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  • The IDP Guys’ NFL Week 12 Start/Sit List: Offense

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    Find success this weekend with the NFL Week 12 Start/Sit offense list!


    HAPPY THANKSGIVING! It is a special time of the year where we celebrate with loved ones over a delicious meal to recognize all that we are thankful for. Jonathan Taylor and Austin Ekeler gave fantasy General Managers a lot to be thankful for in Week 11. The unique Week 12 slate is here and the playoff push is getting serious. Let's check out the Week 12 start/sit offense edition!

    Whether you are fighting for a playoff spot, battling for playoff seeding, or playing for personal pride the Week 12 slate is robust with only two teams on bye. The Arizona Cardinals and Kansas City Chiefs have the week off; hopefully you have already anticipated replacing the large voids in James Conner, Patrick Mahomes, Tyreek Hill, and perennial TE1 Travis Kelce.

    Before we get into the Week 12 matchups, I wanted to remind you about the "Trust, If You Must, and Bust" system. What is important to know and remember is that it is a confidence spectrum for start/sit decisions.

    For example, I have shaky confidence in someone like Javonte Williams. He is extremely talented but is splitting the workload in the Denver Broncos backfield which makes him a good but not great Flex-caliber option. He will fit into the "If You Must" category because of the limited opportunity share. Make sure the system (explained below) is clear to you before you consider your options.

    The "Trust, If You Must, and Bust" System:

    Trust” = Strong start, a player who should be started in all formats!

    If You Must” = Weak start, a player who is good enough to be a starter, but faces a tough matchup or holds an unclear opportunity in a good offense. Some caution should be used while the risk is recognized, as this is often league format dependent.

    If you play in a shallow league, I would lean towards benching this player if you have a decent replacement option. In a deep league, I would lean towards starting, since the options may be more scarce. Either way, expectations should be managed.

    Bust” = Keep on your bench, at least for now. These players should be avoided since stronger options at the relative position should be considered first. These are players who fit into one of the following categories:

    1. A player in a tough matchup or currently holds ambiguous weekly opportunities in the offense.
    2. A strong bench stash for season-long purposes but currently in a “wait and see” period. Wait and see if their role expands for starter caliber consideration. For example, this type of player may be a strong backup RB behind a stud in an elite offense or could be in line for a big workload if the starter misses time.
    3. Currently lacking a clear offensive opportunity in either a projected good or bad offense
    4. Is too volatile on a week-to-week basis. There is no need to play boom or bust type players if you can help it.

    Weekly Start/Sit Decision Reminders

    Be sure to always be mindful of weekly injury reports and gameday inactive announcements as this could pivot a weak starter into a strong starter!

    Be sure to always leave the FLEX spot(s) free of Thursday players; THIS WEEK IS AN EXCEPTION!

    Thanksgiving Day

    Chicago Bears at Detroit Lions
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    Bears

    Trust –  David Montgomery RB

    If You MustAndy Dalton QB, Allen Robinson WR (if active), Darnell Mooney WR

    Bust - Cole Kmet TE, Khalil Herbert RB

    Lions

    TrustD'Andre Swift RB, T.J. Hockenson TE

    If You MustJamaal Williams RB (if active), Amon-Ra St. Brown WR

    Bust - Jared Goff QB

    Las Vegas Raiders at Dallas Cowboys
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    Raiders

    TrustDarren Waller TE, Josh Jacobs RB, Hunter Renfrow WR

    If You Must – Derek Carr QB, Bryan Edwards WR, Kenyan Drake RB

    Bust - Zay Jones WR

    Cowboys

    TrustDak Prescott QB, Ezekiel Elliott RB (if active), Amari Cooper WR, Michael Gallup WR, Dalton Schultz TE

    If You MustTony Pollard RB (TRUST if Elliott is inactive), Cedrick Wilson WR

     

    Buffalo Bills at New Orleans Saints
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    Bills

    TrustJosh Allen QB, Stefon Diggs WR, Dawson Knox TE

    If You MustDevin Singletary RB, Zack Moss RB, Cole Beasley WR, Emmanuel Sanders WR

    Bust - Gabriel Davis WR

    Saints

    TrustAlvin Kamara RB (if active)

    If You MustTrevor Siemian QB, Mark Ingram RB (TRUST if Kamara is inactive), Marquez Callaway WR

    Bust - TreQuan Smith WR, Deonte Harris WR


    Sunday Early Afternoon Slate

     

    Philadelphia Eagles at New York Giants

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    Eagles

    TrustJalen Hurts QB, DeVonta Smith WR, Dallas Goedert TE (if active)

    If You Must – Boston Scott RB, Jordan Howard RB

    Bust - Jalen Reagor WR, Quez Watkins WR, Kenneth Gainwell RB

    Giants

    TrustSaquon Barkley RB, Sterling Shepard WR (if active)

    If You Must - Devontae Booker RB (if Saquon Barkley inactive), Daniel Jones QB, Evan Engram TE, Kenny Golladay WR, Kadarius Toney WR (if active)

    Pittsburgh Steelers at Cincinnati Bengals
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    Steelers

    TrustNajee Harris RB, Diontae Johnson WR, Chase Claypool WR (if active), Pat Freiermuth TE

    If You Must - Ben Roethlisberger QB (if active)

    Bengals

    TrustJoe Burrow QB,  Ja'Marr Chase WR, Tee Higgins WR, Joe Mixon RB

    If You Must - Tyler Boyd WR, C.J. Uzomah TE

    Bust - Samaje Perine RB

     

