be effective.

    Full transparency I got correct 119 takes and 34 wrong last week for about a 72% success rate, my percent correct each week has been hovering around 70% all year and the lowest has been 66% and the highest 75%. I don't own a crystal ball, so I'll never be perfect, but for having a take on literally every single IDP relevant player on every single team every week all year I'd say we're looking pretty good.

    And I'm pretty easily accessible if you want to call me an idiot, (@Orangeman3142 on Twitter). We believe in transparency and owning our mistakes here at IDP Guys as well as never making you go through a paywall for information.

    It's a labor of love here and I would put our team, who together have over 100 years of combined IDP experience, up against anyone or any site out there and bet on us to be more accurate and accessible 10 times out of 10.

    Let's get into it.

    Jacksonville @ Buffalo

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    Jags:

    Tier one starts: Telvin Smith (LB) Calais Campbell (DE)

    Tier two starts: Yannick Ngakoue (DE) Myles Jack (LB)

    Sits: AJ Bouye (CB) & Jalen Ramsey (CB) *Buffalo passing attack won't support solid opposing corner points*

    Bills:

    Tier one starts: Tremaine Edmunds (LB) Matt Milano (LB) Jordan Poyer (S)

    Tier two starts: Shaq Lawson (DE) *if Trent Murphy doesn't play* Jerry Hughes (DE)

    Sits: Micah Hyde (S) Lorenzo Alexander (LB)

    Cleveland @ Cincinnati

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    Browns:

    Tier one starts: Joe Schobert (LB) Jamie Collins (LB) Denzel Ward (CB) Myles Garrett (DE)

    Tier two starts: Damarious Randal (S) Larry Ogunjobi (DT) Emanuel Ogbah (DE)

    Sits: Jabril Peppers (S)

    Bengals:

    Tier one starts: Jessie Bates (S) Shawn Williams (S) Nick Vigil (LB) *if healthy*

    Tier two starts: Vontaze Burfict (LB) Geno Atkins (DT) Carlos Dunlap (DE) Darqueze Dennard (CB) Dre Kirkpatrick (CB)

    Sits: Hardy Nickerson (LB) & Jordan Evans (LB) *not sure which one will play in Preston Browns place yet, it was Nickerson last week and Evans the week before, it's a dangerous situation I'm avoiding it entirely*

    New England @ New York

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    Patriots:

    Tier one starts: Trey Flowers (DE) Kyle Van Noy (LB)

    Tier two starts: Patrick Chung (S) Devin McCourty (S)

    Sits: Everyone else, and besides Flowers I'm not super confident in anyone on the Pats really

    Jets:

    Tier one starts: Jamal Adams (S) Avery Williamson (LB)

    Tier two starts: Darron Lee (LB) Marcus Maye (S) Leonard Williams (DE)

    Sits: NA

    New York @ Philadelphia

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    Giants:

    Tier one starts: Landon Collins (S) Alec Ogletree (LB)

    Tier two starts: Janoris Jenkins (CB) Curtis Riley (S)

    Sits: Everyone else

    Eagles:

    Tier one starts: Nigel Bradham (LB) Jordan Hicks (LB) Fletcher Cox (DT)

    Tier two starts: Micheal Bennett (DE) Chris Long (DE) Brandon Graham (DE) Jalen Mills (CB) *if healthy* Corey Graham (S)

    Sits: NA

    San Francisco @ Tampa Bay

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    49ers:

    Tier one starts: DeForest Buckner (DT) Fred Warner (LB) Ruben Foster (LB) Jaquiski Tartt (S) *if healthy*

    Tier two starts: Solomon Thomas (DE) Richard Sherman (CB)

    Sits: NA

    Bucs:

    Tier one starts: Justin Evans (S) *if healthy* Jason Pierre Paul (DE) Gerald McCoy (DT) LaVonte David (LB) *if healthy*

    Tier two starts: Adarius Taylor (LB) Jordan Whitehead (S) Brent Grimes (CB)

