• The IDP Guys’ NFL Week 4 Start/Sit List: Offense

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    Find success in week 4 with these start/sit decisions for the offensive side of the ball!

    Check out the week 4 start/sit offense article to make all your tough decisions!

    The third week of NFL action brought us more unfortunate injury situations to monitor. Christian McCaffrey, A.J. Brown, Sterling Shepard, JuJu Smith-Schuster, and Rob Gronkowski were among some of the mid-game injuries that may have swung your match up. Sometimes it is better to be lucky than good. Week 4 is here and with the start/sit advice below, I hope you fit into the "good" category and not the "lucky".

    The “Trust, If You Must, and Bust” System:

    Trust” = Strong start, a player who should be started in all formats!

    If You Must” = Weak start, a player who is good enough to be a starter, but faces a tough matchup or holds an unclear opportunity in a good offense. Some caution should be used while the risk is recognized, as this is often league format dependent.

    If you play in a shallow league, I would lean towards benching this player if you have a decent replacement option. In a deep league, I would lean towards starting, since the options may be more scarce. Either way, expectations should be managed.

    Bust” = Keep on your bench, at least for now. These players should be avoided since stronger options at the relative position should be considered first. These are players who fit into one of the following categories:

    1. A player in a tough matchup or currently holds ambiguous weekly opportunities in the offense.
    2. A strong bench stash for season-long purposes but currently in a “wait and see” period. Wait and see if their role expands for starter caliber consideration. For example, this type of player may be a strong backup RB behind a stud in an elite offense or could be in line for a big workload if the starter misses time.
    3. Currently lacking a clear offensive opportunity in either a projected good or bad offense
    4. Is too volatile on a week-to-week basis. There is no need to play boom or bust type players if you can help it.


    Weekly Start/Sit Decision Reminders

    Be sure to always be mindful of weekly injury reports and game-day inactive announcements as this could pivot a weak starter into a strong starter!

    Week 3 brought some mid-afternoon inactive players including; RBs Dalvin Cook and Darrell Henderson. These are extremely tricky situations, but it is always best to have a backup plan ready.

    In one league I had to make the decision to roll with a shaky Darrell Henderson (who held a questionable tag all week) in a tough match-up against Tampa Bay or start Arizona RB James Conner in a strong matchup against Jacksonville while holding an ambiguous workload.

    I decided to start Conner, the result was great but the process of the decision was solid. I had a backup plan ready and I hope you will too if the situation presents itself!

    Lastly, be sure to always leave the FLEX spot(s) free of Thursday night players!

    The Week 4 Slate:

    Thursday Night Football

    Jacksonville Jaguars at Cincinnati Bengals

    Trust – WR Marvin Jones, WR DJ Chark, RB James Robinson

    If You Must – QB Trevor Lawrence

    Bust - WR Laviska Shenault

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    Trust – QB Joe Burrow, RB Joe Mixon, WR Ja'Marr Chase, WR Tyler Boyd

    Bust - WR Tee Higgins (opened the week not practicing)

    Sunday Early Afternoon Slate

    Kansas City Chiefs at Philadelphia Eagles

    Trust – QB Patrick Mahomes, WR Tyreek Hill, TE Travis Kelce, RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire

    Bust - WR Mecole Hardman

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    Trust – QB Jalen Hurts, RB Miles Sanders, WR DeVonta Smith, TE Dallas Goedert

    If You Must – WR Jalen Reagor, RB Kenneth Gainwell, TE Zach Ertz

    Washington Football Team at Atlanta Falcons
    Football Team

    Trust – RB Antonio Gibson, WR Terry McLaurin, TE Logan Thomas

    If You Must – QB Taylor Heinicke, RB J.D. McKissic

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    Trust – WR Calvin Ridley, TE Kyle Pitts

    If You Must – QB Matt Ryan, RB Mike Davis, RB Cordarrelle Patterson

    Houston Texans at Buffalo Bills

    Trust – WR Brandin Cooks

    Bust – RB David Johnson, RB Phillip Lindsay, RB Mark Ingram, QB Davis Mills

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    Trust – QB Josh Allen, WR Stefon Diggs

    If You Must – TE Dawson Knox, RB Zack Moss, RB Devin Singletary, WR Cole Beasley, WR Emmanuel Sanders

    Bust - WR Gabriel Davis

    Detroit Lions at Chicago Bears

    Trust – RB D'Andre Swift, TE T.J. Hockenson

    If You Must – RB Jamaal Williams

    Bust - WR Quintez Cephus, QB Jared Goff

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    Trust – RB David Montgomery, WR Allen Robinson

