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  • The IDP Guys’ NFL Week 13 Start/Sit List: Offense

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    Find success this weekend with the NFL Week 13 Start/Sit offense list!

    Do you want the good news or the bad news first? The bad news? Ok then.

    The bad news is that more devastating injuries pilled up during the Week 12 slate. Injuries to Fantasy Football studs included: Christian McCaffrey, Dalvin Cook, D'Andre Swift, Deebo Samuel, and Darren Waller. McCaffrey was placed on season-ending IR while the rest of them may be only a multi-week absence. The timing of these injuries is brutal as the Fantasy Football Playoffs are just around the corner.

    Some other injury-based availability questions remain revolve around Darrell Henderson, Miles Sanders, and Pat Freiermuth. These situations amongst others will require close attention as the updates are revealed throughout the weekend from the Friday practice reports to Sunday morning inactive lists.

    Now for the good news. Just kidding, more bad news; week 13 has four teams on bye. The teams on Bye include Carolina Panthers, Cleveland Browns, Green Bay Packers, and Tennessee Titans. Another round of a heavy Bye and injury-riddled week of NFL action isn't exactly my idea of a fun time. No need to worry, because the good news is that every matchup on the Week 13 slate will be covered below.

    Every matchup will follow the same format of a start/sit confidence spectrum to assist with your lineup setting needs. These decisions that have to be made are very much league setting and roster size-dependent, but I lay out what I think is the best blueprint for success in Week 13! First, let's get re-familiarized with the start/sit system for lineup optimization.

    The "Trust, If You Must, and Bust" System:

    Trust” = Strong start, a player who should be started in all formats!

    If You Must” = Weak start, a player who is good enough to be a starter, but faces a tough matchup or holds an unclear opportunity in a good offense. Some caution should be used while the risk is recognized, as this is often league format dependent.

    If you play in a shallow league, I would lean towards benching this player if you have a decent replacement option. In a deep league, I would lean towards starting, since the options may be more scarce. Either way, expectations should be managed.

    Bust” = Keep on your bench, at least for now. These players should be avoided since stronger options at the relative position should be considered first. These are players who fit into one of the following categories:

    1. A player in a tough matchup or currently holds ambiguous weekly opportunities in the offense.
    2. A strong bench stash for season-long purposes but currently in a “wait and see” period. Wait and see if their role expands for starter caliber consideration. For example, this type of player may be a strong backup RB behind a stud in an elite offense or could be in line for a big workload if the starter misses time.
    3. Currently lacking a clear offensive opportunity in either a projected good or bad offense
    4. Is too volatile on a week-to-week basis. There is no need to play boom or bust type players if you can help it.

    Weekly Start/Sit Decision Reminders

    Be sure to always be mindful of weekly injury reports and gameday inactive announcements as this could pivot a weak starter into a strong starter!

    Be sure to always leave the FLEX spot(s) free of Thursday night players!

    Thursday Night Football

    Dallas Cowboys at New Orleans Saints
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    TrustDak Prescott QB, Ezekiel Elliott RB (if active), Amari Cooper WR (if active), CeeDee Lamb WR (if active), Dalton Schultz TE

    If You MustTony Pollard RB (Trust if Elliott is inactive), Michael Gallup WR (TRUST if Cooper or Lamb are inactive)

    Bust - Cedrick Wilson WR


    TrustAlvin Kamara RB (if active)

    If You MustTrevor Siemian QB or Taysom Hill QB, Mark Ingram RB (TRUST if Kamara is inactive), Marquez Callaway WR

    Bust - TreQuan Smith WR


    Sunday Early Afternoon Slate
    Philadelphia Eagles at New York Jets
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    TrustJalen Hurts QB, DeVonta Smith WR, Dallas Goedert TE, Miles Sanders RB (if active)

    If You Must – Boston Scott RB (TRUST if Sanders inactive )

    Bust - Jalen Reagor WR, Quez Watkins WR, Kenneth Gainwell RB (If You Must if Sanders inactive)


    If You Must - Corey Davis WR, Jamison Crowder WR, Elijah Moore WR, Tevin Coleman RB, Ty Johnson RB

    Bust - Zach Wilson QB


    Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Atlanta Falcons
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    Trust – Tom Brady QB, Mike Evans WR, Chris Godwin WR, Leonard Fournette RB, Rob Gronkowski TE

    If You Must - Ronald Jones RB


    TrustKyle Pitts TE, Cordarrelle Patterson RB

    If You Must - Matt Ryan QB, Russell Gage WR

    Bust - Mike Davis RB


    Arizona Cardinals at Chicago Bears
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    TrustKyler Murray QB (if active), DeAndre Hopkins WR (if active), James Conner RBZach Ertz TE

    If You MustChristian Kirk WR, Rondale Moore WR, A.J. Green WR


    Trust –  David Montgomery RB

    If You MustJustin Fields QB (if active), Cole Kmet TE, Allen Robinson WR (if active), Darnell Mooney WR