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Indianapolis Colts
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    Buccaneers

    Trust – Tom Brady QB, Mike Evans WR, Chris Godwin WR, Leonard Fournette RB, Rob Gronkowski TE

    Bust - Ronald Jones RB

    Colts

    TrustJonathan Taylor RB, Michael Pittman WR

    If You Must - Carson Wentz QB, Nyheim Hines RB, T.Y. Hilton WR

    Bust - Mo Alie-Cox TE, Jack Doyle TE

    Carolina Panthers at Miami Dolphins
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    Panthers

    TrustChristian McCaffrey RB, D.J. Moore WR, Cam Newton QB

    If You Must - Robby Anderson WR

    BustChuba Hubbard RB (remains a bench stash)

    Dolphins

    Trust - Mike Gesicki TE, Myles Gaskin RB, Tua Tagovailoa QB, Jaylen Waddle WR

    Tennessee Titans at New England Patriots
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    Titans

    Trust –  A.J. Brown WR (if active), Ryan Tannehill QB

    If You MustD'Onta Foreman RB, Nick Westbrook-Ikhine WR (if Brown is inactive)

    Bust - Jeremy McNichols RB, Dontrell Hilliard RB

    Patriots

    Trust - Rhamondre Stevenson RB, Damien Harris RB, Hunter Henry TE

    If You Must –  Jakobi Meyers WR, Mac Jones QB

    Bust - Kendrick Bourne WR, Brandon Bolden RB, Nelson Agholor WR

     

    Atlanta Falcons at Jacksonville Jaguars
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    Falcons

    TrustKyle Pitts TE, Cordarrelle Patterson RB (if active)

    If You Must - Matt Ryan QB, Russell Gage WR, Mike Davis RB (if Patterson is inactive)

    Bust - Qadree Ollison RB, Wayne Gallman RB

    Jaguars

    Trust –  James Robinson RB, Dan Arnold TE, Marvin Jones WR

    If You MustLaviska Shenault WR, Trevor Lawrence QB

     

    New York Jets at Houston Texans
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    Jets

    Trust - Ty Johnson RB

    If You Must - Corey Davis WR, Jamison Crowder WR, Elijah Moore WR

    Bust - Zach Wilson QB, Tevin Coleman RB

    Texans

    TrustBrandin Cooks WR

    If You Must - Nico Collins WR, Tyrod Taylor QB, David Johnson RB, Rex Burkhead RB

     

    Sunday Mid Afternoon Slate

    Los Angeles Chargers at Denver Broncos
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    Chargers

    TrustJustin Herbert QB, Austin Ekeler RB, Keenan Allen WR, Mike Williams WR

    Bust - Justin Jackson RB, Larry Rountree RB, Jared Cook TE

    Broncos

    Trust –  Courtland Sutton WR, Jerry Jeudy WR, Noah Fant TE

    If You MustMelvin Gordon RB, Javonte Williams RB, Tim Patrick WR, Teddy Bridgewater QB

    Los Angeles Rams at Green Bay Packers
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    Rams

    Trust –  Matthew Stafford QB, Cooper Kupp, WR, Darrell Henderson RB, Tyler Higbee TE

    If You MustOdell Beckham Jr. WR,  Van Jefferson WR, Sony Michel RB

    Packers

    TrustAaron Rodgers QB, Davante Adams WR, AJ Dillon RB

    If You Must Allen Lazard WR, Randall Cobb WR, Marquez Valdes-Scantling WR

     

    Minnesota Vikings at San Francisco 49ers
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    Vikings

    Trust - Kirk Cousins QB, Dalvin Cook RB, Alexander Mattison RB (only if ever Cook is inactive), Justin Jefferson WR, Adam Thielen WR

    If You MustTyler Conklin TE

    Bust - K.J. Osborn WR

    49ers

    TrustGeorge Kittle TE, Deebo Samuel WR, Elijah Mitchell RB (if active), Jimmy Garoppolo QB

    If You MustJeff Wilson RB (if Mitchell inactive), Brandon Aiyuk WR

     

    Sunday Night Football

    Cleveland Browns at Baltimore Ravens
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    Browns

    TrustNick Chubb RB,  Jarvis Landry WR

    If You MustBaker Mayfield QB

    Bust - D'Ernest Johnson RB, Donovan Peoples-Jones WR, Rashard Higgins WR, Austin Hooper TE, David Njoku TE

    Ravens

    TrustLamar Jackson QB, Mark Andrews TE, Marquise Brown WR, Rashod Bateman WR, Devonta Freeman RB

    Bust – Latavius Murray RB (bench stash)


    Monday Night Football

    Seattle Seahawks at Washington Football Team
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    Seahawks

    TrustRussell Wilson QB, D.K. Metcalf WR, Tyler Lockett WR, Alex Collins RB

    If You MustGerald Everett TE

    Bust - DeeJay Dallas RB

    Football Team

    TrustAntonio Gibson RB, Terry McLaurin WR, Taylor Heinicke QB, Logan Thomas TE (if active)

    If You MustJ.D. McKissic RB

     

    Good luck with your Week 12 start/sit offense selections and enjoy the games!


    Thank you for reading my NFL Week 12 Start/Sit offense list for offensive players! You can find more of my work on my IDP Guys Author Page. Feel free to reach out anytime on Twitter at @FantasyLadder for any fantasy football-related advice, questions, or discussion so you can climb the ladder of fantasy football success with me
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