    If You Must – WR Darnell Mooney

    Bust – QB Justin Fields, TE Cole Kmet

    Carolina Panthers at Dallas Cowboys

    Trust – WR D.J. Moore

    If You Must – QB Sam Darnold, RB Chuba Hubbard, WR Robby Anderson

    Bust - WR Terrace Marshall

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    Trust – QB Dak Prescott, RB Ezekiel Elliott, WR Amari Cooper, WR CeeDee Lamb

    If You Must – RB Tony Pollard

    Bust - TE Blake Jarwin, TE Dalton Schultz, WR Cedrick Wilson

    Indianapolis Colts at Miami Dolphins

    Trust – RB Jonathan Taylor

    If You Must – WR Michael Pittman, RB Nyheim Hines, WR Zach Pascal


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    If You Must – QB Jacoby Brissett, RB Myles Gaskin, WR Jaylen Waddle, WR DeVante Parker, WR Will Fuller, TE Mike Gesicki

    Cleveland Browns at Minnesota Vikings

    Trust – RB Nick Chubb, RB Kareem Hunt, WR Odell Beckham Jr.

    If You Must – QB Baker Mayfield, TE Austin Hooper

    Bust - WR Rashard Higgins, WR Donovan Peoples-Jones

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    Trust - QB Kirk Cousins, RB Dalvin Cook, WR Justin Jefferson, WR Adam Thielen

    If You Must – WR K.J. Osborn, TE Tyler Conklin

    New York Giants at New Orleans Saints

    Trust - RB Saquon Barkley, WR Kenny Golladay, QB Daniel Jones

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    Trust – RB Alvin Kamara

    If You Must – QB Jameis Winston, WR Marquez Callaway

    Tennessee Titans at New York Jets

    Trust – RB Derrick Henry

    If You Must - QB Ryan Tannehill


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    Trust – WR Corey Davis

    If You Must - WR Jamison Crowder

    Bust - QB Zach Wilson, RB Michael Carter, RB Ty Johnson

    Sunday Mid Afternoon Slate

    Arizona Cardinals at Los Angeles Rams

    Trust – QB Kyler Murray, WR DeAndre Hopkins, RB Chase Edmonds

    If You Must – RB James Conner, WR Christian Kirk, WR Rondale Moore

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    Trust – QB Matthew Stafford, WR Cooper Kupp, WR Robert Woods, TE Tyler Higbee

    If You Must – RB Sony Michel, RB Darrell Henderson (be sure to monitor injury reports)

    Seattle Seahawks at San Francisco 49ers

    Trust – QB Russell Wilson, WR D.K. Metcalf, WR Tyler Lockett, RB Chris Carson

    Bust – TE Gerald Everett

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    Trust – TE George Kittle, WR Deebo Samuel

    If You Must – RB Trey Sermon, QB Jimmy Garoppolo, WR Brandon Aiyuk

    Baltimore Ravens at Denver Broncos

    Trust – QB Lamar Jackson, TE Mark Andrews

    If You Must – WR Marquise Brown, RB Ty'Son Williams, WR Sammy Watkins, RB Latavius Murray

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    Trust – RB Melvin Gordon, RB Javonte Williams, WR Courtland Sutton, TE Noah Fant

    If You Must – QB Teddy Bridgewater, WR Tim Patrick

    Pittsburgh Steelers at Green Bay Packers

    Trust – RB Najee Harris, WR JuJu Smith-Schuster, WR Diontae Johnson

    If You Must - QB Ben Roethlisberger, TE Pat Freiermuth


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    Trust – QB Aaron Rodgers, WR Davante Adams, RB Aaron Jones, TE Robert Tonyan

    Bust - RB AJ Dillon, WRs not named Davante Adams

    Sunday Night Football

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New England Patriots

    Trust – QB Tom Brady, WR Mike Evans, WR Chris Godwin, and WR Antonio Brown

    Bust - RB Ronald Jones, RB Leonard Fournette

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    If You Must – RB Damien Harris, WR Jakobi Meyers, TE Jonnu Smith, TE Hunter Henry

    Bust - QB Mac Jones, WR Nelson Agholor

    Monday Night Football

    Las Vegas Raiders at Los Angeles Chargers

    Trust – TE Darren Waller

    If You Must – QB Derek Carr, WR Henry Ruggs

    Bust - RB Kenyan Drake, WR Bryan Edwards, WR Hunter Renfrow, RB Josh Jacobs (monitor injury report)

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    Trust – QB Justin Herbert, RB Austin Ekeler, WR Keenan Allen, WR Mike Williams

    If You Must – TE Jared Cook

    Bust - RB Justin Jackson, RB Larry Rountree

    Good luck and enjoy the games!

    Thank you for reading! You can find more of my work on my IDP Guys Author Page. Feel free to reach out anytime on Twitter at @FantasyLadder for any fantasy football-related advice, questions, or discussion so you can climb the ladder of fantasy football success with me.
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