    BustKhalil Herbert RB

    Los Angeles Chargers at Cincinnati Bengals
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    TrustJustin Herbert QB, Austin Ekeler RB, Keenan Allen WR, Mike Williams WR

    If You Must - Jared Cook TE


    TrustJoe Burrow QB,  Ja'Marr Chase WR, Tee Higgins WR, Joe Mixon RB

    If You Must - Tyler Boyd WR, C.J. Uzomah TE

    Minnesota Vikings at Detroit Lions
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    Trust - Kirk Cousins QB, Alexander Mattison RB, Justin Jefferson WR, Adam Thielen WR

    If You MustTyler Conklin TE


    TrustD'Andre Swift RB (if active), Jamaal Williams RB (if Swift inactive) T.J. Hockenson TE

    If You MustAmon-Ra St. Brown WR, Jared Goff QB


    New York Giants at Miami Dolphins
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    Trust- Sterling Shepard WR (if active), Saquon Barkley RB

    If You Must - Daniel Jones QB (if active), Evan Engram TE, Kenny Golladay WR, Kadarius Toney WR (if active)


    Trust - Mike Gesicki TE, Myles Gaskin RB, Tua Tagovailoa QB, Jaylen Waddle WR


    Indianapolis Colts at Houston Texans
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    TrustJonathan Taylor RB, Michael Pittman WR, Carson Wentz QB

    If You Must - Jack Doyle TE, Nyheim Hines RB, T.Y. Hilton WR


    TrustBrandin Cooks WR

    If You Must - Nico Collins WR, Tyrod Taylor QB

    Bust - David Johnson RB, Rex Burkhead RB

    Sunday Mid Afternoon Slate
    Washington Football Team at Las Vegas Raiders
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    Football Team

    TrustAntonio Gibson RB, Terry McLaurin WR, Logan Thomas TE

    If You MustTaylor Heinicke QB, J.D. McKissic RB (if active)


    TrustDarren Waller TE (if active), Josh Jacobs RB, Hunter Renfrow WR

    If You Must – Derek Carr QB, Foster Moreau TE (if Waller inactive)

    Bust - Zay Jones WR, Bryan Edwards WR, Kenyan Drake RB

    Jacksonville Jaguars at Los Angeles Rams
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    Trust –  James Robinson RB

    If You MustMarvin Jones WR, Laviska Shenault WR

    Bust - Trevor Lawrence QB


    Trust –  Matthew Stafford QB, Cooper Kupp, WR, Darrell Henderson RB (if active), Odell Beckham Jr. WR,  Van Jefferson WR

    If You MustTyler Higbee TE, Sony Michel RB (borderline Trust if Henderson is inactive)


    Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers
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    TrustLamar Jackson QB, Mark Andrews TE, Marquise Brown WR

    If You MustRashod Bateman WR, Devonta Freeman RB

    BustLatavius Murray RB, Ty'Son Williams RB


    TrustNajee Harris RB, Diontae Johnson WR, Chase Claypool WR, Pat Freiermuth TE (if active)

    If You Must - Ben Roethlisberger QB


    San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks
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    TrustGeorge Kittle TE, Deebo Samuel WR (if active, unlikely), Elijah Mitchell RB

    If You MustJimmy Garoppolo QB, Brandon Aiyuk WR


    TrustRussell Wilson QB, D.K. Metcalf WR, Tyler Lockett WR

    If You Must - Alex Collins RB, Gerald Everett TE

    Sunday Night Football

    Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs
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    Trust –  Courtland Sutton WR, Jerry Jeudy WR, Noah Fant TE

    If You MustMelvin Gordon RB, Javonte Williams RB, Tim Patrick WR, Teddy Bridgewater QB


    TrustPatrick Mahomes QB, Tyreek Hill WR, Travis Kelce TE, Clyde Edwards-Helaire RB

    If You MustDarrel Williams RB, Mecole Hardman WR

    Bust - Jerick McKinnon RB

    Monday Night Football

    New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills
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    Trust - Hunter Henry TE

    If You MustRhamondre Stevenson RB, Damien Harris RB, Jakobi Meyers WR, Mac Jones QB, Kendrick Bourne WR

    Bust - Jonnu Smith TE, Nelson Agholor WR


    TrustJosh Allen QB, Stefon Diggs WR, Dawson Knox TE

    If You MustDevin Singletary RB, Cole Beasley WR, Emmanuel Sanders WR

    Bust - Gabriel Davis WR, Matt Breida RB, Zack Moss RB


    Good luck with your Week 13 start/sit offense selections and enjoy the games!

    Thank you for reading my NFL Week 13 Start/Sit list for offensive players! You can find more of my work on my IDP Guys Author Page. Feel free to reach out anytime on Twitter at @FantasyLadder for any fantasy football-related advice, questions, or discussion so you can climb the ladder of fantasy football success with me
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