    Sits: NA

    Seattle @ Carolina

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    Seahawks:

    Tier one starts: Bobby Wagner (LB) Bradley McDougald (S) Frank Clark (DE)

    Tier two starts: KJ Wright (LB) *if healthy* Tedric Thompson (S) Jarran Reed (DT) Tre Flowers (CB)

    Sits: NA

    Panthers:

    Tier one starts: Luke Kuechly (LB) Kawan Short (DT) Eric Reid (S)

    Tier two starts: Thomas Davis (LB) Mike Adams (S) Mario Addison (DE)

    Sits: Shaq Thompson (LB) *inconsistency*

    Oakland @ Baltimore

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    Raiders:

    Tier one starts: Tahir Whitehead (LB)

    Tier two starts: Maurice Hurst (DT)

    Sits: Everyone else

    Ravens:

    Tier one starts: CJ Mosley (LB) Tony Jefferson (S)

    Tier two starts: Eric Weddle (S) Terrel Suggs (LB, EDGE)

    Sits: NA

    Arizona @ Los Angeles

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    Cardinals:

    Tier one starts: Budda Baker (S) Chandler Jones (DE) Josh Bynes (LB) Antoine Bethea (S)

    Tier two starts: Tre Boston (S) Robert Nkemdiche (DT) Markus Golden (DE) Patrick Peterson (CB)

    Sits: Hasaan Redick (LB) Deone Buchanon (LB)

    Chargers:

    Tier one starts: Joey Bosa (DE) Melvin Ingram (DE) Derwin James (S)

    Tier two starts: Jatavis Brown (LB) Adrian Phillips (S) Jahleel Addae (S)

    Sits: NA

    Pittsburgh @ Denver

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    Steelers:

    Tier one starts: Cameron Heyward (DT, DE)

    Tier two starts: Jon Bostic (LB) Vince Williams (LB) Stephon Tuitt (DE) Sean Davis (S) Terrell Edmunds (S) TJ Watt (LB, EDGE)

    Sits: NA

    Broncos:

    Tier one starts: Justin Simmons (S) Bradley Chubb (DE, LB)

    Tier two starts: Von Miller (LB, EDGE) Darian Stewart (S) Chris Harris Jr (CB) Todd Davis (LB) Derek Wolfe (DE)

    Sits: NA

    Miami @ Indianapolis

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    Dolphins:

    Tier one starts: Kiko Alonso (LB) TJ McDonald (S)

    Tier two starts: Raekwon McMillan (LB) Davon Godchaux (DT)

    Sits: Jerome Baker (LB) Reshad Jones (S) *too many issues to list, let's say inconsistency, I'm not playing him this week*

    Colts:

    Tier one starts: Darius Leonard (LB) Clayton Geathers (S)

    Tier two starts: Anthony Walker (LB) Tyquan Lewis (DE) Jabaal Sheard (DE)

    Sits: Denico Autry (DT) Margus Hunt (DT, DE)

    Green Bay @ Minnesota

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    Packers:

    Tier one starts: Blake Martinez (LB) Jaire Alexander (CB)

    Tier two starts: Mike Daniels (DT) Kenny Clark (DT) Tramon Williams (S, CB)

    Sits: Kentrell Brice (S) *he sucks*

    Vikings:

    Tier one starts: Danielle Hunter (DE) Harrison Smith (S) Everson Griffen (DE) Linval Joseph (DT) Trae Waynes (CB)

    Tier two starts: Eric Kendricks (LB) Sheldon Richardson (DT)

    Sits: NA

    Tennessee @ Houston

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    Titans:

    Tier one starts: Wesley Woodyard (LB) Kevin Byard (S) Jurell Casey (DT)

    Tier two starts: Jayon Brown (LB) Kenny Vaccaro (S) Adoree Jackson (CB) Malcolm Butler (CB) Logan Ryan (CB)

    Sits: Rashaan Evans (LB)

    Texans:

    Tier one starts: JJ Watt (DE) JaDaveon Clowney (DE, LB) *tier one as DE, tier two as LB* Tyrann Mathieu (S) Zach Cunningham (LB)

    Tier two starts: Bernardrick McKinney (LB) Justin Reid (S)

    Sits: DJ Reader (DT)

    ***Obviously if any of these players are inactive or injured before their game don't play them, this article is usually written days ahead of each teams game and things change constantly in regards to injury and suspensions and the like. Make sure you check ESPN's inactive list that drops at 11:30AM Eastern Time every Sunday morning for the latest and best information on injury status before the games kick off***

    If you have any questions feel free to hit me up on Twitter (@Orangeman3142) or use the "contact us" box on the website idpguys.org. Good luck in your matchups this week and keep an eye out for my instant reaction & defensive waivers segment coming out next week starting Tuesday and continuing throughout the week. I break down every single teams IDP situation with snap counts, production and analysis.

    And make sure you catch the podcast dropping Tuesday where we discuss this week in all things IDP from week twelve as well as some offensive and defensive waivers and the latest IDP news and notes to keep you up to speed with all things IDP.

    Our team of writers has been doing this for a long time, many of us since 2004 or earlier and altogether we have over 100 years of IDP experience combined. Between all of us we'll find you the help or advice you need to get your team ready for the playoff push and win your IDP league.

    All that and more, and never behind a paywall, at idpguys.org.


    Johny The Greek

    Non-delusional Cowboys Fan. Been playing Fantasy since 2003, IDP since 2004 and watching football for 35 years. Being a firm believer in "you should know if the person you're taking advice from actually knows or wins anything" I'd like to present exhibit A: I have a diamond rating in Yahoo (976) with 29 plus titles in redraft/dynasty across Yahoo, Sleeper, Fantrax and MFL and an additional 57 plus 2nd/3rd place in redraft/dynasty, same platforms. I also play in and have won several all-IDP leagues. I started playing FanDuel with a free entry and have won almost a grand since. I've also won many leagues on the draft app (RIP Draft App, we miss you) and play the maximum number of free college fantasy leagues on Yahoo every year as well with 3 titles and 9 trophies in just two years of playing before Yahoo discontinued those leagues. My profile includes multiple titles in survivor and pick em leagues as well. I was a finalist in the 2021/22 IDP Guys Invitational and the best ball tournament. Also a MFL & Sleeper best ball & eliminator degenerate with many titles there as well. I just started playing All-22 this season and I would bet the mortgage I'll be good at that too. (Update, I did fine, 9-5 first season and made playoffs). What does all that mean? Nothing except when I do something I tend to overdo it. I have been at this for a long time though so I'll help you with your IDP roster and questions however I can whenever I can. I write a weekly streaming IDP corners article (Johny The Greek's Cornerbacks Corner) and whatever I feel like in the offseason. You can find me @OrangeMan3142 on Twitter. Feel free to reach out for any questions or just to talk some football. Check out my articles on Friday mornings all season long. And new this season and going forward stick around for "Johny The Greek's Free Real Estate" where I interview the best and brightest from FF Twitter, and by that I mean the interesting people who actually help you win and not the useless engagement farmers. I am not an "analyst" I'm just a crazy person/degenerate who has been doing this a long time, has been pretty good at it and is dialed in because I have to be to not sound like an idiot writing all these articles and doing all these shows. My style is straightforward & conversational, IDP isn't complicated and you're not trying to win an argument on Twitter you're trying to win your league. Come join me weekly in season for Johny the Greek's Cornerbacks Corner, where we look at the fine art that is streaming corners or finding ways to maximize your production from your CB slots each week. Also in season check out the IDP Pros Podcast on SGPN network. I hope you enjoyed the article. Let us praise our Messiah Babu Frik and give worship to Baby Yoda. Jimmy G would make a fine husband. Thanks for reading. -Johny the Greek-
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